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Manchester United vs Leeds United Predictions: Odds, picks & stats

Manchester United welcome Leeds United to Old Trafford on Monday, April 13, with kickoff set for 3:00 PM ET.

The Red Devils have dominated this fixture in recent years and currently boast a far more potent attack, while Leeds arrive searching for their first win against Man United since their famous FA Cup win at Old Trafford in 2010.

With both teams seeking to shape their late-season narrative, this Premier League clash could prove decisive for confidence and momentum.

Best Bets & Predictions

Based on the 2025/26 Premier League stats and the latest head-to-head trends, here are our top betting recommendations for Manchester United vs Leeds United. We’re particularly confident in Manchester United to win, thanks to their superior attacking numbers and total dominance over Leeds in recent meetings.

Our PredictionOdds & SportsbookConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Manchester United to Win-161 @ Bet365
(61.7%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐Four wins and three draws for Manchester United in last seven vs Leeds; far more goals scored this season.
Over 2.5 Goals-137 @ Bet365
(57.8%)
⭐⭐⭐Both teams combine for over 90 shots per match; five of last seven head-to-heads saw at least three goals.
Both Teams to Score: Yes-133 @ Bet365
(57.1%)
⭐⭐⭐Manchester United’s defense has just five clean sheets; Leeds have scored in all but one of their last five away games.
Draw No Bet: Manchester United-455 @ Bet365
(81.6%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐Manchester United unbeaten in last seven vs Leeds; extra insurance if Leeds spring a surprise.

Our approach: Start with Manchester United to win, add Over 2.5 Goals for parlay potential.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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Season Form & Standings

The 2025/26 Premier League Standings show Manchester United in third place, firmly in the Champions League race, while Leeds United sit in 15th and remain at risk of being dragged into the relegation scrap. United have collected 55 points from 31 games (48% win rate), while Leeds, with 33 points, need a strong finish to secure their top-flight status. Both clubs exited domestic cups before the latter stages this season, focusing full attention on league objectives.

TeamPosGPWDLGFGAGDPts
Manchester United331151065643+1355
Leeds United1531712123748-1133

Potential Match-Winners

  • Bruno Fernandes (Manchester United): Sixteen assists in the 2025/26 Premier League season, averaging 0.5 assists and 2.8 chances created per game. The league’s premier creative force.
  • Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds United): Physical presence up front, leading Leeds in touches in the opposition box and averaging 1.8 shots on target per 90.

Head-to-Head: Last 7 Meetings

Manchester United have dominated this fixture in recent years, winning four and drawing three of the last seven encounters with Leeds United. Leeds have not registered a win in this matchup since returning to the Premier League.

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 4, 2026Leeds United 1-1 Manchester UnitedPremier League
Feb 12, 2023Leeds United 0-2 Manchester UnitedPremier League
Feb 8, 2023Manchester United 2-2 Leeds UnitedPremier League
Feb 20, 2022Leeds United 2-4 Manchester UnitedPremier League
Aug 14, 2021Manchester United 5-1 Leeds UnitedPremier League
Apr 25, 2021Leeds United 0-0 Manchester UnitedPremier League
Dec 20, 2020Manchester United 6-2 Leeds UnitedPremier League

Manchester United vs Leeds United Prediction

All the data points to Manchester United extending their dominant run against Leeds United. The home side’s creative depth, led by Bruno Fernandes, and a more cohesive attack should prove decisive against a Leeds side that struggles for end product and control in big games. Back Manchester United to win at -161 with Bet365 (61.7% implied probability) as the top selection for Monday’s Premier League clash at Old Trafford.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.