Los Angeles have lost twice in Milwaukee and come home needing to win three of the next four. The NLCS moves to Dodger Stadium on Wednesday night, and Kalshi, the CFTC-regulated US prediction market, makes them clear favourites to start the comeback.
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Match markets — Brewers vs Dodgers
Los Angeles sit at 61% and Milwaukee at 38% for Game 3 — the widest gap of any game in this series, and a reminder of how much the market rates the Dodgers at home. The World Series board is more revealing. Milwaukee lead it at 43%, but Los Angeles are still on 21% despite being two down, level with a Tampa Bay side whose own series is tied. The market is not treating 2-0 as decisive.
Match Markets — Brewers vs Dodgers
Game Winner
- Milwaukee38%
- Los Angeles D61%
World Series Winner
- Milwaukee43%
- Tampa Bay21%
- Los Angeles D21%
- Cleveland13%
Claim offer →Probabilities are the live Kalshi yes-side bid, correct at 5:00am ET on October 14. Markets move; not financial advice. 18+. Full Kalshi review.
William Contreras turned Game 2, hitting a game-tying homer in the fifth before adding a game-tying single and the go-ahead single in a 7-4 Milwaukee win. It is left-hander against left-hander at Dodger Stadium: Blake Snell for Los Angeles against Robert Gasser. Exactly one team in MLB history has come back from 3-0 down in a best-of-seven — the 2004 Red Sox — which is the number waiting on the other side of tonight if Los Angeles lose.
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