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Manchester City vs Brighton: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups

Manchester City vs Brighton predicted formations

Manchester City host Brighton at Etihad Stadium on Saturday, October 31 (11:00 AM ET / 10:00 AM CT / 8:00 AM PT).

Brighton travel to the Etihad with several absentees: the injured Kaoru Mitoma, Evan Ferguson and Stefanos Tzimas are all out, alongside Femi Azeez and Zadok Yohanna, while Mats Wieffer, Yankuba Minteh Moat, Pascal Struijk and goalkeeper Jason Steele carry doubts. Manchester City have no fresh fitness concerns and will again build around striker Erling Haaland, who has scored 9 goals in 710 minutes this season, with attacking midfielder Mathis Rayan Cherki supplying 4 goals and 16 chances created from 440 minutes. Brighton’s threat centers on striker Charalampos Kostoulas, who has 3 goals from 18 shots (7 on target) in 487 minutes, and attacking midfielder Maxim Peter De Cuyper, who has contributed 2 goals and 15 chances created across 583 minutes.

City have won 7 of their 8 league games this season, taking 21 points and posting a +11 goal difference, with the only blemish a 2-1 loss at Aston Villa last time out. Brighton arrive on the back of a 5-0 thrashing of Crystal Palace, having taken 16 points from 7 games and conceded sparingly enough to own a +18 goal difference. Both teams carry goals in behind, but City’s quality at the Etihad should see them edge a tight, competitive contest that doesn’t get away from Brighton’s well-organized defense.

US viewers can watch Manchester City vs Brighton on NBC and Peacock.

Squawka Signal
Match outcome · who wins
Manchester CityManchester City48%mkt 58%Our pick
DrawDraw23%mkt 21%
BrightonBrighton29%mkt 21%Value +8

Manchester City vs Brighton: Best Bets & Predictions

Signal has Manchester City at 48% — no edge over the market on the result. The market’s soft on Brighton (+8) — our value angle.

In lineno standout edge on the result
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The tips · best bets
MarketMkt %Signal %Read
Correct ScoreManchester City 2-1 BrightonA 2-1 scoreline fits a City side averaging goals through Haaland (9) and Cherki (4 goals, 16 chances created) against a Brighton side capable of hurting them through Kostoulas (3 goals, 18 shots).
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9%
Model read
Both Teams to ScoreBoth teams to scoreBrighton have found the net in attack through Kostoulas (3 goals) and De Cuyper (2 goals, 15 chances created), while City's Haaland (9 goals) and Cherki (4 goals) give the hosts enough firepower to score at the other end.
64%
62%
In line
Over / Under 2.5Over 2.5With Haaland on 9 goals and Cherki contributing 4 more for City, plus Kostoulas (3 goals) and De Cuyper (2 goals) for Brighton, both sides have the attacking numbers to produce 3 or more goals.
67%
60%
Priced in
Anytime ScorerAnytime Goalscorer: Erling HaalandHaaland has scored 9 goals in 710 minutes this season from 30 shots, 15 of them on target, making him City's most reliable route to goal.
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49%
Model read
Signal edge callsRecord building · settles at full-time

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Season Form & Standings

Manchester City sit on 21 points from 8 games, losing just once this season, while Brighton have taken 16 points from 7 outings and own the division’s standout +18 goal difference.

Premier League

TeamPosGPWDLGFGAGDPts
Manchester City18701209+1121
Brighton37511235+1816
Shop the matchManchester City v Brighton & Hove AlbionOfficial kits via Fanatics
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Team News Predicted

Manchester City vs Brighton Predicted Lineups

Predicted XI — updated for the latest team news.

Manchester City

4-2-3-1
G. Donnarumma
J. Gvardiol
Ruben Dias
M. Guehi
A. Khusanov
E. Fernandez
E. Anderson
J. Doku
R. Cherki
I. Ndiaye
E. Haaland

Brighton

4-2-3-1
B. Verbruggen
O. Boscagli
L. Dunk
L. Vuskovic
F. Kadioglu
Chema Andres
P. Gross
M. De Cuyper
Y. Ayari
D. Gomez
C. Kostoulas
    Squawka · Team News

    Potential Match-Winners

    • Erling Haaland (Manchester City): Striker Erling Haaland has scored 9 goals from 30 shots (15 on target) in 710 minutes this season, City’s clearest route to goal.
    • Mathis Rayan Cherki (Manchester City): Attacking midfielder Mathis Rayan Cherki has 4 goals and 16 chances created in 440 minutes, offering a secondary scoring and creative outlet.
    • Charalampos Kostoulas (Brighton): Striker Charalampos Kostoulas has 3 goals from 18 shots (7 on target) in 487 minutes, Brighton’s most direct forward threat.

    Recent Form

    Manchester City: W W W W L

    • 2026-10-24: Aston Villa 2-1 Manchester City (L, away)
    • 2026-10-17: Manchester City 3-2 Ipswich Town (W, home)
    • 2026-10-11: Liverpool 0-3 Manchester City (W, away)
    • 2026-09-20: Manchester City 5-3 Sunderland (W, home)
    • 2026-09-13: Manchester United 0-1 Manchester City (W, away)

    City’s last 5 league matches have gone W-W-W-W-L: a 1-0 win at Manchester United, a 5-3 home win over Sunderland, a 3-0 win at Liverpool, a 3-2 home win over Ipswich Town, and a 2-1 loss at Aston Villa most recently.

    Brighton: D W W W W

    • 2026-10-18: Brighton 5-0 Crystal Palace (W, home)
    • 2026-10-10: Sunderland 0-2 Brighton (W, away)
    • 2026-09-19: Brighton 3-0 Arsenal (W, home)
    • 2026-09-13: Coventry City 0-5 Brighton (W, away)
    • 2026-09-05: Brighton 1-1 Leeds (D, home)

    Brighton’s last 5 league matches have gone D-W-W-W-W: a 1-1 draw with Leeds, a 5-0 win at Coventry City, a 3-0 win over Arsenal, a 2-0 win at Sunderland, and a 5-0 home win over Crystal Palace most recently.

    Manchester City vs Brighton Prediction

    Signal’s model makes Manchester City favorites to win 2-1, and the underlying numbers support it: Haaland’s 9 goals and Cherki’s 16 created chances give City control in the final third, while Brighton’s 16 points and +18 goal difference from 7 games show they won’t make it easy. Expect goals at both ends in a tight finish, with City’s class at the Etihad enough to get over the line 2-1.

    Squawka Signal

    Our model rates every Premier League fixture — see the numbers behind Manchester City v Brighton.

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