Home » News » Premier League » Brighton vs Arsenal: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups

Brighton vs Arsenal: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups

Brighton vs Arsenal predicted formations

Brighton host Arsenal at The American Express Community Stadium on Saturday, September 19 (10:00 AM ET / 9:00 AM CT / 7:00 AM PT).

Brighton will be without sidelined Kaoru Mitoma, injured Evan Ferguson and absent Mats Wieffer, with doubtful Georginio Rutter and doubtful Femi Azeez also in the mix, leaving Charalampos Kostoulas, Malick Junior Yalcouyé and Maxim Peter De Cuyper to carry the attacking load at the Amex. Arsenal’s only confirmed absence is injured William Saliba (lower back), while doubtful Cristhian Mosquera Ibarguen and doubtful Ben White round out the fitness concerns — otherwise Arsenal go into this one at full strength up top, built around Bukayo Saka and Kai Havertz, who have scored three and two goals respectively this season.

This has the shape of a tight, low-scoring afternoon rather than an end-to-end shootout. Brighton’s goal difference of +8 from 4 games flatters a side that shipped 4 at Chelsea last time out, while Arsenal have won all 4 of their league matches for 12 points without needing to be spectacular, grinding out a 2-1 win over Chelsea and a 1-0 away success at Aston Villa. Brighton’s threat is spread across Yasin Abbas Ayari, Luka Vušković and Lewis Carl Dunk rather than concentrated in a single scorer, and against an Arsenal defense missing only injured Saliba, that lack of a focal point should keep Brighton off the scoresheet even if the hosts create enough to make this uncomfortable.

US viewers can watch Brighton vs Arsenal on NBC and Peacock.

Squawka Signal
Where are you?
Match outcome · who wins
BrightonBrighton23%mkt 19%Value +4
DrawDraw25%mkt 24%
ArsenalArsenal52%mkt 59%Our pick

Brighton vs Arsenal: Best Bets & Predictions

The market prices Under 2.5 at 49%. Signal says 52%.

+3points of value · the goals market

New to Kalshi? Trade $25, get $25 · 18+ · use code SQUAWKA

The tips · best bets
MarketMkt %Signal %Read
Correct ScoreBrighton 0-1 ArsenalArsenal have already shown they can win low, following up a 3-0 opening win over Coventry City with a 1-0 away success at Aston Villa, a pattern that points to another narrow scoreline here.
12%
Model read
Both Teams to ScoreBoth teams: NoArsenal shut out Aston Villa 1-0 and Coventry City 3-0 in 2 of their 4 league games, defensive control that makes a Brighton blank a real possibility.
46%
47%
In line
Over / Under 2.5Under 2.5With Brighton's goals shared among 6 different scorers so far (Yalcouyé, De Cuyper, Ayari, Kostoulas, Dunk and Vušković each with 1) rather than a single prolific forward, a low-scoring total fits this matchup.
49%
52%
Value
Anytime ScorerBukayo Saka to score anytimeBukayo Saka leads Arsenal's scoring with 3 goals from 13 shots, 8 of them on target, making him the most likely man to find the net.
40%
Model read
Signal edge callsRecord building · settles at full-time

Compare all markets ›bet365 review ›

Available to US traders in all 50 states · 18+Odds from bet365 · 18+ · begambleaware.org

Season Form & Standings

Brighton have taken 7 points from 4 games, with 2 wins, a draw and a loss and a goal difference of +8, while Arsenal have made a perfect start, winning all 4 of their league matches for 12 points and a +7 goal difference.

Premier League

TeamPosGPWDLGFGAGDPts
Arsenal1440081+712
Brighton44211135+87
Shop the matchBrighton & Hove Albion v ArsenalOfficial kits via Fanatics
Squawka may earn a commission when you buy through these links, at no extra cost to you. Prices are set by the retailer and correct at time of publishing.
Team News Predicted

Brighton vs Arsenal Predicted Lineups

Predicted XI — updated for the latest team news.

Brighton

4-2-3-1
B. Verbruggen
O. Boscagli
L. Dunk
L. Vuskovic
F. Kadioglu
Y. Ayari
P. Gross
M. De Cuyper
M. Yalcouye
D. Gomez
C. Kostoulas

Arsenal

4-2-3-1
David Raya
R. Calafiori
Gabriel Magalhaes
E. Konsa
B. White
M. Lewis-Skelly
D. Rice
C. Tzolis
M. Odegaard
B. Saka
K. Havertz
    Squawka · Team News

    Potential Match-Winners

    • Charalampos Kostoulas (Brighton): Kostoulas has scored 1 goal from 9 shots, 3 on target, in 280 minutes so far, giving Brighton’s front line its most consistent focal point.
    • Maxim Peter De Cuyper (Brighton): De Cuyper has created 9 chances and added 2 assists alongside a goal in 335 minutes, the most creative output in the Brighton squad so far.
    • Bukayo Saka (Arsenal): Saka’s 3 goals and 13 shots, 8 of them on target, make him the most direct route to goal in an Arsenal side that has won all 4 games this season.

    Recent Form

    Brighton: W L D

    • 2026-09-05: Brighton 1-1 Leeds (D, home)
    • 2026-08-30: Chelsea 4-3 Brighton (L, away)
    • 2026-08-23: Brighton 4-0 Aston Villa (W, home)

    W 4-0 vs Aston Villa, L 3-4 away to Chelsea (Chelsea 4-3 Brighton), D 1-1 vs Leeds across Brighton’s last 3 league games.

    Arsenal: W W W

    • 2026-09-06: Arsenal 2-1 Chelsea (W, home)
    • 2026-08-31: Aston Villa 0-1 Arsenal (W, away)
    • 2026-08-21: Arsenal 3-0 Coventry City (W, home)

    W 3-0 vs Coventry City, W 1-0 away at Aston Villa, W 2-1 vs Chelsea — Arsenal have won all 3 of their most recent league outings.

    Brighton vs Arsenal Prediction

    Expect a tight, low-event game that Arsenal edge without needing to be at their most fluent. Brighton have the raw goal difference (+8 from 4 games) to suggest they can hurt sides, but their scoring so far has been spread across the squad rather than concentrated in a single reliable source, and set-piece threats like Lewis Carl Dunk and Luka Vušković won’t be enough against an Arsenal defense missing only Saliba. Arsenal’s 12 points from 4 wins have come by mixing control (2-1 over Chelsea) with efficiency (1-0 at Aston Villa, 3-0 over Coventry City), and that pattern points to a 0-1 win at the Amex.

    Squawka Signal

    Our model rates every Premier League fixture — see the numbers behind Brighton v Arsenal.

    Premier League AI PredictorEvery match this week rated by our modelAnytime Goalscorer predictionsThis week’s picks across the league