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DC United vs NYCFC: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups

DC United vs NYCFC predicted formations

DC United host NYCFC at Audi Field on Saturday, November 7 (4:00 PM ET / 3:00 PM CT / 1:00 PM PT).

DC United and NYCFC both check in with clean injury sheets for this one, so the team news centers on who gets the nod up top. Tai Baribo leads the line for the hosts after a 16-goal season that includes 59 shots and 24 on target, with Louis Munteanu and Jackson Paul Lee Hopkins offering further attacking options. NYCFC’s selection picture is just as strong: midfielder Nicolás Ezequiel Fernández Mercau has racked up 16 goals and 73 chances created, while striker Axel Agustín Ojeda and attacking midfielder Hannes Tarn Wolf give the visitors layers going forward.

DC United’s season has unraveled badly, the club sitting 13th in the Eastern Conference on 33 points, having lost 5 straight games with a goal difference that now reads -21. NYCFC, by contrast, sit 11th in the East. They are unbeaten in their last four matches, with a win and three draws since their previous loss. The underlying shape points to a result that mirrors that form table: DC United have shipped goals for fun during their losing run, and a NYCFC side that scores through Fernández Mercau and Ojeda should find enough at the other end even if the hosts manage a reply of their own.

US viewers can watch DC United vs NYCFC on Apple TV’s MLS Season Pass.

Squawka Signal
Where are you?
Match outcome · who wins
DC UnitedDC United34%mkt 34%
DrawDraw25%mkt 27%
NYCFCNYCFC42%mkt 40%Our pick

DC United vs NYCFC: Best Bets & Predictions

Signal has NYCFC at 42% — no edge over the market on the result.

In lineno standout edge on the result

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The tips · best bets
MarketMkt %Signal %Read
Correct ScoreDC United 1-2 NYCFCBaribo's 16 goals for DC United and Fernández Mercau's 16 for NYCFC suggest goals at both ends, with the visitors' extra firepower from Ojeda enough to edge it.
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9%
Model read
Both Teams to ScoreBoth teams to scoreBaribo already has 16 goals for DC United, while Fernández Mercau and Ojeda have scored 16 and 5 respectively for NYCFC, giving both sides a route to goal.
64%
59%
Priced in
Over / Under 2.5Over 2.5DC United's leaky defense, with a -21 goal difference, and NYCFC's attacking options in Fernández Mercau and Ojeda point to goals at both ends.
62%
55%
Priced in
Anytime ScorerFernández Mercau to scoreFernández Mercau leads NYCFC with 16 goals and a team-high 73 chances created from midfield, making him the obvious shout to score again.
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—
Model read
Signal edge callsRecord building · settles at full-time

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Season Form & Standings

DC United occupy 13th place in the Eastern Conference with 33 points from 33 games, while NYCFC sit higher, in 11th, as the regular season nears its close.

Eastern Conference

TeamPosGPWDLGFGAGDPts
DC United1333712143960-2133
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Team News Predicted

DC United vs NYCFC Predicted Lineups

Predicted XI — updated for the latest team news.

DC United

4-4-2
A. Bono
K. Kurokawa
K. Rowles
L. Bartlett
S. Hefti
J. Stroud
A. Dozzell
M. Peltola
K. Nono
Peglow
N. Ordaz

NYCFC

4-3-3
M. Freese
K. O'Toole
J. Sands
Thiago Martins
T. Gray
A. Perea
J. Shore
N. Fernandez
B. Traore
Talles Magno
A. Ojeda
    Squawka · Team News

    Potential Match-Winners

    • Tai Baribo (DC United): 16 goals from 59 shots this season, with 24 on target — DC United’s single biggest outlet even during the losing run.
    • Nicolás Ezequiel Fernández Mercau (NYCFC): 16 goals and a league-high 73 chances created make him the engine of this NYCFC side.
    • Axel Agustín Ojeda (NYCFC): 5 goals and 47 chances created underline his role as a second scoring outlet alongside Fernández Mercau.

    Recent Form

    DC United: L L L L L

    • 2026-10-31: Columbus Crew 3-0 DC United (L, away)
    • 2026-10-28: Toronto FC 2-1 DC United (L, away)
    • 2026-10-25: DC United 0-2 FC Cincinnati (L, home)
    • 2026-10-22: FC Cincinnati 2-1 DC United (L, away)
    • 2026-10-18: Orlando City 4-1 DC United (L, away)

    DC United arrive on the back of 5 straight losses — 3-0 at Columbus, 2-1 at Toronto, 0-2 at home to Cincinnati, 2-1 away to Cincinnati and 4-1 at Orlando — form that explains a -21 goal difference.

    NYCFC: L D D W D

    • 2026-10-31: NYCFC 1-1 CF Montreal (D, home)
    • 2026-10-28: NYCFC 2-1 Atlanta United (W, home)
    • 2026-10-25: Orlando City 2-2 NYCFC (D, away)
    • 2026-10-18: NYCFC 1-1 LAFC (D, home)
    • 2026-10-15: Inter Miami 2-0 NYCFC (L, away)

    NYCFC have lost just once in their last five, at Inter Miami, followed by draws with LAFC and Orlando City, a win over Atlanta United and most recently a draw with CF Montreal.

    DC United vs NYCFC Prediction

    Signal has this finishing 1-2 to NYCFC, and the underlying picture backs it up. DC United sit 13th in the East and have lost 5 straight; NYCFC are 11th and unbeaten in 4. Expect Fernández Mercau to find the net at Audi Field, with Baribo good enough to get DC United on the board but not to find a leveler or a winner.

    Squawka Signal

    Our model rates every MLS fixture — see the numbers behind DC United v NYCFC.

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