Our Commanders vs Eagles prediction backs Philadelphia. Washington visit Lincoln Financial Field on Sunday, September 13 for the late window, one of four games in that slot. Both sides open the 2026 NFL season here. Squawka Signal’s live read, including where the value sits, is in the block just below. Moreover, Signal rates all 16 Week 1 games the same way.
Philadelphia won their division at 11-6. Washington, by contrast, finished 5-12 at minus 95.
The red zone is the story. Philadelphia converted 70.5% of trips inside the twenty, the best rate on the slate, while Washington allowed 67.7%, the weakest.
Washington Commanders @ Philadelphia Eagles
Washington CommandersWin prob27%
Philadelphia EaglesWin prob73%Squawka Signal is our model’s read, updated after every result — not betting advice. How the NFL Signal works. 19+ (18+ in AB/MB/QC). Please play responsibly. ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON). Full T&Cs & geo-restrictions apply: bet365.
Commanders vs Eagles: our editor’s prop
One editorial call to sit alongside the live Signal numbers above.
AT 
Our prop
An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC). Please play responsibly.
Commanders vs Eagles: 2025 season form
Philadelphia finished 11-6 at plus 54. Washington, meanwhile, finished 5-12 at minus 95.
| 2025 regular season | Commanders | Eagles |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 5-12 | 11-6 |
| Points for | 356 | 379 |
| Points against | 451 | 325 |
| Point differential | -95 | +54 |
| Sacks recorded | 42 | 42 |
| Sacks allowed | 37 | 35 |
| Interceptions made | 8 | 12 |
| Third-down offence | 37.6% | 37.1% |
| Red-zone offence | 65.2% | 70.5% |
| Red zone allowed | 67.7% | 53.1% |
| Opponent passer rating | 104.0 | 75.4 |
The red-zone rows carry it. Philadelphia converted 70.5% and conceded far less than Washington, whose 104.0 opponent passer rating was the weakest figure in this fixture.
Commanders vs Eagles injury report and team news
This section updates as soon as the Out, Doubtful and Questionable tags appear. For now, both sides expect their first-choice quarterbacks.
Jayden Daniels starts for Washington, and Stefon Diggs has arrived from New England to work opposite Terry McLaurin. Jacory Croskey-Merritt carries the run game, moreover.
Jalen Hurts starts for Philadelphia with Saquon Barkley in the backfield after 1,140 rushing yards. DeVonta Smith leads the receivers, meanwhile, following 1,008 yards.
Washington CommandersPhiladelphia EaglesThe matchup that settles it: the best red-zone offence against the leakiest defence
Philadelphia converted 70.5% of red-zone trips in 2025, the highest rate of any team playing this week. Saquon Barkley’s 1,140 rushing yards are a large part of why.
Washington allowed 67.7% at the other end, along with a 104.0 opponent passer rating. Consequently the most one-sided pairing of the weekend is Philadelphia inside the twenty.
Players to watch
- Jalen Hurts (PHI, QB): 3,224 passing yards for a division-winning side.
- Saquon Barkley (PHI, RB): 1,140 rushing yards, notably behind the slate’s best red-zone offence.
- DeVonta Smith (PHI, WR): 1,008 receiving yards, indeed the steadiest target here.
- Stefon Diggs (WAS, WR): Arrives from New England after 1,013 receiving yards.
How to watch Commanders vs Eagles
The game kicks off at 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, September 13 at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, PA. CTV carries a Sunday afternoon game in each region, meanwhile, with RDS on the French-language broadcast. The CTV selection is regional, so DAZN through NFL Game Pass is the dependable way to get this one. Our full guide to watching the NFL in Canada sets out every window. Squawka may earn a commission if you subscribe through that link.
| Detail | Commanders vs Eagles |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, September 13, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 4:25 PM ET / 3:25 PM CT / 1:25 PM PT |
| Venue | Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, PA |
| TV | CTV (regional) / RDS (French) |
| Live stream | DAZN (NFL Game Pass) / CTV.ca |
| Week | Week 1, 2026 NFL season |
Commanders vs Eagles prediction and score projection
Our Commanders vs Eagles prediction is a clear Philadelphia win. The best red-zone offence on the slate meeting the weakest red-zone defence is the most one-sided pairing of the weekend.
Notably, Signal currently puts Washington at 27% and Philadelphia at 73%, with a projected line of Philadelphia Eagles -7.
The Commanders have added Stefon Diggs and still have Terry McLaurin. Nevertheless a 5-12 record and minus 95 differential is the context.
So we will take the Eagles, 30-20. Which side carries the value, though, is a separate question from who wins, and the live read on that sits in the Signal block.
Signal rates every game on our NFL picks page. Meanwhile the title race is priced through Super Bowl LXI odds, with both conferences on the NFC and AFC Championship pages. Finally, player markets sit with our NFL player props coverage, and kickoff is confirmed on NFL.com.
Commanders vs Eagles FAQ
Philadelphia, clearly. Indeed the Eagles won their division at 11-6 and converted 70.5% of red-zone trips, the best rate on the slate, while Washington finished 5-12. Ultimately the live win probability and the current market price both sit in the Signal block on this page.
Spreads move all week; therefore both the live line and our model’s projected line sit in the Signal block rather than in this answer. As a guide: Philadelphia finished plus 54, Washington minus 95.
CTV carries a Sunday afternoon game in each region and RDS has the French-language coverage, while DAZN streams every game through NFL Game Pass. Kickoff is 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, September 13. Notably the CTV selection is regional.
He is on the roster, having arrived from New England where he recorded 1,013 receiving yards in 2025. He works opposite Terry McLaurin.
Eagles 30-20. Philadelphia’s 70.5% red-zone conversion against Washington’s 67.7% allowed is the clearest edge in the fixture.
19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC) | Please play responsibly | ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON) | Signal probabilities and odds approximate at time of writing and subject to change