Nashville SC host LAFC on Sunday, May 17, at 8:00 PM ET at Geodis Park, with one of the league’s hottest sides trying to widen the gap on a Western Conference visitor that has lost its rhythm.
Our Nashville SC vs LAFC prediction starts with the table. Nashville SC sit top of the Eastern Conference and third overall on 27 points after a 3-0 road win at New England on Wednesday. LAFC dropped a second straight defeat on the same night on the road at St. Louis City and slipped to fifth in the West.
Lines have not yet been posted at Bet365 for this fixture. We expect the home side to open as a clear favorite, with both teams to score the most interesting goals market given LAFC’s away scoring rate and Nashville SC’s recent home goal traffic. Check bet365 for the lines as they open.
Nashville SC vs LAFC: Best Bets & Predictions
The angle here is a Nashville SC side unbeaten in six and stacking clean sheets against an LAFC team that has conceded in each of its last three. Build around the home win and lean into goals on both ends.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Sportsbook | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville SC to Win | Lines opening soon @ bet365 | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | The Boys in Gold have won six of their last nine and sit top of the East on 27 points, while LAFC are winless in three with two straight defeats. |
| Both Teams to Score: Yes | Lines opening soon @ bet365 | ⭐⭐⭐ | LAFC have scored in each of their last four and conceded in each of the last three; Nashville SC’s home BTTS rate sits at two of their last two at Geodis Park. |
| Over 2.5 Goals | Lines opening soon @ bet365 | ⭐⭐⭐ | Six of LAFC’s last 10 have gone over 2.5, and Nashville SC have hit three or more in five of their last nine. |
| Correct Score: 2-1 Nashville SC | Lines opening soon @ bet365 | ⭐⭐ | Nashville SC’s 26 goals scored in 12 matches against an LAFC side averaging more than a goal a game on the road points to a tight home win. |
| Warren Madrigal Anytime Goalscorer | Lines opening soon @ bet365 | ⭐⭐⭐ | Madrigal has five goals from 648 minutes — a strike every 130 minutes — and gets the start with Nashville SC’s attack in rhythm. |
Our approach: Start with Nashville SC to win as the anchor, add Both Teams to Score for parlay value, and stash the Madrigal anytime ticket as a side pick.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
Prediction Markets: Live Odds & Win Probability
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Match-specific prediction market pricing for Nashville SC vs LAFC has not yet surfaced at the time of writing. The sportsbook read is the cleaner tool for this match. We’ll update here if and when Kalshi or Polymarket list the fixture.
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Season Form & Standings
This is a cross-conference matchup. Nashville SC lead the East on 27 points with a game in hand on San Jose Earthquakes above them in the overall table, while LAFC sit fifth in the West, four points off the conference lead and chasing the Supporters’ Shield race.
| Eastern Conference | Pos | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville SC | 1 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 27 |
| Western Conference | Pos | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAFC | 5 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 21 |
Potential Match-Winners
- Warren Madrigal (Nashville SC): Five goals in 648 minutes makes him the team’s most efficient finisher, averaging a goal every 130 minutes and hitting eight shots on target across the run.
- Hany Mukhtar (Nashville SC): Three goals and four assists in 911 minutes, with 12 shots on target — the playmaking spine of a side that has scored in nine of its last 10.
- Denis Bouanga (LAFC): Five goals and 18 shots on target from 1,021 minutes — by far the most threatening attacker on the visitors’ books, with a goal every 204 minutes.
- Son Heung-Min (LAFC): Seven assists in 865 minutes and six shots on target, providing the creative thrust LAFC need to break a winless run of three.
Head-to-Head
The two clubs have met four times. LAFC own a 5-0 win from March 2024, but the most recent meeting at Geodis Park ended 1-1.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2024 | LAFC 5-0 Nashville SC | MLS |
| Apr 22, 2023 | Nashville SC 1-1 LAFC | MLS |
| Oct 9, 2022 | LAFC 0-1 Nashville SC | MLS |
| Jul 17, 2022 | Nashville SC 1-2 LAFC | MLS |
Recent Form
Nashville SC — W W D D W
- May 13, 2026: New England 0-3 Nashville SC (W, away)
- May 9, 2026: Nashville SC 2-2 DC United (D, home)
- May 2, 2026: Philadelphia Union 0-0 Nashville SC (D, away)
- Apr 25, 2026: Nashville SC 4-2 Charlotte FC (W, home)
- Apr 18, 2026: Atlanta United 0-2 Nashville SC (W, away)
Nashville SC are unbeaten in six, with the last defeat a 1-0 loss at Chicago Fire FC on April 4. Six wins from their last nine and five clean sheets in the same span underline how settled this side has become.
LAFC — D W D L L
- May 13, 2026: lost 2-1 away at St. Louis (L, away)
- May 10, 2026: LAFC 1-4 Houston Dynamo (L, home)
- May 2, 2026: San Diego 2-2 LAFC (D, away)
- Apr 25, 2026: Minnesota United 0-1 LAFC (W, away)
- Apr 22, 2026: LAFC 0-0 Colorado Rapids (D, home)
LAFC have lost back-to-back and are winless in three, with the last victory the 1-0 result at Minnesota United on April 25. They have conceded in each of their last three but also scored in each of their last four, so the goals tend to come at both ends when the Black and Gold travel.
Nashville SC vs LAFC Prediction
Nashville SC are the form team in the league and host an LAFC outfit that has lost its defensive shape. The visitors will create — Bouanga and Son will see to that — but the home side’s six-match unbeaten run and 18-goal goal difference make the result hard to argue with. Back Nashville SC to win at bet365, with Both Teams to Score as the value add.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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