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New England Revolution vs CF Montréal prediction: Odds, picks & stats

Saturday’s MLS match at Gillette Stadium sees the New England Revolution hosting CF Montréal in a clash between two sides desperate to find early-season rhythm.

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Kickoff is scheduled for Saturday, April 4, at 4:30 PM ET. Although it’s early in the 2026 season, both clubs are currently struggling near the bottom of the Eastern Conference. A victory here could provide the necessary spark to turn their campaigns around. While the Revolution have historically held the advantage in this matchup, Montréal’s attack—led by the in-form Prince Owusu—has the potential to disrupt that trend.

Best Bets & Predictions

Based on New England’s technical efficiency and Montréal’s defensive vulnerabilities, here are our top betting recommendations for this clash. We’re especially confident in New England to win, given their superior shot conversion and home advantage.

Our PredictionOdds & SportsbookConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
New England Revolution to Win-115 @ Bet365
(53.5%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐Home side have dominated this matchup (10 wins in 19 meetings); Montréal conceding nearly 3 per game.
Both Teams to Score – Yes-162 @ Bet365
(61.9%)
⭐⭐⭐Neither team has kept a clean sheet in their last 4 (combined 23 goals conceded).
Leonardo Campana Anytime Goalscorer+130 @ Bet365
(43.5%)
⭐⭐⭐Campana is favored to strike against a Montréal defense that shipped 14 in 5 games.
Over 2.5 Goals-142 @ Bet365
(58.8%)
⭐⭐⭐Recent meetings: 11 goals in last 3. Montréal matches average 4.2 goals this season.

Our approach: Start with the New England win as our anchor pick, and consider Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 Goals for parlay potential.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

What Polymarket traders think

Polymarket traders are currently leaning toward the New England Revolution, pricing them at a 49% implied probability on the moneyline at the time of writing. A CF Montréal win is 26%, while a draw is trading at 26¢. Here is how the live market is shaping up ahead of kickoff.

New England Revolution vs CF Montréal — Live Prediction Market
Current odds: NEW 50% · CFM 26% · MLS
View full market & place a bet on Polymarket
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Season Form & Standings

As we enter the heart of the 2026 MLS Regular Season, both New England Revolution and CF Montréal find themselves in the lower reaches of the Eastern Conference. With just one win apiece, each side is searching for consistency and momentum to climb the standings. Their defenses have been leaky, but both possess enough attacking quality to threaten any opponent.

2026 MLS Eastern Conference Standings

PosTeamGPWDLGFGAGDPts
11New England Revolution410389-13
12CF Montréal5104714-73

Potential Match-Winners

  • Prince Owusu (CF Montréal): Four goals in five matches, plus six big chance assists. His 19 duels won show he’s a handful inside the box.
  • Wiki Carmona (CF Montréal): Three goals in just over 300 minutes, six key passes, and a tidy 77% pass accuracy.
  • Brayan Ceballos (New England Revolution): Two headed goals from defense, 88% pass accuracy, and 11 clearances in three matches. A set-piece threat and defensive anchor.
  • Leonardo Campana (New England Revolution): The leading forward threat, Campana is favored by oddsmakers to get on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head

The New England Revolution have won 10 of the last 19 meetings with CF Montréal, but Montréal took the most recent encounter. Here’s how the last five have played out:

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 26, 2025New England 1-3 CF MontréalMLS
Jun 1, 2025CF Montréal 0-3 New EnglandMLS
Sep 19, 2024New England 2-2 CF MontréalMLS
Aug 25, 2024CF Montréal 0-5 New EnglandMLS
Aug 27, 2023CF Montréal 1-0 New EnglandMLS

New England Revolution vs CF Montréal Prediction

Given Revs’ superior passing, home advantage, and Montréal’s ongoing defensive struggles, this matchup sets up well for the hosts. Expect goals on both sides, but the value lies with New England to claim all three points behind their clinical shot conversion and set-piece power. Our top pick: New England to win at -115 @ Bet365 (53.5% implied probability).

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

More MLS stats and standings: MLS standings 2026 | Top scorers | Assist leaders | Full MLS stats hub