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Maple Leafs vs Oilers: Prediction, Team News and Canadian Odds

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Edmonton Oilers prediction and picks

Edmonton is 8-1-1 and second in the league with the two worst save percentages of any tandem in the top ten. Toronto arrives on three straight wins. The call, the team news and the Canadian odds are set out below.

How to watch

Detail
GameToronto Maple Leafs at Edmonton Oilers
DateSaturday 24 October 2026
Puck drop7:00pm ET / 5:00pm MT
VenueRogers Place
RecordsToronto 6-4-2, Edmonton 8-1-1

Check your provider before puck drop: coverage varies by region and some parts of Canada are blacked out. We keep the full breakdown on our how to watch the NHL in Canada page.

Maple Leafs vs Oilers odds

There was no price up yet when we wrote this. Canadian books post NHL markets close to the game, so the NHL odds page will have it before puck drop.

Edmonton is winning in spite of its goaltending, not because of it

The Oilers are 8-1-1 with a goal difference of plus fifteen and have taken their last two in a shootout: 4-3 against Minnesota and 6-5 against Carolina, the league leader.

Devon Levi has a .887 across seven starts and Tristan Jarry a .873 across three. Both are below league average, and Frederik Andersen is out until late December with a knee injury. A club second in the NHL is doing it with skaters.

Connor McDavid leads the league in scoring by a distance and Evan Bouchard is the leading defenceman by points. Mattias Ekholm is newly out until 31 October, which thins a blue line already missing depth, and Matt Savoie is gone until late November.

How they compare

2025-26Toronto Maple LeafsEdmonton Oilers
Record32-36-1441-30-11
Points7893
Goals for per game3.093.44
Goals against per game3.653.28
Power play21.3%30.6%
Penalty kill81.2%77.8%

Edmonton finished fifteen points clear of Toronto last season and had a power play nine points better, at 30.6 per cent against 21.3. Toronto conceded almost four tenths of a goal a game more, which is the gap it has closed this season.

Toronto has won three in a row with nine players out

The Leafs are 6-4-2 and have beaten the Rangers 5-4, Columbus 6-2 and San Jose 3-1 in a week. That is their best run of the season.

John Tavares is out until late November with a lower-body injury and Chris Tanev is on injured reserve. Dakota Joshua is dated to return around now, and Elvis Merzlikins is gone until the spring.

The goaltending has been shared and neither man has claimed it. Sergei Bobrovsky has eight starts at a .895 and Anthony Stolarz four at a .898. On this evidence the four netminders in this game are closely matched and none of them is in form.

Toronto has won four of the last five, and they are high-scoring

DateResultVenue
3 Feb 2026Toronto 5-2Edmonton
13 Dec 2025Edmonton 6-3Toronto
1 Feb 2025Toronto 4-3Edmonton
16 Nov 2024Toronto 4-3 (OT)Edmonton
23 Mar 2024Toronto 6-3Edmonton

Toronto leads the all-time series 72 wins to 53 and has won four of the last five, three of them at Rogers Place.

Those five produced 7, 9, 7, 7 and 9 goals, an average of 7.8. Every one of the five cleared a line of 6.5. That is the most consistent over on any Canadian head-to-head this season.

Team news

ClubPlayerStatus
TorontoJohn TavaresOut, lower body, on injured reserve to late November
TorontoChris TanevOut, upper body, on injured reserve
TorontoDakota JoshuaOut, abdomen, dated to return around now
TorontoElvis MerzlikinsOut, shoulder, long term
TorontoMarshall RifaiOut, on injured reserve
EdmontonMattias EkholmOut, to 31 October
EdmontonFrederik AndersenOut, knee, on injured reserve to late December
EdmontonMatt SavoieOut, lower body, to late November
EdmontonJason DickinsonOut, undisclosed, to 28 October

Who starts in goal is an open question. Toronto Maple Leafs has split between Bobrovsky (8 starts, .895) and Stolarz (4, .898), and Edmonton Oilers has split between Levi (7 starts, .887) and Jarry (3, .873). Neither number is a promise about tonight, and the line moves the moment a club confirms its starter.

The full league picture is on our NHL injury report.

Players to watch

Connor McDavid, Edmonton. Leading the NHL in scoring by a clear margin, and the reason this is not a close price.

Auston Matthews, Toronto. Eight goals in twelve games with Tavares out of the lineup around him.

Devon Levi, Edmonton. A .887 across seven starts and a 6-0-1 record. Those two numbers do not usually sit together.

Score prediction

Edmonton Oilers 5-4 Toronto Maple Leafs. Edmonton is second in the league and at home, and neither goaltender looks likely to keep this quiet.

Maple Leafs vs Oilers prediction

Edmonton is the side we would take. It is 8-1-1, it has McDavid in the form of his career, and Toronto is missing Tavares and Tanev.

The case for Toronto is the head-to-head and the crease. It has won four of the last five meetings, and Edmonton’s save percentages are the weakest of any club in the top five. Our lean: Edmonton, and the over. All five of the last meetings cleared 6.5 and both tandems are conceding freely, which is the clearest total on the card.

We rank all 32 each week in the NHL power rankings; the NHL schedule has the rest of Saturday’s games.

What time is Maple Leafs vs Oilers?

Puck drop is 7:00pm ET / 5:00pm MT on Saturday 24 October 2026 at Rogers Place in Edmonton.

Where are Edmonton in the standings?

Second in the NHL. The Oilers are 8-1-1 with 17 points from ten games and a goal difference of plus fifteen.

Is John Tavares playing?

No. He is out with a lower-body injury until late November. Chris Tanev and Elvis Merzlikins are also unavailable.

Who has won more between Toronto and Edmonton?

Toronto leads the all-time series 72 wins to 53 and has won four of the last five meetings.

What is our Maple Leafs vs Oilers prediction?

Edmonton to win 5-4, and the over. All five of the last meetings produced seven goals or more.

19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC). Picks are opinion, not advice, and odds change constantly. Availability varies by province. Please play responsibly. ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 for Ontario residents; see your province’s helpline for resources elsewhere.