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    Home » News » MLS » Houston Dynamo vs Sporting KC: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups

    Houston Dynamo vs Sporting KC: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups

    Houston Dynamo vs Sporting KC predicted formations

    Houston Dynamo host Sporting KC at Shell Energy Stadium on Saturday, September 26 (8:30 PM ET / 7:30 PM CT / 5:30 PM PT).

    Houston Dynamo go into this one with no fresh injury or suspension concerns reported, and Guilherme Augusto Vieira dos Santos should again lead the line after a 14-goal season that leaves him well clear of anyone else in the squad. Mateusz Bogusz and Lawrence Ennali are the two industrious presences expected to orchestrate from midfield, with Ennali’s 28 created chances underlining his creative influence there. Sporting KC arrive with a similarly clean bill of health, and Calvin Harris and Taylor Calheira look set to carry the visitors’ attacking hopes, with Harris’s 46 shots this season the most productive output in Sporting KC’s ranks.

    That gap in the table — Houston second in the West on 44 points, Sporting KC 15th on 18 — sets the tone, and this shouldn’t be a cagey affair. Houston’s attack, spearheaded by Guilherme’s 14 goals, should have enough to trouble a Sporting KC defense that has conceded heavily, reflected in a -34 goal difference. Sporting KC have shown they can score too, with wins like their 3-1 defeat of LAFC on September 13, and that goes some way to explaining why goals at both ends feels the likely shape of this one at Shell Energy Stadium.

    US viewers can watch Houston Dynamo vs Sporting KC on Apple TV’s MLS Season Pass.

    Squawka Signal
    Where are you?
    Match outcome · who wins
    Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo62%mkt 66%Our pick
    DrawDraw20%mkt 20%
    Sporting KCSporting KC17%mkt 15%

    Houston Dynamo vs Sporting KC: Best Bets & Predictions

    Signal makes this a tight Houston Dynamo call at 62%.

    Tight callno standout edge on the result
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    The tips · best bets
    MarketMkt %Signal %Read
    Correct ScoreHouston Dynamo 2-1 Sporting KCWith Guilherme's 14 goals leading a stronger Houston Dynamo side and Sporting KC's defense already conceding at a -34 goal difference clip, a 2-1 home win fits the pattern of this matchup.
    —
    10%
    Model read
    ›
    Both Teams to ScoreBoth teams to scoreSporting KC have scored in wins like their 3-1 win over LAFC and shipped goals for fun at the other end with a -34 goal difference, making goals at both ends likely.
    56%
    57%
    In line
    ›
    Over / Under 2.5Over 2.5Houston's attack has produced 14 goals from Guilherme alone and 80 shots from Bogusz, while Sporting KC's matches have regularly gone end to end like their 3-4 and 4-3 results.
    62%
    61%
    In line
    ›
    Anytime ScorerGuilherme to score anytimeGuilherme has scored 14 goals in 2124 minutes this season, comfortably Houston Dynamo's most productive weapon in front of goal.
    —
    73%
    Model read
    Signal edge callsRecord building · settles at full-time

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    Season Form & Standings

    Houston Dynamo sit second in the Western Conference with 44 points from 26 games, firmly in the playoff picture, while Sporting KC are 15th with 18 points and a -34 goal difference, well outside the postseason positions.

    Western Conference

    TeamPosGPWDLGFGAGDPts
    Houston Dynamo22613583430+444
    Sporting KC152553172963-3418
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    Team News Predicted

    Houston Dynamo vs Sporting KC Predicted Lineups

    Predicted XI — updated for the latest team news.

    Houston Dynamo

    4-4-2
    J. Bond
    F. Negri
    Lucas Halter
    Antonio Carlos
    Felipe Andrade
    M. Bogusz
    H. Herrera
    Artur
    L. Ennali
    A. Bouzat
    Guilherme

    Sporting KC

    4-4-2
    S. Cleveland
    E. Karic
    W. Meyer
    M. Mosquera
    J. Reynolds
    C. Harris
    K. Agyabeng
    L. Berg Johnsen
    Andre Luiz
    S. Afrifa
    T. Calheira
      Squawka · Team News

      Potential Match-Winners

      • Guilherme Augusto Vieira dos Santos (Houston Dynamo): Guilherme has 14 goals from 70 shots this season, with 31 on target, and remains Houston’s most direct route to goal.
      • Mateusz Bogusz (Houston Dynamo): Bogusz has fired 80 shots and created 23 chances from midfield, adding 6 goals of his own to Houston’s attacking output.
      • Calvin Harris (Sporting KC): Harris leads Sporting KC’s underlying numbers with 46 shots and 15 on target, though just 3 goals to show for it this season.

      Recent Form

      Houston Dynamo: D D W L D

      • 2026-09-20: Houston Dynamo 2-2 FC Cincinnati (D, home)
      • 2026-09-13: San Jose Earthquakes 1-0 Houston Dynamo (L, away)
      • 2026-09-10: Houston Dynamo 2-1 Real Salt Lake (W, home)
      • 2026-09-06: Charlotte FC 0-0 Houston Dynamo (D, away)
      • 2026-08-30: Houston Dynamo 0-0 San Jose Earthquakes (D, home)

      Houston Dynamo’s last 5 games have brought 3 draws and 1 win to go with 1 loss: a 2-2 draw with FC Cincinnati on September 20, a 1-0 loss at San Jose Earthquakes, a 2-1 win over Real Salt Lake, and scoreless draws at Charlotte FC and against San Jose Earthquakes.

      Sporting KC: L L L W L

      • 2026-09-20: Sporting KC 3-4 Philadelphia Union (L, home)
      • 2026-09-13: Sporting KC 3-1 LAFC (W, home)
      • 2026-09-06: FC Dallas 4-3 Sporting KC (L, away)
      • 2026-08-30: Sporting KC 0-3 Vancouver Whitecaps (L, home)
      • 2026-08-24: Atlanta United 2-1 Sporting KC (L, away)

      Sporting KC have lost 4 of their last 5 matches, including a 3-4 defeat to Philadelphia Union on September 20, a 4-3 loss at FC Dallas and a 0-3 home defeat to Vancouver Whitecaps, with their only win a 3-1 victory over LAFC on September 13.

      Houston Dynamo vs Sporting KC Prediction

      Houston Dynamo’s push for second in the West should be too strong for a Sporting KC side sitting 15th and there for the taking on the road. Expect Guilherme to get on the scoresheet again as Houston’s attack does enough, with Sporting KC likely to nick one back given how often they’ve conceded and scored in the same game this season. We’re backing a 2-1 win for Houston Dynamo at Shell Energy Stadium.

      Squawka Signal

      Our model rates every MLS fixture — see the numbers behind Houston Dynamo v Sporting KC.

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