Portland Timbers host Seattle Sounders at Providence Park on Saturday, August 1 at 10:30 PM ET / 9:30 PM CT / 7:30 PM PT, and this Cascadia derby has flipped on its head.
Our Portland Timbers vs Seattle Sounders prediction leans on form over the table. Seattle Sounders sit eighth in the Western Conference on 24 points, two clear of the playoff cut-off, yet they arrive on a five-match losing run and were pulled apart 5-1 by these same Timbers less than three weeks ago. Portland Timbers are 10th, two points below the cut-off, and playing far better than their standing suggests.
bet365 make Portland Timbers the home favorite at +105, with Seattle out at +200 and the draw at +280, and the recent form does plenty to back that lean. Both sides in this meeting have been shipping goals, and that shapes how we are betting it. The wider MLS standings still have plenty to settle down the stretch.
Portland Timbers vs Seattle Sounders: Best Bets & Predictions
The table favors Seattle, but the form does not, and bet365 make Portland home favorites in a Cascadia derby that should have goals at both ends.
Our approach: anchor on Portland Timbers to win, add Kevin Kelsy to score anytime, and treat a 2-1 home win as the natural scoreline in a derby that should have goals.
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Season Form & Standings
This is a Western Conference tie between two clubs split by three points but moving in opposite directions. Seattle Sounders cling to eighth despite their slump, while Portland Timbers sit 10th, two points behind Minnesota United and the final Western Conference playoff berth.
| Team | Pos | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Sounders | 8 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 24 |
| Portland Timbers | 10 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 21 |
Predicted Lineups
Based on the XI each side started in their last match.
Portland Timbers
4-1-4-1
Seattle Sounders
4-2-3-1Potential Match-Winners
- Kevin Kelsy (Portland Timbers): the hottest finisher on the field, with eight goals off 14 shots on target in barely 900 minutes.
- Kristoffer Velde (Portland Timbers): Portland’s chief creator from the left, with 32 chances created and four goals of his own.
- Paul Rothrock (Seattle Sounders): the Sounders’ leading scorer on five, still their most direct outlet even in a struggling side.
- Albert Rusnák (Seattle Sounders): three goals and four assists, and the creative hub Seattle will lean on to end their scoring drought.
Recent Form
Portland Timbers: L L W D W
- July 26: Portland Timbers 2-1 Real Salt Lake (W, home)
- July 23: Portland Timbers 2-2 FC Dallas (D, home)
- July 17: Seattle Sounders 1-5 Portland Timbers (W, away)
- May 24: Portland Timbers 1-3 San Jose Earthquakes (L, home)
- May 17: Inter Miami 2-0 Portland Timbers (L, away)
Portland Timbers are unbeaten in three, the last defeat a 1-3 loss at home to San Jose Earthquakes on May 24, and they have scored in each of their last four. The one worry is at the back: they have conceded in each of their last six since a 6-0 rout of Sporting KC on May 10.
Seattle Sounders: L L L L L
- July 26: Philadelphia Union 1-0 Seattle Sounders (L, away)
- July 23: Austin FC 3-1 Seattle Sounders (L, away)
- July 17: Seattle Sounders 1-5 Portland Timbers (L, home)
- May 25: LAFC 1-0 Seattle Sounders (L, away)
- May 17: Seattle Sounders 0-2 LA Galaxy (L, home)
Seattle Sounders are on a five-match losing run, the last win a 3-2 result at home to San Jose Earthquakes on May 14. The defense has fallen apart in the meantime, conceding in each of their last 10 since a 1-0 win at Houston Dynamo on April 5.
Portland Timbers vs Seattle Sounders Prediction
The table says Seattle, the pitch says Portland. The Timbers are unbeaten in three, have scored in each of their last four and just put five past the Sounders, who have lost five straight and cannot keep the ball out of their net. The case for backing Portland Timbers to win at +105 with bet365 is a strong one. Kickoff at Providence Park is 10:30 PM ET / 9:30 PM CT / 7:30 PM PT on Saturday, August 1. For more picks across the weekend, check out the full soccer predictions hub, and our bet365 review covers the book behind these odds. The chase for goals also runs through the MLS top scorers, where Kelsy keeps climbing, and the wider MLS race still has plenty to give.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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