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Seattle Sounders vs Sporting KC: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups

Seattle Sounders vs Sporting KC predicted formations

Seattle Sounders host Sporting KC at Lumen Field on Thursday, October 1 (9:30 PM ET / 8:30 PM CT / 6:30 PM PT).

Seattle Sounders have no fresh absences to work around. Paul Rothrock leads the Sounders with 5 goals from 31 shots, and Albert Rusnák has created 58 chances to go with 4 goals of his own. Cristian Roldan, a defensive midfielder, has also chipped in with 4 goals from 24 shots. Sporting KC likewise have a clean bill of health, with Calvin Harris (3 goals, 46 shots) and Taylor Calheira (3 goals from 21 shots) set to lead their attack at Lumen Field.

Seattle sit 10th in the Western Conference on 32 points from 25 games, close enough to the playoff picture to make every point count, while Sporting KC are 15th on 18 points with a goal difference of -34 that speaks to how often they’ve been cut open at the back. That gap should show at Lumen Field: Rusnák and Rothrock have the quality to work Sporting KC’s defense repeatedly, and with Sporting shipping goals at the rate their numbers suggest, the value sits in a game with goals at both ends rather than a stalemate.

US viewers can watch Seattle Sounders vs Sporting KC on Apple TV’s MLS Season Pass.

Squawka Signal
Where are you?
Match outcome · who wins
Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders62%mkt 69%Our pick
DrawDraw20%mkt 19%
Sporting KCSporting KC18%mkt 17%

Seattle Sounders vs Sporting KC: Best Bets & Predictions

Signal makes this a tight Seattle Sounders call at 62%.

Tight callno standout edge on the result

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The tips · best bets
MarketMkt %Signal %Read
Correct ScoreSeattle Sounders 2-1 Sporting KCRothrock (5 goals) and Rusnák (4 goals, 58 chances created) give Seattle enough quality to win 2-1, with Sporting KC's leaky defense (-34 goal difference) good for a consolation goal.
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10%
Model read
Both Teams to ScoreBoth teams to scoreCalvin Harris and Taylor Calheira have 3 goals apiece for Sporting KC, enough firepower to score against a Seattle defense that has posted a -3 goal difference of its own this season.
66%
61%
Priced in
Over / Under 2.5Over 2.5Seattle's recent results (2-0, 3-3, 1-1, 0-0, 2-2) and Sporting KC's (3-4, 3-1, 4-3, 0-3, 2-1) have rarely stayed under 3 goals, supporting Over 2.5.
74%
66%
Priced in
Anytime ScorerAnytime GoalscorerRothrock leads Seattle Sounders with 5 goals from 31 shots, 13 of them on target, the clearest goal threat on the field.
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66%
Model read
Signal edge callsRecord building · settles at full-time

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Season Form & Standings

Seattle Sounders are 10th in the Western Conference on 32 points from 25 games, still within range of the playoff picture, while Sporting KC sit 15th on 18 points with a -34 goal difference that has them on the outside looking in.

Western Conference

TeamPosGPWDLGFGAGDPts
Seattle Sounders10258893033-332
Sporting KC152553172963-3418
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Team News Predicted

Seattle Sounders vs Sporting KC Predicted Lineups

Predicted XI — updated for the latest team news.

Seattle Sounders

4-2-3-1
A. Thomas
N. Tolo
J. Ragen
A. Roldan
K. Kossa-Rienzi
C. Roldan
S. Brunell
P. Arriola
A. Rusnak
S. Gomez
D. Musovski

Sporting KC

4-4-2
S. Cleveland
E. Karic
W. Meyer
M. Mosquera
J. Reynolds
C. Harris
K. Agyabeng
L. Berg Johnsen
Andre Luiz
S. Afrifa
T. Calheira
    Squawka · Team News

    Potential Match-Winners

    • Paul Rothrock (Seattle Sounders): The attacking midfielder has 5 goals from 31 shots this season, with 13 landing on target — Seattle’s most reliable source of goals.
    • Albert Rusnák (Seattle Sounders): Rusnák has created 58 chances to go with 4 goals of his own, the clearest creative outlet in this Seattle side.
    • Calvin Harris (Sporting KC): The midfielder has 3 goals from 46 shots for Sporting KC, and remains their most persistent threat even in a difficult season.

    Recent Form

    Seattle Sounders: D D D D W

    • 2026-09-24: Seattle Sounders 2-0 Real Salt Lake (W, home)
    • 2026-09-20: Colorado Rapids 3-3 Seattle Sounders (D, away)
    • 2026-09-13: LA Galaxy 1-1 Seattle Sounders (D, away)
    • 2026-09-06: Seattle Sounders 0-0 New York Red Bulls (D, home)
    • 2026-08-29: Seattle Sounders 2-2 Chicago Fire (D, home)

    Seattle’s form reads D D D D W, capped by a 2-0 win over Real Salt Lake in their most recent outing.

    Sporting KC: L L L W L

    • 2026-09-20: Sporting KC 3-4 Philadelphia Union (L, home)
    • 2026-09-13: Sporting KC 3-1 LAFC (W, home)
    • 2026-09-06: FC Dallas 4-3 Sporting KC (L, away)
    • 2026-08-30: Sporting KC 0-3 Vancouver Whitecaps (L, home)
    • 2026-08-24: Atlanta United 2-1 Sporting KC (L, away)

    Sporting KC’s form reads L L L W L, with a 3-1 win over LAFC their only shot of confidence in this run.

    Seattle Sounders vs Sporting KC Prediction

    Seattle Sounders to win 2-1, backed by a Rothrock or Rusnák goal at Lumen Field, moving them further clear of Sporting KC, who remain 15th in the West on 18 points with a lot of ground to make up.

    Squawka Signal

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