Toronto FC head to Yankee Stadium to face New York City FC on Friday, July 31 (7:30 PM ET / 6:30 PM CT / 5:30 PM MT / 4:30 PM PT), and the Reds do so in dismal shape.
This is a mismatch on current form. NYCFC are fifth in the East, unbeaten in their last two and playing with a spring in their step. Toronto, 12th and winless in 11, are the ones under pressure, and a long road trip is not where slumps tend to end.
bet365 have the hosts at -163, the visitors a distant +400 and the draw at +300. It is a price that reflects the run of results, and there is little in the data to argue against it.
New York City FC vs Toronto FC: Best Bets & Predictions
bet365 make NYCFC firm home favourites, and with Toronto still chasing a first win in months the value sits with the hosts on a night that should bring goals.
Our approach: lead with NYCFC to win, add Nicolás Fernández to score anytime, and treat a 2-1 home win as the scoreline that ties the whole card together.
Odds correct at time of writing and shown in American format for illustration. 19+ (18+ in AB/MB/QC). Please play responsibly. ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON).
Season Form & Standings
NYCFC carry 25 points and a healthy goal difference into this one, sitting fifth in the East and well placed in the playoff picture. Toronto, 12th on 16 points, have won just three times all season and need results in a hurry.
| Team | Pos | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York City FC | 5 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 23 | +7 | 25 |
| Toronto FC | 12 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 16 |
Predicted Lineups
Based on the XI each side started in their last match.
New York City FC
4-1-4-1
Toronto FC
3-4-2-1Potential Match-Winners
- Nicolás Fernández (NYCFC): the hosts’ leading scorer on 12 goals, working 1.61 shots on target per 90 from an advanced midfield role.
- Maximiliano Moralez (NYCFC): the old head in the engine room, six assists to his name and creating at 2.31 key passes per 90.
- Dániel Sallói (Toronto FC): four goals and three assists make the winger Toronto’s best hope of a spark on the road.
- Joshua Sargent (Toronto FC): three goals from limited minutes and 1.3 shots on target per 90, the sharpest of the visiting forwards.
Recent Form
New York City FC: W D L W W
- Jul 26: New York City 3-1 Chicago Fire (W, home)
- Jul 23: Columbus Crew 1-2 New York City (W, away)
- May 24: Nashville SC 2-1 New York City (L, away)
- May 17: New York RB 1-1 New York City (D, away)
- May 14: Charlotte 0-1 New York City (W, away)
Two straight wins have NYCFC ticking over nicely, their only recent blemish a 1-2 loss at Nashville SC on May 24. The attack has clicked, even if the defence has been busier than the manager would like.
Toronto FC: L L D D L
- Jul 26: DC United 2-1 Toronto (L, away)
- Jul 23: New England 0-0 Toronto (D, away)
- Jul 17: Montréal 0-0 Toronto (D, away)
- May 24: Chicago Fire 2-1 Toronto (L, away)
- May 17: Charlotte 3-1 Toronto (L, away)
Toronto’s winless run stretches to 11 games, the last victory a 3-2 win over Colorado Rapids back on April 4. A pair of scoreless draws hint at a steadier defence, but the goals have deserted them.
New York City FC vs Toronto FC Prediction
Everything about this fixture favours the hosts. NYCFC are scoring, winning and at home; Toronto are none of those things right now. Backing NYCFC to win at -163 with bet365 is the sensible starting point, with goals likely given how open the hosts have been at the back. Kickoff at Yankee Stadium is 7:30 PM ET / 6:30 PM CT / 5:30 PM MT / 4:30 PM PT on Friday, July 31. For more of the weekend’s calls, our soccer predictions page has the lot, and the bet365 review runs through the sportsbook behind these prices. For another Friday-night read, try our Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United preview.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please play responsibly.
19+ (18+ in AB/MB/QC) | Please play responsibly | ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON)