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Atlanta United vs Toronto FC: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups

Atlanta United vs Toronto FC predicted formations

Atlanta United host Toronto FC at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday, November 1 (4:30 PM ET / 3:30 PM CT / 1:30 PM PT).

Atlanta United have no fresh team news to report, meaning Miguel Ángel Almirón and Aleksey Miranchuk — level on 6 goals apiece — should again spearhead the attack at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, with center-back Tomás Jacob a constant threat from set pieces. Toronto FC are similarly unaffected by absences and will lean on Dániel Sallói, their top scorer with 9 goals, plus Joshua Sargent’s 8 and the creativity of Đorđe Mihailović, who has created 33 chances this season.

US viewers can watch Atlanta United vs Toronto FC on Apple TV’s MLS Season Pass.

Squawka Signal
Match outcome · who wins
Atlanta UnitedAtlanta United40%mkt 53%Our pick
DrawDraw25%mkt 24%
Toronto FCToronto FC35%mkt 29%Value +6

Atlanta United vs Toronto FC: Best Bets & Predictions

Signal has Atlanta United at 40% — no edge over the market on the result. The market’s soft on Toronto FC (+6) — our value angle.

In lineno standout edge on the result
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Best live price across US prediction markets · buy YES on Atlanta United

The tips · best bets
MarketMkt %Signal %Read
Correct ScoreAtlanta United 2-1 Toronto FCAtlanta have scored at Mercedes-Benz Stadium behind Almirón's 6 goals and 55 created chances, but a leaky defense (-15 goal difference) means Toronto, via Sallói's 9 goals, should get on the scoresheet before Atlanta edge it.
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9%
Model read
Both Teams to ScoreBoth teams to scoreBoth teams have shipped goals freely — Atlanta sit at -15 goal difference and Toronto at -11 — while Sallói (9 goals) and Almirón/Miranchuk (6 apiece) give each side a proven finisher to call on.
94%
59%
Priced in
Over / Under 2.5Over 2.5Recent meetings at Mercedes-Benz Stadium have been loose at both ends — Atlanta's 2-3 loss to Chicago Fire and 1-3 defeat to Inter Miami both produced goals in bunches, and with Toronto's defense already leaking (-11 goal difference) the over looks the smarter side of 2.5.
96%
56%
Priced in
Anytime ScorerAlmirón to Score AnytimeAlmirón has 6 goals and 24 shots on target from 63 attempts this season, the kind of volume that makes him Atlanta's likeliest man to find the net on home turf.
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49%
Model read
Signal edge callsRecord building · settles at full-time

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Season Form & Standings

Atlanta United’s 14th-place finish in the East, on 30 points from 31 games, leaves them on the outside of the playoff picture, while Toronto FC, 11th on 36 points, aren’t much better off.

Eastern Conference

TeamPosGPWDLGFGAGDPts
Toronto FC1131812114859-1136
Atlanta United143186173954-1530
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Team News Predicted

Atlanta United vs Toronto FC Predicted Lineups

Predicted XI — updated for the latest team news.

Atlanta United

4-3-3
L. Hoyos
E. Baez
J. Alonso
P. Diaz
T. Jacob
G. Galoppo
M. Amaro
J. Fortune
M. Almiron
B. Embolo
A. Miranchuk

Toronto FC

4-3-3
L. Gavran
Matheus Pereira
Z. Monlouis
B. Kuscevic
R. Laryea
J. Osorio
D. Mihailovic
N. Dorsch
L. Morgan
J. Sargent
T. Corbeanu
    Squawka · Team News

    Potential Match-Winners

    • Miguel Ángel Almirón Rejala (Atlanta United): Almirón has produced 6 goals and 55 chances created from 2036 minutes, generating 24 shots on target from 63 attempts — comfortably Atlanta’s most dangerous attacker.
    • Dániel Sallói (Toronto FC): Sallói leads all scorers in this fixture with 9 goals and 25 shots on target from 56 attempts, Toronto’s most reliable source of goals.
    • Tomás Jacob (Atlanta United): Center-back Tomás Jacob has chipped in with 4 goals this season, making him a genuine aerial threat from set pieces at both ends.

    Recent Form

    Atlanta United: D L W L L

    • 2026-10-25: Atlanta United 2-3 Chicago Fire (L, home)
    • 2026-10-18: Atlanta United 1-3 Inter Miami (L, home)
    • 2026-10-15: CF Montreal 0-3 Atlanta United (W, away)
    • 2026-10-11: Atlanta United 1-3 FC Cincinnati (L, home)
    • 2026-09-27: Atlanta United 2-2 NYCFC (D, home)

    Atlanta United’s form reads D, L, W, L, L, including a 2-3 home loss to Chicago Fire on October 25, a 1-3 defeat to Inter Miami, and a 3-0 win away at CF Montreal.

    Toronto FC: L W D W L

    • 2026-10-24: Columbus Crew 4-2 Toronto FC (L, away)
    • 2026-10-18: New York Red Bulls 0-2 Toronto FC (W, away)
    • 2026-10-15: Toronto FC 3-3 Orlando City (D, home)
    • 2026-10-10: Toronto FC 2-1 CF Montreal (W, home)
    • 2026-09-27: Nashville SC 2-0 Toronto FC (L, away)

    Toronto FC’s form reads L, W, D, W, L, with a 4-2 loss at Columbus Crew their most recent outing after a 2-0 win at New York Red Bulls and a 3-3 draw with Orlando City at home.

    Atlanta United vs Toronto FC Prediction

    This looks set to go the way of the home side. Atlanta United, 14th in the East, need positive results to salvage anything from the campaign, and with Almirón and Miranchuk both in form at 6 goals apiece, they should have enough in behind a Toronto defense that has shipped goals all season (-11 goal difference). Toronto, 11th on 36 points, will trouble them through Sallói’s 9 goals, but Atlanta’s extra firepower at Mercedes-Benz Stadium sees them home, 2-1.

    Squawka Signal

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