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Chelsea vs Manchester United: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups

Chelsea vs Manchester United predicted formations

Chelsea host Manchester United at Stamford Bridge on Saturday, October 31 (8:30 AM ET / 7:30 AM CT / 5:30 AM PT).

Chelsea will be missing a significant chunk of their squad for this one: the suspended Cole Palmer, the injured João Pedro, Reece James, Emiliano Martinez, Jamie Gittens and Emmanuel Emegha are all out, with Pep Chavarria a doubt. That leaves the attacking workload to Morgan Rogers, who has 4 goals and 14 chances created this season, alongside midfielders Pedro Neto and Jordan Henderson. Manchester United arrive with no fresh fitness concerns on the team news, led by Bryan Mbeumo’s 4 goals and Bruno Fernandes’s 16 chances created.

Chelsea’s 13 points from 8 games is already 6 points clear of Manchester United’s 7 from 7, and that gap matches the eye test: Chelsea have scored 5 goals in a game as recently as this month, while United have drawn 4 of their last 5 without finding a second gear. Expect goals at both ends — Chelsea have conceded enough themselves, including a 3-0 loss at Brentford and a 2-2 draw at home to Hull City, to keep United interested — but enough quality from Rogers and Pedro Neto to get Chelsea over the line.

US viewers can watch Chelsea vs Manchester United on NBC and Peacock.

Squawka Signal
Match outcome · who wins
ChelseaChelsea49%mkt 49%Our pick
DrawDraw22%mkt 24%
Manchester UnitedManchester United29%mkt 28%

Chelsea vs Manchester United: Best Bets & Predictions

The market prices Over 2.5 at 61%. Signal says 67%.

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The tips · best bets
MarketMkt %Signal %Read
Correct ScoreChelsea 2-1 Manchester UnitedChelsea's attack produced 5 goals in a single game this season against Bournemouth, and with Manchester United having conceded in each of their last 5 matches, a 2-1 scoreline fits the shape of this fixture.
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9%
Model read
Both Teams to ScoreBoth teams to scoreManchester United have conceded in each of their last 5 league matches, and Chelsea have scored in 3 of their own last 5, making goals at both ends likely.
66%
68%
In line
Over / Under 2.5Over 2.5Chelsea have scored five goals in one game and conceded three in another this season, and Manchester United have been involved in three separate 1-1 draws and a 2-2 across their last five, a mix that points to goals rather than a stalemate.
61%
67%
Value
Anytime ScorerMorgan Rogers to score anytimeRogers leads Chelsea's available attackers with 4 goals and 20 shots this season, and his 14 chances created show he's heavily involved in the final third even without João Pedro and Cole Palmer.
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34%
Model read
Signal edge callsRecord building · settles at full-time

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Season Form & Standings

Chelsea have taken 13 points from 8 games this season (4 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses, +2 goal difference), while Manchester United have 7 points from 7 games (1 win, 4 draws, 2 losses, a goal difference of 0).

Premier League

TeamPosGPWDLGFGAGDPts
Chelsea484131715+213
Manchester United157142101007
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Team News Predicted

Chelsea vs Manchester United Predicted Lineups

Predicted XI — updated for the latest team news.

Chelsea

3-4-2-1
M. Penders
L. Colwill
M. Lacroix
J. Acheampong
J. Hato
J. Henderson
M. Caicedo
Pedro Neto
Geovany Quenda
C. Palmer
M. Rogers

Manchester United

4-2-3-1
S. Lammens
Diogo Dalot
L. Martinez
H. Maguire
L. Yoro
C. Baleba
Andrey Santos
Bruno Fernandes
Y. Tielemans
A. Diallo
B. Mbeumo
    Squawka · Team News

    Potential Match-Winners

    • Morgan Rogers (Chelsea): The striker leads Chelsea’s available attackers with 4 goals and 20 shots this season, adding 14 chances created from open play.
    • Pedro Neto (Chelsea): The midfielder has 3 goals and more shots on target, 10, than any other available Chelsea player, with 12 chances created underlining his influence.
    • Bryan Mbeumo (Manchester United): Mbeumo leads United’s scoring with 4 goals and 24 shots, 10 of them on target, making him the visitors’ most productive attacking threat.

    Recent Form

    Chelsea: D L W W L

    • 2026-10-24: Chelsea 0-2 Tottenham (L, home)
    • 2026-10-17: Everton 0-2 Chelsea (W, away)
    • 2026-10-10: Chelsea 5-1 Bournemouth (W, home)
    • 2026-09-18: Brentford 3-0 Chelsea (L, away)
    • 2026-09-12: Chelsea 2-2 Hull City (D, home)

    Chelsea’s most recent 5 league games: a 2-0 loss at home to Tottenham, a 2-0 win away at Everton, a 5-1 win over Bournemouth, a 3-0 loss at Brentford, and a 2-2 draw with Hull City — a D L W W L sequence of a stop-start autumn.

    Manchester United: D L D D D

    • 2026-10-18: Leeds 1-1 Manchester United (D, away)
    • 2026-10-10: Manchester United 1-1 Tottenham (D, home)
    • 2026-09-20: Fulham 1-1 Manchester United (D, away)
    • 2026-09-13: Manchester United 0-1 Manchester City (L, home)
    • 2026-09-06: Everton 2-2 Manchester United (D, away)

    Manchester United’s last 5 league fixtures: a 1-1 draw at Leeds, a 1-1 draw with Tottenham, a 1-1 draw at Fulham, a 1-0 loss to Manchester City, and a 2-2 draw at Everton — a D L D D D run of 4 draws and a defeat.

    Chelsea vs Manchester United Prediction

    This looks set to go the way the table suggests. Chelsea’s 13 points from 8 games and +2 goal difference are built on a more productive attack than Manchester United can currently call on, and even with João Pedro and Cole Palmer unavailable, Rogers and Neto have the output — 4 goals and 3 goals respectively — to trouble a United defense that has conceded in each of its last 5 matches. United’s own threats, Mbeumo and Fernandes, should find a goal of their own given United have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last 5 games, but Chelsea’s extra cutting edge settles it 2-1.

    Squawka Signal

    Our model rates every Premier League fixture — see the numbers behind Chelsea v Manchester United.

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