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Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City SC: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups

Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City SC predicted formations

Houston Dynamo host St. Louis City SC at Shell Energy Stadium on Saturday, November 7 (7:00 PM ET / 6:00 PM CT / 4:00 PM PT).

Houston Dynamo have no fresh fitness concerns to work around, and their attacking spine remains intact — attacking midfielder Guilherme has produced 16 goals and 68 chances created this season, while fellow attacking midfielder Mateusz Bogusz has fired 92 shots and chipped in 8 goals of his own. St. Louis City SC will again lean on strikers Simon Becher and Rafael Navarro, who have 9 goals apiece, with attacking midfielder Carl Johan Holse’s 6 goals and 20 chances created giving them a further route through midfield.

Houston Dynamo arrive unbeaten in 5 matches, a stretch built on 4 draws before last time out’s 1-0 win at Seattle Sounders, and that defensive discipline points to another low-key night at Shell Energy Stadium. St. Louis City SC, by contrast, have dropped 4 straight, including a 0-1 home defeat to San Diego FC and a 2-3 loss to Portland Timbers before that, with their defense looking exposed even as Becher and Navarro have each struck 9 goals at the other end.

US viewers can watch Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City SC on Apple TV’s MLS Season Pass.

Squawka Signal
Match outcome · who wins
Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo43%mkt 45%Our pick
DrawDraw25%mkt 19%Value +6
St. Louis City SCSt. Louis City SC32%mkt 37%

Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City SC: Best Bets & Predictions

The market prices Under 2.5 at 4%. Signal says 48%.

+44points of value · the goals market
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The tips · best bets
MarketMkt %Signal %Read
Correct ScoreHouston Dynamo 1-0 St. Louis City SCA single Guilherme or Bogusz strike fits a Houston side that's drawn 4 of its last 5 without being blown away, against a St. Louis defense that's shipped goals through 4 straight losses.
—
10%
Model read
Both Teams to ScoreBoth teams: NoSt. Louis have failed to score in three of their last five outings, and Houston's own results have stayed tight rather than open, fitting a game where one defense holds firm.
20%
44%
Strong value
Over / Under 2.5Under 2.5
4%
48%
Strong value
Anytime ScorerGuilherme to score anytimeThe Houston attacking midfielder leads the squad with 16 goals and 36 shots on target this season, making him the likeliest source of the goal that settles this.
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58%
Model read
Signal edge callsRecord building · settles at full-time

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Season Form & Standings

Houston Dynamo sit fifth in the Western Conference on 51 points, with St. Louis City SC a place above them in fourth, also on 51 points — both clubs squarely inside the playoff picture as the regular season winds down.

Western Conference

TeamPosGPWDLGFGAGDPts
St. Louis City SC433149105848+1051
Houston Dynamo53214994239+351
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Team News Predicted

Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City SC Predicted Lineups

Predicted XI — updated for the latest team news.

Houston Dynamo

4-2-3-1
J. Bond
F. Negri
A. Resch
Lucas Halter
L. Ennali
Artur
D. Samassekou
M. Bogusz
A. Bouzat
I. Aliyu
L. Foster

St. Louis City SC

3-4-1-2
B. Lundt
D. Polvara
T. Baumgartl
L. MacNaughton
T. Totland
D. Edelman
C. Durkin
C. Wallem
C. Holse
Jeong Sang-Bin
Rafael Navarro
    Squawka · Team News

    Potential Match-Winners

    • Guilherme (Houston Dynamo): Leads Houston’s attack with 16 goals and a team-high 68 chances created, the most direct source of a breakthrough at Shell Energy Stadium.
    • Mateusz Bogusz (Houston Dynamo): His 92 shots are more than anyone else in this fixture, and 8 goals from that volume shows he’s a constant threat to add a second.
    • Simon Becher (St. Louis City SC): 9 goals from 71 shots this season, with 29 of those on target, make him St. Louis’s likeliest route back into this one.

    Recent Form

    Houston Dynamo: D D D D W

    • 2026-10-29: Seattle Sounders 0-1 Houston Dynamo (W, away)
    • 2026-10-25: Houston Dynamo 0-0 Minnesota United (D, home)
    • 2026-10-18: Houston Dynamo 2-2 FC Dallas (D, home)
    • 2026-10-15: San Diego FC 3-3 Houston Dynamo (D, away)
    • 2026-10-11: Minnesota United 2-2 Houston Dynamo (D, away)

    Unbeaten in 5: 4 draws followed by a 1-0 win at Seattle Sounders last time out.

    St. Louis City SC: D L L L L

    • 2026-10-31: St. Louis City SC 0-1 San Diego FC (L, home)
    • 2026-10-29: St. Louis City SC 2-3 Portland Timbers (L, home)
    • 2026-10-25: Real Salt Lake 3-0 St. Louis City SC (L, away)
    • 2026-10-17: Minnesota United 3-2 St. Louis City SC (L, away)
    • 2026-10-15: St. Louis City SC 0-0 Vancouver Whitecaps (D, home)

    Just 1 point from the last 5 matches: a goalless draw with Vancouver followed by 4 straight defeats, including a 0-1 home loss to San Diego FC.

    Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City SC Prediction

    Houston Dynamo sit fifth in the West on 51 points, St. Louis City SC just above them in fourth on the same tally — both sides firmly in the playoff picture heading into the final stretch. Houston’s underlying form has been sturdier than the draws suggest, and with St. Louis having lost 4 straight, this looks like a game Houston edges by the finest of margins. We’ll take Houston Dynamo 1-0.

    Squawka Signal

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