
Predicted lineups: NYCFC are set up in a 4-3-3 and Necaxa in a 5-3-2, with both probable XIs in full below.
In the US, the match streams on Apple TV via MLS Season Pass.
Kalshi prices the hosts at 59% to take all three points, with Necaxa at 19% and a draw-to-penalties scenario at 22%. That narrow margin reflects the unpredictability of MLS-Liga MX clashes, where home advantage rarely translates into dominance. This is NYCFC’s third and final Phase One fixture as they look to secure a top-four finish. Kickoff at Sports Illustrated Stadium is set for 7:30 PM ET / 6:30 PM CT / 4:30 PM PT on Thursday, August 13.
NYCFC vs Necaxa: Best Bets & Predictions
The market favors goals over a straightforward home win, with both the BTTS and Over 2.5 markets priced at 64%.
Our approach: lean toward the goals rather than the coin-flip result.
Probabilities reflect live Kalshi market prices at time of loading. 21+. Prediction markets are CFTC-regulated event contracts, not sportsbook bets. Please play responsibly. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. New Kalshi users: USE CODE SQUAWKA.
Odds shown in American format for illustration; your local odds and offer are served on click. Eligibility, minimum age (18+/21+) and T&Cs vary by region. Please gamble responsibly.
How Leagues Cup Phase One works
Every club in the Leagues Cup plays three cross-league games, MLS against Liga MX. There are no draws. If the score is level after 90 minutes, the game goes straight to a penalty shootout, and the winner banks two points while the loser takes one. The top four MLS teams and the top four Liga MX teams then advance to the knockout rounds.
NYCFC vs Necaxa Predicted Lineups
Predicted XI — updated for the latest team news.
NYCFC
4-3-3Necaxa
5-3-2NYCFC vs Necaxa prediction
NYCFC should edge this at home, but expect Necaxa to make it uncomfortable and find the net themselves. Prediction: NYCFC to win, 3-2.
21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER | Odds approximate at time of writing



