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Lakers vs Warriors: Prediction, Team News and Curry After 44

Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors prediction and picks

Stephen Curry scored 44 in Minnesota on Wednesday, and Golden State has won two in a row on the road. The Lakers beat the Clippers by 16 the same night without Luka Doncic, who missed the game with a back problem.

This Lakers vs Warriors game is a West Group C game on the opening night of the NBA Cup. It’s a rematch of opening night, when the Lakers won 127-105 at home.

Our best bet
Lakers to win
Score predictionLakers 118-115
SpreadLakers as underdogs or at -1.5 or shorter
TotalNo bet
Watch in CanadaPrime Video
No Canadian book had priced these games when we wrote this. Our player prop is added on game morning, once the line is posted. Picks are opinion, not advice. 19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC).

How to watch Lakers vs Warriors in Canada

Detail
GameLos Angeles Lakers at Golden State Warriors
DateFriday 30 October 2026
Tip-off10:00pm ET / 7:00pm PT
VenueChase Center, San Francisco
RecordsLakers 4-1, Golden State 2-3
RestLakers with 1 day off, Golden State with 1 day off

In Canada it’s on Prime Video. If you’re watching away from a TV, our how to watch the NBA in Canada page lists the streaming options.

Lakers vs Warriors odds

There’s no Canadian line on this one yet. NBA prices tend to settle on game day, once the injury report does. The NBA betting hub explains where you can bet legally in Canada.

The Lakers have depth behind Doncic

Doncic scored 52 in Utah and 41 against Portland before his back flared up. Without him on Wednesday, Quentin Grimes scored 23 and Collin Sexton 21 off the bench. The Lakers held the Clippers to 87.

Austin Reaves had 16 in that game. He passed 23 in each of the first four.

How they compare

2025-26Los Angeles LakersGolden State Warriors
Record53-2937-45
Net rating+1.8-0.6
Offensive rating116.6112.7
Defensive rating114.8113.2
Pace99.8101.7
Three-point %35.9%35.6%

Rates from last season. The Lakers were 2.4 points per 100 possessions better, mostly on offence.

Golden State is finding its feet away from home

The Warriors lost three of their first four, including 111-108 at home to Memphis. Then they won 134-114 in Denver and 119-114 in Minneapolis. Yaxel Lendeborg scored 31 and 26 in those two wins.

Kristaps Porzingis remains away from the team, and Jimmy Butler III and Moses Moody are out until the new year at the earliest. Draymond Green had nine rebounds and six assists on Wednesday.

The Lakers have won four of the last five meetings

DateResultVenue
21 Oct 2026Lakers 127-105Crypto.com Arena
9 Apr 2026Lakers 119-103Chase Center
28 Feb 2026Lakers 129-101Chase Center
7 Feb 2026Lakers 105-99Crypto.com Arena
21 Oct 2025Golden State 119-109Crypto.com Arena

Both of last season’s games at Chase Center went to the Lakers, by 16 and 28 points.

Recent form

Los Angeles LakersLast 5: 4-1WWWLW
DateOpponentResultTop scorer
Wed 28 Octat ClippersW 103-87Quentin Grimes 23
Tue 27 Octvs PortlandL 129-136Luka Doncic 41
Sun 25 Octat UtahW 132-123Luka Doncic 52
Fri 23 Octvs ClippersW 125-117Austin Reaves 28
Wed 21 Octvs Golden StateW 127-105Luka Doncic 28
Golden State WarriorsLast 5: 2-3LLLWW
DateOpponentResultTop scorer
Wed 28 Octat MinnesotaW 119-114Stephen Curry 44
Mon 26 Octat DenverW 134-114Yaxel Lendeborg 31
Sat 24 Octat PhoenixL 122-131Yaxel Lendeborg 26
Fri 23 Octvs MemphisL 108-111Stephen Curry 24
Wed 21 Octat LakersL 105-127Stephen Curry 23

Team news

ClubPlayerStatusLatest
LakersAdou ThieroOut, kneeNo timetable
LakersCameron CarrOut, obliqueNo timetable
LakersLuka DoncicDay to day, backSee the official report before tip-off
LakersZiaire WilliamsDay to day, footSee the official report before tip-off
Golden StateJimmy Butler IIIOut, kneeNo timetable
Golden StateKristaps PorzingisOut, illnessNo timetable
Golden StateMoses MoodyOut, kneeNo timetable
Golden StateGui SantosDay to day, kneeSee the official report before tip-off

Doncic is the call that decides this page. He was listed day to day after Wednesday, and the official NBA injury report is where his status will appear.

The NBA injury report covers the rest of the league.

Probable starting fives

Los Angeles LakersStarted Wed 28 Oct at Clippers
PosPlayerThat gameStatus
FJake LaRavia2 pts, 10 reb, 0 astAvailable
CWalker Kessler11 pts, 9 reb, 1 astAvailable
GMatisse Thybulle15 pts, 1 reb, 0 astAvailable
GAustin Reaves16 pts, 6 reb, 1 astAvailable
GQuentin Grimes23 pts, 3 reb, 5 astAvailable
Golden State WarriorsStarted Wed 28 Oct at Minnesota
PosPlayerThat gameStatus
FDraymond Green3 pts, 9 reb, 6 astAvailable
FGeorges Niang7 pts, 3 reb, 2 astAvailable
FYaxel Lendeborg26 pts, 9 reb, 1 astAvailable
GStephen Curry44 pts, 8 reb, 6 astAvailable
GBrandin Podziemski8 pts, 5 reb, 6 astAvailable
Each club’s most recent starting five, checked against today’s injury list. A starter marked out has no named replacement yet: clubs confirm their starters about 30 minutes before tip-off.

Players to watch

Stephen Curry, Golden State. Forty-four points on 27 shots, with six threes, the last time out.

Luka Doncic, Los Angeles. If his back allows it, he’s averaging 36 a game in the four he has played.

Score prediction

Lakers 118-115 Warriors. Last season’s ratings make the Lakers about a one-point favourite here, even on the road. That assumes Doncic plays. Without him we’d lean towards Golden State.

Lakers vs Warriors prediction

Golden State has Curry in form and home court. The Lakers have won the last two meetings in San Francisco and found answers without Doncic on Wednesday.

Our pick: the Lakers to win, as underdogs or at -1.5 or shorter. If Doncic is ruled out, we’d pass on the side. We’re also passing on the total. The Warriors’ games have swung from 219 to 248, which is no pattern at all.

The NBA games tonight board lists the rest of Friday’s Cup Night.

What time is Lakers vs Warriors?

Tip-off is 10:00pm ET / 7:00pm PT on Friday 30 October 2026 at Chase Center, San Francisco.

Where can I watch Lakers vs Warriors in Canada?

Prime Video carries the game in Canada.

Is Luka Doncic playing against the Warriors?

He missed Wednesday’s game with a back problem. Check the official injury report before tip-off.

Is Lakers vs Warriors an NBA Cup game?

Yes. Both clubs are in West Group C.

What is our Lakers vs Warriors prediction?

Lakers 118-115. We back the Lakers as underdogs or at -1.5 or shorter, if Doncic plays.

19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC). Picks are opinion, not advice, and odds change constantly. Availability varies by province. Please play responsibly. ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 for Ontario residents; see your province’s helpline for resources elsewhere.