Manchester United vs Manchester City: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups

Manchester United host Manchester City at Old Trafford on Sunday, September 13 (11:30 AM ET / 10:30 AM CT / 8:30 AM PT).

There’s no fresh injury or suspension news out of either camp this week, so this comes down to first-choice quality up front. Manchester United will lean on Bruno Fernandes, who already has 3 goals and 8 chances created this season, alongside Bryan Mbeumo’s 2 goals and Benjamin Šeško’s early impact off the bench. Manchester City build, as ever, around Erling Haaland, who has scored 3 goals from 14 shots, with Phil Foden and Antoine Semenyo supplying the service.

US viewers can watch Manchester United vs Manchester City on NBC and Peacock.

Manchester United vs Manchester City: Best Bets & Predictions

Manchester City are fancied to outscore Manchester United in a goal-filled derby at Old Trafford.

Where are you following from? Odds & offers below update to match.

🇺🇸 United StatesTrade on Kalshi 🌎 Outside the USOdds via bet365

Manchester City to winTop pickCity have won all 3 of their league games this season for 9 points and a +5 goal difference, well clear of United's 4 points from 3.

48%win prob.110 @ bet365

Manchester United 1-2 Manchester CityWith Haaland's 3 goals and Bruno Fernandes' 3 goals already this season, a narrow 2-goal City win with United also finding the net fits the form on both sides.

10%chance900 @ bet365

Both Teams to Score — YesBruno Fernandes (3 goals) and Bryan Mbeumo (2 goals) give United a goal threat of their own, while Erling Haaland's 3 goals make a City clean sheet unlikely.

69%chance-225 @ bet365

Over 2.5 GoalsBetween them, Bruno Fernandes (3 goals), Bryan Mbeumo (2 goals) and Erling Haaland (3 goals) have already produced 8 goals this season, supporting an Over 2.5 total here.

65%chance-188 @ bet365

Erling Haaland — Anytime GoalscorerHaaland leads both sides with 3 goals from 14 shots, 8 of them on target, making him the likeliest man to score at Old Trafford.

⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐chanceopening soon @ bet365

Our approach: we lean on the underlying numbers — standings, goal difference and individual output — rather than reputation alone, and our Signal model has settled on Manchester City to win, both teams to score, and a combined total of 3 goals or more.

Trade these markets on KalshiNew users get $10 — trade $10 to unlock. Prices update live.

Trade on Kalshi →

If Kalshi isn’t your choice, we also rate Polymarket and ProphetX — or compare the full lineup.

Compare All →

Probabilities reflect live Kalshi market prices at time of loading. 21+. Prediction markets are CFTC-regulated event contracts, not sportsbook bets. Polymarket excluded in AZ, IL, MA, MD, MI, MT, NJ, NV, OH. Please play responsibly. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. New Kalshi users: USE CODE SQUAWKA.

Back these with bet365Odds shown for your region — toggle the odds beside each pick above.

Bet with bet365 → bet365 review

Odds correct at time of writing and shown in American format for illustration; your local odds and offer are served on click. Eligibility, minimum age (18+/21+) and T&Cs vary by region. Please gamble responsibly.

Season Form & Standings

Manchester United have taken 4 points from 3 games — 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss — for a +1 goal difference. Manchester City have won all 3 of their games for 9 points and a +5 goal difference, the early form clearly favoring the visitors.

Premier League

Shop the matchManchester United v Manchester CityOfficial kits via Fanatics

adidasMen's adidas Red Manchester United 2026/27 Home Replica Jersey$100.00ShopPumaMen's Puma Light Blue Manchester City 2026/27 Home Replica Jersey$100.00ShopadidasMen's adidas Royal Manchester United 2026/27 Away Replica Jersey$100.00Shop

Squawka may earn a commission when you buy through these links, at no extra cost to you. Prices are set by the retailer and correct at time of publishing.

Potential Match-Winners

• Bruno Fernandes (Manchester United): 3 goals and 8 chances created already this season, with an assist too — United’s creative and scoring focal point.
• Bryan Mbeumo (Manchester United): 2 goals from 11 shots, with 4 on target and 5 chances created for United’s front line.
• Erling Haaland (Manchester City): 3 goals from 14 shots, 8 of them on target — City’s most direct route to goal.

Recent Form

Manchester United: D W L W D

• 2026-09-06: Everton 2-2 Manchester United (D, away)
• 2026-08-30: Manchester United 5-2 Ipswich Town (W, home)
• 2026-08-22: Hull City 2-0 Manchester United (L, away)
• 2026-05-17: Manchester United 3-2 Nottingham Forest (W, home)
• 2026-05-09: Sunderland 0-0 Manchester United (D, away)

United’s last five read D W L W D — a 2-2 draw at Everton, a 5-2 win over Ipswich Town, a 2-0 loss at Hull City, a 3-2 win over Nottingham Forest and a scoreless draw at Sunderland.

Manchester City: W D W W W

• 2026-09-05: Manchester City 1-0 Coventry City (W, home)
• 2026-08-28: Crystal Palace 1-4 Manchester City (W, away)
• 2026-08-23: Manchester City 2-1 Bournemouth (W, home)
• 2026-05-19: Bournemouth 1-1 Manchester City (D, away)
• 2026-05-09: Manchester City 3-0 Brentford (W, home)

City’s last five read W D W W W — a 1-0 win over Coventry City, a 4-1 win at Crystal Palace, a 2-1 win over Bournemouth, a 1-1 draw at Bournemouth and a 3-0 win over Brentford.

Manchester United vs Manchester City Prediction

We’re siding with the market here: Manchester City to win at Old Trafford, with Erling Haaland among the goals again and Bruno Fernandes on the scoresheet for United too. Expect City’s greater firepower — 9 points and a +5 goal difference against United’s 4 and +1 — to tell in a 1-2 away win.