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Nashville SC vs Toronto FC: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups

Nashville SC vs Toronto FC predicted formations

Nashville SC host Toronto FC at Nashville SC Stadium on Saturday, September 26 (8:30 PM ET / 7:30 PM CT / 5:30 PM PT).

There’s no fresh injury or suspension news to report for either side this week, so this preview leans on the players who’ve carried each team through the season. Samuel Surridge looks certain to lead the Nashville SC line after a 16-goal season, with Hany Mukhtar pulling the strings behind him having created 35 chances from midfield. For Toronto FC, Dániel Sallói and Josh Sargent will carry the attacking burden — both have scored 7 goals apiece, with Sallói’s 30 chances created the standout creative number in a difficult campaign.

There’s a neat symmetry to this fixture: the two sides met on September 10, when Toronto FC edged a 2-1 win at home. Form has since diverged sharply. Nashville SC responded with a 3-0 win over Chicago Fire and a 4-0 rout of FC Cincinnati, form that has them sitting top of the Eastern Conference with 57 points and a +32 goal difference. Toronto FC followed that win over Nashville with back-to-back defeats at Orlando City and St. Louis City SC, leaving them 12th on 29 points and a -10 goal difference. Expect Nashville SC’s front line, led by Surridge and Mukhtar, to control this one, with a Toronto FC defense built on that -10 goal difference offering little resistance.

US viewers can watch Nashville SC vs Toronto FC on Apple TV’s MLS Season Pass.

Squawka Signal
Where are you?
Match outcome · who wins
Nashville SCNashville SC63%mkt 66%Our pick
DrawDraw21%mkt 19%
Toronto FCToronto FC16%mkt 15%

Nashville SC vs Toronto FC: Best Bets & Predictions

The market prices Both teams: No at 39%. Signal says 48%.

+9points of value · both teams to score

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The tips · best bets
MarketMkt %Signal %Read
Correct ScoreNashville SC 2-0 Toronto FCSurridge already has 16 goals this season and Mukhtar has created 35 chances from midfield — plenty for Nashville SC to close this out 2-0 against a Toronto FC defense built on a -10 goal difference.
11%
Model read
Both Teams to ScoreBoth teams: NoToronto FC's -10 goal difference and back-to-back defeats at Orlando City and St. Louis City SC point to an attack short of confidence on the road, while Nashville SC's defense has been the class of the East this season.
39%
48%
Value
Over / Under 2.5Under 2.5A 2-0 scoreline fits a Nashville SC side that controls games rather than opening them up, and Toronto FC managing just 29 points from 26 matches this season suggests goals will be hard to come by for the visitors.
36%
44%
Value
Anytime ScorerSamuel Surridge to score anytimeSurridge leads Nashville SC's line with 16 goals from 49 shots this season, 27 of them on target, making him the most reliable route to goal in the Signal-backed 2-0 scoreline.
55%
Model read
Signal edge callsRecord building · settles at full-time

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Season Form & Standings

Nashville SC sit top of the Eastern Conference with 57 points from 26 games, a +32 goal difference underlining the class of MLS’s best side this season, while Toronto FC are 12th on 29 points, well off the pace but still with games to shape their playoff picture.

Eastern Conference

TeamPosGPWDLGFGAGDPts
Nashville SC12617635321+3257
Toronto FC122661193949-1029
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Team News Predicted

Nashville SC vs Toronto FC Predicted Lineups

Predicted XI — updated for the latest team news.

Nashville SC

4-2-3-1
B. Schwake
R. Baker-Whiting
M. Woledzi
J. Palacios
A. Najar
M. Corcoran
P. Yazbek
E. Saad
H. Mukhtar
C. Espinoza
S. Surridge

Toronto FC

4-2-3-1
L. Gavran
Matheus Pereira
B. Kuscevic
W. Zimmerman
R. Laryea
N. Dorsch
Alonso Coello
D. Salloi
M. Cimermancic
D. Etienne
J. Sargent
    Squawka · Team News

    Potential Match-Winners

    • Samuel Surridge (Nashville SC): Surridge has scored 16 goals from 49 shots this season, with 27 of them on target — the focal point of Nashville SC’s attack at Geodis Park.
    • Hany Mukhtar (Nashville SC): Mukhtar has created 35 chances to go with 11 goals, the creative engine behind Nashville SC’s league-leading season.
    • Dániel Sallói (Toronto FC): Sallói leads Toronto FC’s attack with 7 goals and 30 chances created, the visitors’ biggest individual threat even in a difficult campaign.

    Recent Form

    Nashville SC: W D L D W

    • 2026-09-20: Nashville SC 3-0 Chicago Fire (W, home)
    • 2026-09-13: Inter Miami 2-2 Nashville SC (D, away)
    • 2026-09-10: Toronto FC 2-1 Nashville SC (L, away)
    • 2026-09-05: NYCFC 0-0 Nashville SC (D, away)
    • 2026-08-30: Nashville SC 4-0 FC Cincinnati (W, home)

    Nashville SC’s recent form reads W D L D W: a 3-0 win over Chicago Fire, a 2-2 draw at Inter Miami, a 2-1 loss at Toronto FC, a 0-0 draw at NYCFC and a 4-0 win over FC Cincinnati.

    Toronto FC: D D W L L

    • 2026-09-20: St. Louis City SC 3-1 Toronto FC (L, away)
    • 2026-09-13: Orlando City 3-0 Toronto FC (L, away)
    • 2026-09-10: Toronto FC 2-1 Nashville SC (W, home)
    • 2026-09-06: Toronto FC 4-4 Chicago Fire (D, home)
    • 2026-08-30: Toronto FC 1-1 NYCFC (D, home)

    Toronto FC’s recent form reads D D W L L: a 1-1 draw with NYCFC, a 4-4 draw with Chicago Fire, a 2-1 win over Nashville SC, a 3-0 loss at Orlando City and a 3-1 loss at St. Louis City SC.

    Nashville SC vs Toronto FC Prediction

    Nashville SC’s status as East leaders — top on 57 points — should tell against a Toronto FC side stuck in 12th on 29 points, and this one looks set to stay tight rather than open up. Signal has this finishing 2-0 to Nashville SC, with Surridge doing the damage and Toronto FC’s defense unable to find an answer at Geodis Park.

    Squawka Signal

    Our model rates every MLS fixture — see the numbers behind Nashville SC v Toronto FC.

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