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Maple Leafs vs Sharks: Prediction, Team News and Canadian Odds

San Jose Sharks vs Toronto Maple Leafs prediction and picks

San Jose has won the last four meetings with Toronto, three of them past regulation. Maple Leafs vs Sharks on Monday 19 October closes the Sharks’ road trip, a 7:30pm ET start at Scotiabank Arena.

How to watch

Detail
GameSan Jose Sharks at Toronto Maple Leafs
DateMonday 19 October 2026
Puck drop7:30pm ET
VenueScotiabank Arena
RecordsSan Jose 4-3-0, Toronto 3-3-2

Blackouts apply in some parts of Canada, and regional coverage may not match the national listing. Our how to watch the NHL in Canada page sets out every option.

Maple Leafs vs Sharks odds

Canadian books hadn’t priced this one when the page went up. NHL lines usually arrive the night before or on game day, so check our NHL odds page for the current board and NHL predictions for the day’s priced picks.

San Jose keeps beating Toronto and nobody can explain why

The last two were 4-1 in San Jose in April and 3-2 in overtime at Scotiabank Arena in December. Before that came two shootout wins in March 2025, 3-2 in Toronto and 6-5 in San Jose.

The Sharks don’t look like a team that should be doing this. They’re 4-3-0 with 19 goals for and 25 against, and all four of their wins have been one-goal games: 4-3 in overtime against Florida, 5-4 in overtime against Los Angeles, 3-2 in overtime in St. Louis and 3-2 in a shootout in Nashville on Thursday.

Yaroslav Askarov has started five and is 2-3-0 at .848, while Alex Nedeljkovic has won both of his starts at .933 and 1.90. Form says Nedeljkovic. San Jose plays in Detroit on Saturday, so this is its second game in three nights.

How they compare

2025-26San Jose SharksToronto Maple Leafs
Record39-35-832-36-14
Points8678
Goals for per game3.043.07
Goals against per game3.543.60
Power play21.2%21.3%
Penalty kill76.4%81.2%

The Sharks finished eight points ahead of the Leafs last season. Both gave up more than three and a half goals a game, Toronto 3.60 of them, and Toronto’s penalty kill was five points better.

Toronto has eight names on its injury list and a goaltender at .896

The Leafs sit at 3-3-2 and have scored exactly as many as they’ve allowed, 28. After the 5-4 overtime loss to Buffalo on 15 October, it hosts the Islanders on Saturday, two days before this game. The Leafs have allowed five goals in each of their last two.

Sergei Bobrovsky, signed in July, is 1-2-2 at .896 and 3.34 in five starts, and Anthony Stolarz has the other three at .875. Elvis Merzlikins is out long term with a shoulder injury.

John Tavares has been day to day since a collision with a Sabre on 15 October. With Chris Tanev, Dakota Joshua, Max Domi, Miles Wood and three others out, Toronto has eight names on its injury list before Saturday’s game.

Four in a row to San Jose, three of them past regulation

DateResultVenue
2 Apr 2026San Jose 4-1San Jose
11 Dec 2025San Jose 3-2 (OT)Toronto
27 Mar 2025San Jose 6-5 (SO)San Jose
3 Mar 2025San Jose 3-2 (SO)Toronto

Three of the four were one-goal games, two settled in a shootout and one in overtime, so the margins have been thin.

All-time, San Jose leads 36 wins to 35. Toronto’s last win was a 7-1 rout at home in January 2024, three days after a 4-1 win in San Jose.

Team news

ClubPlayerStatus
TorontoJohn TavaresDay to day. He collided with a Sabre on 15 October and left the game immediately
TorontoChris TanevOut, upper body. Likely to need more than the minimum spell on injured reserve
TorontoDakota JoshuaOut, abdomen. Week to week and set to miss at least Toronto’s first ten games
TorontoMax DomiOut, back. No timetable after complications from summer surgery
TorontoElvis MerzlikinsOut, shoulder, long term
TorontoMiles WoodOut, undisclosed, on injured reserve
San JoseDarnell NurseOut for at least one game after being hurt in a fight against Boston, with Nolan Allan expected to come in
San JoseQuentin MustyOut, upper body, long term
San JoseKyle KeyserOut, upper body, long term

Toronto’s list is longer and hits regulars: Tanev, Domi and possibly Tavares, its second-line centre. For San Jose, Darnell Nurse was described as a likely game-time decision later in the trip. Our NHL injury report tracks every other club.

Players to watch

Alex Nedeljkovic, San Jose. Two starts, two wins, a .933 and a 1.90 against Askarov’s .848. Which of them plays may decide this.

Kirill Marchenko, Toronto. A hat trick against Buffalo on 15 October, and Toronto’s most dangerous forward this month.

Nolan Allan, San Jose. In for Nurse on the blue line, and about to face a Toronto side that has scored 28 in eight.

Score prediction

Toronto Maple Leafs 4-3 San Jose Sharks. The Leafs are at home against a team at the end of a road trip, though the recent series says it’ll be close.

Maple Leafs vs Sharks prediction

A narrow call for Toronto. San Jose is playing its second game in three nights at the end of a trip, and has scored only 19 goals in seven.

Against that, the Sharks own the recent series, and Toronto has eight names on its injury list and Bobrovsky at .896. Our lean: Toronto, and the under if the total sits at 6 or higher. The four games in that run produced 5, 5, 11 and 5 goals, so three of them finished under six. That cuts against this season’s form, though: Toronto’s games have averaged 7.0 goals and San Jose’s 6.3. Both clubs’ standing is on our NHL power rankings, and Monday’s other games are on the NHL schedule.

What time is Maple Leafs vs Sharks?

Puck drop is 7:30pm ET on Monday 19 October 2026 at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto.

Who has won the recent Maple Leafs vs Sharks games?

San Jose has won the last four meetings, three of them in overtime or a shootout. Toronto’s last win in the series was 7-1 in January 2024.

Is John Tavares playing against San Jose?

He has been day to day since colliding with a Sabre on 15 October. Toronto has eight players unavailable.

Who is in goal for San Jose?

Yaroslav Askarov has started five at a .848 save percentage and Alex Nedeljkovic has won both of his at a .933.

What is our Maple Leafs vs Sharks prediction?

Toronto to win 4-3, and the under if the total sits at 6 or higher.

19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC). Picks are opinion, not advice, and odds change constantly. Availability varies by province. Please play responsibly. ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 for Ontario residents; see your province’s helpline for resources elsewhere.