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Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City SC: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups

Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City SC predicted formations

Houston Dynamo host St. Louis City SC at Shell Energy Stadium on Saturday, November 7 (7:00 PM ET / 6:00 PM CT / 4:00 PM PT).

Houston Dynamo have no fresh fitness concerns to report, with Guilherme Augusto Vieira dos Santos pulling the strings as an attacking midfielder after a season that has brought him 16 goals and 68 chances created. Mateusz Bogusz offers another outlet from the same position, leading the Dynamo squad with 92 shots in total. St. Louis City SC will again turn to Simon Becher and Rafael Navarro, strikers who have combined for 18 goals this season without ever forming a settled strike partnership.

Houston arrive unbeaten in five, though four of those five matches have been draws, a pattern that points to a defence capable of holding firm but an attack short of a cutting edge in behind Guilherme. St. Louis, by contrast, have lost four matches in a row and head into Shell Energy Stadium having failed to score in two of their last three outings. With both sides fifth and fourth in the Western Conference and level on points, neither can afford to keep leaking chances, and that tension should produce a tight, low-scoring contest decided by a single moment of quality.

Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City SC: Best Bets & Predictions

A tense Western Conference clash between two sides level on points but heading in opposite directions.

Houston DynamoTop pickHouston Dynamo are unbeaten in their last 5 matches and get the added boost of home advantage at Shell Energy Stadium against a St. Louis side on a 4-match losing run.
43%win prob.opening soon @ bet365
Houston Dynamo 1-0 St. Louis City SC2 of Houston's last 5 matches have finished 1-0 or 0-0, the kind of tight scoreline this fixture should produce.
10%chanceopening soon @ bet365
NoSt. Louis have been shut out in 2 of their last 5 matches, including a 0-1 home defeat to San Diego and a 0-0 draw with Vancouver, suggesting goals could be hard to find in this fixture.
44%chanceopening soon @ bet365
Under 2.5Houston's last 2 matches produced a goal or fewer each time (1-0 and 0-0), while St. Louis were blanked in their most recent home game, pointing to a cagey, low-scoring affair.
48%chanceopening soon @ bet365
Guilherme to score anytimeGuilherme leads the Dynamo with 16 goals this season from 86 shots, comfortably their most direct route to goal.
⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐chanceopening soon @ bet365

Our approach: we weigh longer-run underlying numbers — shots, chances created and recent scoring patterns — alongside each side's position in the Western Conference table to arrive at a clear result, scoreline and market picks for this one.

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Season Form & Standings

Houston Dynamo and St. Louis City SC are locked together on 51 points in the Western Conference, with St. Louis fourth and Houston fifth, split only on goal difference as both continue to push for a secure spot in the playoff picture. St. Louis boast the healthier underlying numbers too, a +10 goal difference well clear of Houston’s +3.

Western Conference

TeamPosGPWDLGFGAGDPts
St. Louis City SC433149105848+1051
Houston Dynamo53214994239+351
Team News Predicted

Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City SC Predicted Lineups

Predicted XI — updated for the latest team news.

Houston Dynamo

4-2-3-1
J. Bond
F. Negri
A. Resch
Lucas Halter
L. Ennali
Artur
D. Samassekou
M. Bogusz
A. Bouzat
I. Aliyu
L. Foster

St. Louis City SC

3-4-1-2
B. Lundt
D. Polvara
T. Baumgartl
L. MacNaughton
T. Totland
D. Edelman
C. Durkin
C. Wallem
C. Holse
Jeong Sang-Bin
Rafael Navarro
    Squawka · Team News

    Potential Match-Winners

    • Guilherme Augusto Vieira dos Santos (Houston Dynamo): The Dynamo’s most productive attacker by far, with 16 goals and a team-high 68 chances created underlining his influence on both ends of the final third.
    • Mateusz Piotr Bogusz (Houston Dynamo): Not far behind in shot volume, Bogusz has fired 92 efforts this season, with 34 on target and 8 goals to show for his persistence.
    • Simon Michael Becher (St. Louis City SC): St. Louis’ most reliable source of goals, Becher has scored 9 times from 71 shots, with 29 of those efforts on target.

    Recent Form

    Houston Dynamo: D D D D W

    • 2026-10-29: Seattle Sounders 0-1 Houston Dynamo (W, away)
    • 2026-10-25: Houston Dynamo 0-0 Minnesota United (D, home)
    • 2026-10-18: Houston Dynamo 2-2 FC Dallas (D, home)
    • 2026-10-15: San Diego FC 3-3 Houston Dynamo (D, away)
    • 2026-10-11: Minnesota United 2-2 Houston Dynamo (D, away)

    Houston Dynamo are unbeaten in five matches, though just one of those five produced a win and four finished level. The run reads 0-1 away at Seattle, 0-0 against Minnesota, 2-2 with Dallas, 3-3 at San Diego and 2-2 at Minnesota.

    St. Louis City SC: D L L L L

    • 2026-10-31: St. Louis City SC 0-1 San Diego FC (L, home)
    • 2026-10-29: St. Louis City SC 2-3 Portland Timbers (L, home)
    • 2026-10-25: Real Salt Lake 3-0 St. Louis City SC (L, away)
    • 2026-10-17: Minnesota United 3-2 St. Louis City SC (L, away)
    • 2026-10-15: St. Louis City SC 0-0 Vancouver Whitecaps (D, home)

    St. Louis City SC have lost four of their last five fixtures, with the sequence broken only by a goalless draw at home to Vancouver Whitecaps. The run reads 0-0 vs Vancouver, 3-2 away to Minnesota, 3-0 away to Real Salt Lake, 2-3 at home to Portland and 0-1 at home to San Diego.

    Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City SC Prediction

    This looks set to be decided by fine margins. Houston Dynamo, fifth in the West, have the platform of an unbeaten run and a defence that has conceded sparingly in recent weeks. St. Louis City SC, fourth and level on points, arrive looking to arrest a 4-match losing skid. Expect Guilherme to supply the moment of quality that separates both sides, short on goals of late: Houston Dynamo 1-0.