
Oklahoma City has won all four games, and it has done it while the injury list grew. Jalen Williams needs surgery on a dislocated ankle and fractured fibula, Cason Wallace on a torn labrum, and Chet Holmgren and Alex Caruso are out tonight. So the question in Dallas is how much Shai Gilgeous-Alexander can carry against Cooper Flagg.
The Canadian is averaging 27.3 points through four games. Flagg has scored 32 and 29 in two of his three appearances.
How to watch Thunder vs Mavericks in Canada
| Detail | |
|---|---|
| Game | Oklahoma City Thunder at Dallas Mavericks |
| Date | Wednesday 28 October 2026 |
| Tip-off | 9:30pm ET / 8:30pm CT |
| Venue | American Airlines Center, Dallas |
| Records | Oklahoma City 4-0, Dallas 2-2 |
| Rest | Oklahoma City with 1 day off, Dallas with 1 day off |
In Canada it’s on NBA TV Canada. If you’re watching away from a TV, our how to watch the NBA in Canada page lists the streaming options.
Thunder vs Mavericks odds
There’s no Canadian line on this one yet. NBA prices tend to settle on game day, once the injury report does. The NBA betting hub explains where you can bet legally in Canada.
Oklahoma City is 4-0 with a shrinking rotation
Oklahoma City won 116-104 in San Antonio, then beat Denver 96-84, the Clippers 108-101 and Phoenix 125-114 at home. Gilgeous-Alexander scored 32, 17, 34 and 26.
Depth has been tested already. Ajay Mitchell scored 30 against Phoenix on Monday, Jared McCain hit four threes for 18, and Isaiah Hartenstein had 15 points and 13 rebounds. Mitchell is questionable with an ankle problem, so even that cover isn’t certain.
How they compare
| 2025-26 | Oklahoma City Thunder | Dallas Mavericks |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 64-18 | 26-56 |
| Net rating | +11.0 | -5.3 |
| Offensive rating | 117.0 | 109.1 |
| Defensive rating | 106.0 | 114.3 |
| Pace | 101.8 | 104.6 |
| Three-point % | 36.5% | 34.4% |
Rates from last season. The gap was 16.3 points per 100 possessions, which is why a short-handed Thunder team is still the favourite in this Thunder vs Mavericks game.
Dallas has Flagg and a questionable Kyrie Irving
Dallas is 2-2: beaten 128-110 in Houston, winners 121-105 in Indiana, beaten 122-106 at home by San Antonio, then 113-109 winners in Miami on Monday. Flagg had 29 points and 11 assists that night.
Kyrie Irving is questionable (knee) and Naji Marshall (illness). Dallas went 26-56 last season, so even a .500 start is a change.
Oklahoma City swept last season’s meetings
| Date | Result | Venue |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Mar 2026 | Oklahoma City 100-87 | American Airlines Center |
| 5 Dec 2025 | Oklahoma City 132-111 | Paycom Center |
| 27 Oct 2025 | Oklahoma City 101-94 | American Airlines Center |
Oklahoma City won all three, twice in Dallas. The highest total was 243, and two finished under 200.
Recent form
Team news
| Club | Player | Status | Latest |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City | Alex Caruso | Out, ankle | Out for this game (27 Oct) |
| Oklahoma City | Cason Wallace | Out, shoulder | No timetable |
| Oklahoma City | Chet Holmgren | Out, knee | Out for this game (27 Oct) |
| Oklahoma City | Jalen Williams | Out, leg | No timetable |
| Oklahoma City | Nikola Topic | Out, back | Week to week |
| Oklahoma City | Otega Oweh | Out, achilles | No timetable |
| Oklahoma City | Thomas Sorber | Out, knee | Out for this game (27 Oct) |
| Oklahoma City | Ajay Mitchell | Day to day, ankle | Questionable for this game (27 Oct) |
| Dallas | Caleb Martin | Questionable, thumb | Questionable for this game (27 Oct) |
| Dallas | Dereck Lively II | Out, foot | Week to week |
| Dallas | Santi Aldama | Doubtful, knee | Doubtful on the official report (28 Oct) |
| Dallas | Sergio de Larrea | Out, knee | Out for this game (27 Oct) |
| Dallas | Tarik Biberovic | Doubtful, heel | Doubtful for this game (27 Oct) |
| Dallas | Kyrie Irving | Day to day, knee | Questionable for this game (27 Oct) |
| Dallas | Naji Marshall | Day to day, illness | Questionable for this game (27 Oct) |
Questionable calls on both sides usually settle about an hour before tip-off. The official NBA injury report is the one to check late.
The NBA injury report covers the rest of the league.
Probable starting fives
Players to watch
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Oklahoma City. His one quiet night, 17 on 6-of-19 against Denver, is also the Thunder’s lowest score so far.
Cooper Flagg, Dallas. He’s taken on more of the playmaking, with 11 assists in Miami. If Irving sits, the next-best scorer is P.J. Washington at 15.5 a game.
Score prediction
Thunder 115-108 Mavericks. Taken alone, last season’s ratings would make Oklahoma City a double-digit favourite, even on the road. We take about half of that away for Jalen Williams, Holmgren, Wallace and Caruso, and a questionable Irving takes some back from Dallas.
Thunder vs Mavericks prediction
Dallas has the home floor and a forward who can score 30. Oklahoma City has the best player on the court and a defence that held Denver to 84.
Our pick: Oklahoma City to win, the Thunder at -6.5 or shorter, and the under if the total sits at 228.5 or higher. Their three meetings a season ago averaged 208 points.
Our player prop is P.J. Washington over 14.5 points, but only if Kyrie Irving is ruled out. Washington has 10, 20, 12 and 20, and he’s the next scorer up without Irving. The line was 14.5 on Covers’ NBA prop board at 6:55 a.m. ET.
The NBA games tonight board lists the rest of Wednesday’s games.
Tip-off is 9:30pm ET / 8:30pm CT on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at American Airlines Center, Dallas.
NBA TV Canada carries the game in Canada.
No. He has been ruled out (knee), and Jalen Williams and Cason Wallace are out after injuries that need surgery.
He’s questionable because of his knee, so his status may not be settled until close to tip-off.
Thunder 115-108. We back Oklahoma City to win, at -6.5 or shorter, and the under at 228.5 or higher.
19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC). Picks are opinion, not advice, and odds change constantly. Availability varies by province. Please play responsibly. ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 for Ontario residents; see your province’s helpline for resources elsewhere.