The New England Revolution host Minnesota United on Saturday, May 16, at 7:30 PM ET at Gillette Stadium, with both clubs trying to shake off a midweek beating in front of their own fans.
Our New England Revolution vs Minnesota United prediction starts with two bruised sides, despite enjoying consecutive home dates. The Revs sit 3rd in the Eastern Conference on 22 points, but their 12-game record was scuffed up on Wednesday night when Nashville came to Foxborough and left with a 0-3 win. Minnesota United, meanwhile, are 6th in the West on 21 points and were beaten 0-1 at home by Colorado Rapids on the same night.
Lines were not yet posted for this fixture at the time of writing, with the Saturday-night MLS card still pricing through Thursday. We will update the table here once bet365 opens the market. The historical read favors the home side: in five MLS meetings, the Revs are 3-1-1 and have won all three home games.
New England Revolution vs Minnesota United: Best Bets & Predictions
We are leaning into the home pull and the Revs’ habit of finding goals in front of the Gillette Stadium crowd, while respecting Minnesota’s away record over the past month.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Sportsbook | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| New England Revolution to Win | +110 @ bet365 (Check for latest) | ⭐⭐⭐ | The Revs have an East-high 18 points at home this season and lead the all-time series 3-0 at home against Minnesota United. |
| Kelvin Yeboah Anytime Goalscorer | Lines opening soon @ bet365 (Check for latest) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Yeboah leads Minnesota United on seven goals from 12 shots on target this season and has scored in four of his last eight appearances. |
| Both Teams to Score: Yes | -163 @ bet365 (Check for latest) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Both teams have scored in four of the Revs’ last six fixtures and in three of Minnesota’s last four in all comps. Minnesota’s defense has shipped 19 in 13 outings. |
| Over 2.5 Goals | -138 @ bet365 (Check for latest) | ⭐⭐ | Four of the Revs’ last six have cleared 2.5 goals, and four of the five all-time meetings have produced three or more goals combined. |
| Correct Score: 2-1 New England Revolution | +800 @ bet365 (Check for latest) | ⭐⭐ | Two of the three previous home meetings between these sides have finished 2-1 to the Revs, and the score fits the BTTS plus Over 2.5 read. |
Our approach: anchor on the Revs to win and add Yeboah anytime as the natural Minnesota-side hedge. The Correct Score 2-1 stitches both legs together for the longer-odds play.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
Deposit required. Paid in Bonus Bets. Bonus Bets wager excluded from returns. New customers only. T&Cs, time limits, and exclusions apply.
Prediction Markets: Live Odds & Win Probability
Note for US readers: Polymarket is now live for real-money trading in the US following its 2025 acquisition of QCX, a CFTC-regulated exchange, available in most states except Arizona, Illinois, Massachusetts, Maryland, Michigan, Montana, New Jersey, Nevada and Ohio. New US users can claim a 100% deposit match up to $50 with code ACQUIRE05. Market prices shown are real-money figures from the Polymarket platform. Kalshi, also CFTC-regulated, trades in all 50 states.
Match-specific prediction market pricing for New England Revolution vs Minnesota United has not yet surfaced at the time of writing. The sportsbook read is the cleaner tool for this match. We will update here if and when Kalshi or Polymarket list the fixture.
18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading involves high risk and may result in loss of your entire investment. See polymarket.us/tos for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated derivatives exchange and clearing organization
21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2573). Chat available at ncpgambling.org/chat
Season Form & Standings
Both sides arrive inside their respective playoff cut-offs, but the contrast is sharp: the Revs have the third-best record in the East, while Minnesota United are clinging to sixth in a packed Western Conference where just five points separate them from the LA Galaxy way down in 11th. Visit our MLS standings page for the full table.
Eastern Conference
| Team | Pos | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New England Revolution | 3 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 16 | +4 | 22 |
Western Conference
| Team | Pos | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota United | 6 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 21 |
Potential Match-Winners
- Carles Gil (New England Revolution): The captain has four goals and three assists from 12 games this season, and he is the chief creator for a Revs side that has been at its best at home. 10 shots on target in just under 1,073 minutes make him the clearest set-piece and final-third threat.
- Luca Langoni (New England Revolution): The Argentine has six assists and two goals from 11 appearances, plus six big chances created — the highest figure in the squad. He drifts wide off Carles Gil and is the link the Revs rely on to break a stubborn block.
- Kelvin Yeboah (Minnesota United): Yeboah has carried Minnesota United’s attack with seven goals from 12 shots on target in 13 matches. He is the away side’s best chance of stealing a result at Gillette.
- Joaquín Pereyra (Minnesota United): Pereyra leads the Loons for assists with four, plus nine big chances created from 13 games. With James Rodríguez still working back to full fitness from a limited 194 minutes, Pereyra is the creative spine.
Head-to-Head
The Revs hold a clear edge in the all-time series: three wins from five MLS meetings, with the only Minnesota United victory coming at Allianz Field back in 2018. The two clubs have not played since September 2023, and Foxborough has been a tough trip for the Loons — they have lost all three visits.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2023 | Minnesota United 1-1 New England | MLS |
| Jun 19, 2022 | New England 2-1 Minnesota United | MLS |
| Mar 30, 2019 | New England 2-1 Minnesota United | MLS |
| Jul 19, 2018 | Minnesota United 2-1 New England | MLS |
| Mar 25, 2017 | New England 5-2 Minnesota United | MLS |
Recent Form
New England Revolution: W D W W L
- May 13, 2026: New England 0-3 Nashville SC (L, home)
- May 10, 2026: New England 2-1 Philadelphia Union (W, home)
- May 3, 2026: New England 1-0 Charlotte FC (W, home)
- Apr 26, 2026: Inter Miami 1-1 New England (D, away)
- Apr 23, 2026: Atlanta United 1-2 New England (W, away)
Before Wednesday’s home thrashing by Nashville SC, the Revs had won six of their previous seven in all venues, including a 2-1 home win over Philadelphia Union and a 1-0 squeeze past Charlotte FC. The 0-3 reverse is their heaviest defeat since the opening game, also against Nashville when they lost 4-1 away.
Minnesota United: W L W D L
- May 13, 2026: Minnesota United 0-1 Colorado Rapids (L, home)
- May 11, 2026: Minnesota United 2-2 Austin FC (D, home)
- May 3, 2026: Columbus Crew 2-3 Minnesota United (W, away)
- Apr 25, 2026: Minnesota United 0-1 LA Galaxy (L, home)
- Apr 23, 2026: FC Dallas 0-1 Minnesota United (W, away)
The Loons have travelled better than they have held home court of late: their last two away outings produced wins in Dallas and Columbus, while they’ve failed to win three on the spin at Allianz Field. The 0-1 loss to Colorado Rapids on Wednesday extends a wobbly home stretch.
New England Revolution vs Minnesota United Prediction
This looks like a recovery game for the Revs, who have the conference position and the home record to demand a response after the Nashville SC battering. Minnesota United have the goalscorer in Kelvin Yeboah to keep the line interesting and a record in this fixture that suggests they will leak one or two at Gillette. We are landing on a New England Revolution win with both teams scoring at bet365. For more weekend reads, see our soccer predictions hub and the rest of our MLS coverage.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
Must be 21+. GAMBLING PROBLEM? Call 1-800-GAMBLER