Our Everton vs Sunderland prediction lands on Sunday, May 17 at 11:00 AM ET / 10:00 AM CT / 8:00 AM PT, when 10th-placed Everton host 12th-placed Sunderland at Hill Dickinson Stadium in a Premier League dead-heat: 49 points against 48, both mid-table, both playing out the season with nothing structural on the line.
That is the story before a ball is kicked. The two clubs sit one place and one point apart, in the middle of a table with no relegation maths to worry about and no European chase to dream on. It still matters for Sunderland, mind: this is their first season back at this level and a 12th-placed finish with 48 points is a quietly remarkable line for a promoted side.
bet365 prices Everton at -125 to win, the draw at +270 and Sunderland at +320, with both teams to score at -125 (Yes). The market reads a tight, low-event home win — and the recent form on both sides suggests the draw price is the more interesting line. More on that in our Premier League picks below.
Everton vs Sunderland: Best Bets & Predictions
Our approach is anchored to the draw. Everton have drawn each of their last two and shipped goals in five straight; Sunderland have drawn two in a row themselves. Add the only meeting this season finished 1-1 in November and the case for a tied, both-score outcome stacks up.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Sportsbook | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | +270 @ bet365 (27%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Everton have drawn back-to-back league games; Sunderland are also on two draws. Mid-table, late-season, nothing to play for — and these sides drew 1-1 at the Stadium of Light in November. |
| Correct Score 1-1 | +650 @ bet365 (13%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Exactly how the first meeting played out. Everton have scored in six straight; Sunderland’s last six league goals have come from six different scorers — both find the net, neither runs away with it. |
| Both Teams to Score: Yes | -125 @ bet365 (56%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Everton have conceded in five straight and Sunderland have scored in each of their last four. Both teams scored in three of the visitors’ last five. |
| Over 1.5 Goals | -350 @ bet365 (78%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Six of Everton’s last seven league games have hit at least two goals. Heavily priced but a clean banker leg. |
| Beto Anytime Goalscorer | +140 @ bet365 (42%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Everton’s top scorer this season with nine league goals from 8.58 xG, and tied for the team’s shots-on-target lead at 17. Best-priced striker on the card. |
Our approach: Start with the draw at +270 as the headline play, layer Both Teams to Score Yes for an anchor leg in a parlay, and tag Beto at +140 if you want a player-prop sweetener with real value.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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Prediction Markets: Live Odds & Win Probability
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Match-specific prediction market pricing for Everton vs Sunderland has not yet surfaced at time of writing. The sportsbook read via bet365 is the cleaner tool for this match. We’ll update here if and when Kalshi or Polymarket list the fixture.
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Season Form & Standings
Everton sit 10th on 49 points with a level goal difference; Sunderland are 12th on 48, GD -9. The story is the dead-heat: one place, one point, and one of those clubs has just spent its season back at this level after promotion. Full table on our Premier League standings page.
| Team | Pos | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton | 10 | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 46 | 0 | 49 |
| Sunderland | 12 | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 48 |
Potential Match-Winners
- Beto (Everton): Nine league goals from 8.58 xG and 17 shots on target — Everton’s top scorer this season. Off the bench or starting, he’s the most direct route to a home goal at +140 to score anytime.
- Iliman Ndiaye (Everton): Six goals, three assists and 22 shots on target in 30 league starts. 69 successful dribbles — by some distance the team’s most productive ball-carrier in the final third.
- Enzo Le Fee (Sunderland): Four goals and five assists with 4.82 xA from 31 starts. Le Fee is Sunderland’s creative engine — 10 big chances created, more than anyone else in their squad.
- Granit Xhaka (Sunderland): Six assists and nine big chances created from defensive midfield. The veteran sets Sunderland’s tempo and is on every set-piece — the most likely source of an away goal from open play or a dead ball.
Head-to-Head
The two clubs have only met once in the Premier League since Sunderland’s relegation in 2017, and that meeting this season was a tight 1-1 draw on Wearside. The historical record between them in this division is thin and inconclusive — exactly why the form read and standings dead-heat carry more weight here.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2025 | Sunderland 1-1 Everton | Premier League |
| Feb 25, 2017 | Everton vs Sunderland | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2016 | Sunderland vs Everton | Premier League |
Recent Form
Everton: D L L D D (oldest left to most recent right)
- May 10, 2026: Crystal Palace 2-2 Everton (D, away)
- May 4, 2026: Everton 3-3 Manchester City (D, home)
- Apr 25, 2026: West Ham 2-1 Everton (L, away)
- Apr 19, 2026: Everton 1-2 Liverpool (L, home)
- Apr 11, 2026: Brentford 2-2 Everton (D, away)
Everton are winless in five, the last win a 3-0 result at home to Chelsea on March 21. They’ve scored in six straight but conceded in five — and the last two have ended level, including a 3-3 with Manchester City and a 2-2 at Crystal Palace.
Sunderland: W L L D D
- May 9, 2026: Sunderland 0-0 Manchester United (D, home)
- May 2, 2026: Wolves 1-1 Sunderland (D, away)
- Apr 24, 2026: Sunderland 0-5 Nottingham Forest (L, home)
- Apr 19, 2026: Aston Villa 4-3 Sunderland (L, away)
- Apr 12, 2026: Sunderland 1-0 Tottenham (W, home)
Sunderland are winless in four, the last win a 1-0 result at home to Tottenham on April 12. They’ve drawn the last two, both clean sheets in the Manchester United stalemate and a 1-1 at Wolves — a stout away record they’ll lean on at Hill Dickinson.
Everton vs Sunderland Prediction
This has a draw written through it. Two mid-table sides on near-identical points, one a stable top-flight presence and the other a promoted side that has earned a quietly excellent first season back, meeting with nothing left to chase. The price tells the same story: +270 on the draw is fair value when both clubs have drawn each of their last two and the only meeting this season ended 1-1. Our headline play is Draw at +270 with bet365, kicking off Sunday, May 17 at 11:00 AM ET at Hill Dickinson Stadium. For a fuller market scan, see our bet365 review.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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