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Leeds vs Newcastle: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups

Leeds vs Newcastle predicted formations

Leeds host Newcastle at Elland Road on Monday, September 14 (3:00 PM ET / 2:00 PM CT / 12:00 PM PT).

Out for Leeds are forward Mateo Joseph (knee) and defender Joe Rodon (thigh), with Ilia Gruev a doubt (knee). Dominic Calvert-Lewin, Anton Stach and Jayden Bogle have all scored already this season and are the players most likely to shape Leeds’ afternoon at Elland Road. Out for Newcastle are defender Dan Burn (ankle/foot), forward William Osula (ankle/foot) and Joelinton Apolinario de Lira (thigh), with Ewen Jaouen a doubt (ankle/foot). Anthony Elanga, Yoane Wissa and Harvey Barnes carry the visitors’ attacking threat.

Both sides arrive on 5 points from 3 games, Leeds level with Newcastle despite a slightly lower goal difference, and neither has lost yet this season. That kind of parity, built on draws as much as wins, points toward a tense, low-scoring afternoon rather than an end-to-end shootout. Newcastle have shown they can trade goals, drawing 2-2 with both Bournemouth and Liverpool, but Leeds’ own results have been built on fine margins, and Elland Road should provide just enough of an edge for a single goal to settle it.

US viewers can watch Leeds vs Newcastle on NBC and Peacock.

Squawka Signal
Where are you?
Match outcome · who wins
LeedsLeeds42%mkt 42%Our pick
DrawDraw27%mkt 28%
NewcastleNewcastle31%mkt 32%

Leeds vs Newcastle: Best Bets & Predictions

Signal makes this a tight Leeds call at 42%.

Tight callno standout edge on the result

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The tips · best bets
MarketMkt %Signal %Read
Correct ScoreLeeds 1-0 Newcastle
10%
Model read
Both Teams to ScoreBoth teams: NoNewcastle's defense has shipped goals in draws with Bournemouth and Liverpool, but Leeds' own low-scoring recent form points to only one side finding the net here.
40%
42%
In line
Over / Under 2.5Under 2.5Two draws apiece in the last three rounds for both sides points to a tight, low-scoring game rather than an open one.
45%
47%
In line
Signal edge callsRecord building · settles at full-time

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Season Form & Standings

Leeds and Newcastle both arrive on 5 points from 3 games, Leeds carrying a +1 goal difference and Newcastle +2, with both sides having drawn twice already this season.

Premier League

TeamPosGPWDLGFGAGDPts
Newcastle7312064+25
Leeds9312032+15
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Team News Predicted

Leeds vs Newcastle Predicted Lineups

Predicted XI — updated for the latest team news.

Leeds

3-5-2
J. Trafford
T. Muharemovic
N. Elvedi
J. Justin
G. Gudmundsson
A. Tanaka
E. Ampadu
A. Stach
J. Bogle
N. Okafor
D. Calvert-Lewin

Newcastle

4-2-3-1
L. Hornicek
L. Hall
S. Botman
M. Thiaw
A. Dedic
L. Miley
Nico Gonzalez
H. Barnes
J. Willock
A. Elanga
Y. Wissa
    Squawka · Team News

    Potential Match-Winners

    • Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds): The forward has 1 goal from 6 shots, 3 of them on target, the clearest source of a Leeds goal in this game.
    • Anton Stach (Leeds): 1 goal and 2 chances created across 270 minutes shows Stach’s growing influence in the middle of the park.
    • Anthony Elanga (Newcastle): 2 goals from 4 shots, 3 on target and 4 chances created in 235 minutes make him Newcastle’s most direct attacking threat.

    Recent Form

    Leeds: W D D

    • 2026-09-05: Brighton 1-1 Leeds (D, away)
    • 2026-08-30: Leeds 1-1 Brentford (D, home)
    • 2026-08-22: Nottingham Forest 0-1 Leeds (W, away)

    Leeds have drawn 1-1 away at Brighton, drawn 1-1 at home to Brentford, and won 1-0 away at Nottingham Forest in their last 3 games.

    Newcastle: D W D

    • 2026-09-05: Newcastle 2-2 Bournemouth (D, home)
    • 2026-08-29: Tottenham 0-2 Newcastle (W, away)
    • 2026-08-23: Newcastle 2-2 Liverpool (D, home)

    Newcastle have drawn 2-2 at home to Bournemouth, won 2-0 away at Tottenham, and drawn 2-2 at home to Liverpool in their last 3 games.

    Leeds vs Newcastle Prediction

    Signal sees this finishing 1-0 to Leeds, a tight, low-event game settled by margins rather than fireworks. Both sides have shown they can go toe-to-toe without conceding heavily, and with Newcastle already missing key defensive personnel, Leeds’ home platform edges it.

    Squawka Signal

    Our model rates every Premier League fixture — see the numbers behind Leeds v Newcastle.

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