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Seattle Sounders vs San Diego FC: Predictions, odds & picks

Seattle Sounders vs San Diego FC — MLS Matchday

Seattle Sounders host sophomore side San Diego FC at Lumen Field on Saturday night, with the Rave Green fourth in the Western Conference and SDFC needing a circuit-breaker after taking just taking just three points and no wins from their last eight.

Kick-off is Saturday, May 9, at 10:30 PM ET.

Seattle sit fourth on 20 points after a 1-1 draw at Sporting KC last weekend. The clean sheet count — five in nine — is the league average for top sides. San Diego came into the season with plenty of intruigue after a record-breaking expansion year, peaked early, and have since lost five of their last six, conceding 14 in the process. Anders Dreyer has been the headline player, with five goals and 18 shots on target.

Bet365 price the Sounders as the home favorite at -145 with SDFC out at +333.

Best Bets & Predictions: Seattle Sounders vs San Diego FC

Our PredictionOdds & SportsbookConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Seattle Sounders to win-145 @ bet365
(59.2%)
⭐⭐⭐Seattle have won  all three of their home league matches this season; San Diego have lost three straight on the road.
Paul Rothrock to score anytime+200 @ bet365
(33.3%)
⭐⭐⭐Rothrock has four goals and eight shots on target in eight starts — the in-form Sounder.
Both Teams to Score: Yes-163 @ bet365
(62.0%)
⭐⭐⭐Dreyer is San Diego’s road threat; the Sounders have shipped in their last three.
Over 2.5 goals-163 @ bet365
(62.0%)
⭐⭐⭐Two of San Diego’s last four have produced four or more goals, with another dropping three.
Correct Score: 2-1 Seattle Sounders+750 @ bet365
(11.8%)
⭐⭐Fits Seattle’s home pattern — a goal of class, a Dreyer reply, the Sounders close it out.
Anders Dreyer to score anytime+175 @ bet365
(36.4%)
⭐⭐⭐Dreyer has five goals, five assists and 18 shots on target — SDFC’s primary threat.

Our approach: Take Seattle to win at -145, stack BTTS Yes for the goals volume, and add Rothrock anytime as the parlay leg.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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Prediction Markets: Live Odds & Win Probability

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Polymarket traders favour Seattle as the home pick, mirroring the bet365 line. Kalshi sits in the same range across the merged Match Result book, with both venues comfortable on the Sounders without calling it a runaway.

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Season Form & Standings

Seattle are fourth on 20 points, five off second-placed Vancouver but with a game in hand in a tightly bunched West. San Diego sit 12th on 12 — the early-season buzz around the sophomore side has faded somewhat.

Western ConferencePosGPWDLGFGAGDPts
Seattle Sounders49621135+820
San Diego FC12113351919012

Live MLS standings and the MLS stats hub for the leaderboards.

Potential Match-Winners

  • Paul Rothrock (Seattle Sounders): Four goals and eight shots on target in eight starts — the Sounders’ most active forward.
  • Albert Rusnak (Seattle Sounders): Two goals, three assists and five big chances created in eight starts — the lead creator.
  • Cristian Roldan (Seattle Sounders): Three goals from midfield in eight starts — late-runner threat through the middle.
  • Anders Dreyer (San Diego FC): Five goals, five assists and 18 shots on target in 11 starts — comfortably the visitors’ most-active attacker.
  • Marcus Ingvartsen (San Diego FC): Seven goals and 10 shots on target in 11 starts — the focal striker.

Head-to-Head

San Diego’s second season in MLS, so the H2H is short — one win each. The Sounders edged a 1-0 home result last May; SDFC took a 3-0 home win in April 2025.

DateScoreCompetition
May 28, 2025Seattle Sounders 1-0 San Diego FCMLS
Apr 5, 2025San Diego FC 3-0 Seattle SoundersMLS

Recent Form

Seattle Sounders — D L W W D

  • Mar 22: D 0-0 at Minnesota United
  • Apr 4: L 0-1 at Houston Dynamo
  • Apr 18: W 4-1 vs St. Louis City (home)
  • Apr 25: W 2-1 vs FC Dallas (home)
  • May 2: D 1-1 at Sporting KC

Two home wins on the bounce, then the road draw at Sporting. Lumen Field has been the steady note all season.

San Diego FC — L L L L D

  • Apr 11: L 1-2 vs Minnesota United (home)
  • Apr 18: L 2-4 at Real Salt Lake
  • Apr 22: L 0-1 at Houston Dynamo
  • Apr 25: L 1-2 vs Portland Timbers (home)
  • May 2: D 2-2 vs LAFC (home)

Four straight defeats, a draw, and a season hitting the wall. The 2-2 with LAFC is the only result that wasn’t a loss since the start of April.

Seattle Sounders vs San Diego FC Prediction

Seattle at home to an SDFC side that has failed to win in eight is the value play. Take the Sounders at -145, the over for goals, and Rothrock anytime at +200 as the parlay leg.

Back Seattle at bet365, or browse the bet365 review. The other late Western fixtures are on the MLS hub.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

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