Crystal Palace host Newcastle United at Selhurst Park on Sunday, April 12, with kickoff set for 10 AM ET.
Both clubs find themselves in the lower half of the Premier League table, but each outcome here could tip the balance between a late push for Europe and comfortable mediocrity.
Newcastle United arrive just three points ahead of Palace, but their recent inconsistency and defensive frailties have left the door open.
Palace, meanwhile, have protected their home turf with a solid defensive record, but will be desperate to prove their attack can finally match their underlying numbers.
With both teams lacking a headline goal scorer this term, this match poses a classic battle between Palace’s resilience and Newcastle’s creativity.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on current form, statistical trends, and head-to-head history, here are our top betting recommendations for this Premier League clash. We’re particularly confident in Newcastle United’s ability to avoid defeat, given their superior attacking metrics and head-to-head edge, but see strong value in goals markets and the draw as well.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Sportsbook | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle United Double Chance (Win or Draw) | +136 @ Bet365 (42.4%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Backed by head-to-head edge (7/18 wins) and stronger season attack. |
| Both Teams to Score: Yes | -175 @ Bet365 (63.6%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Newcastle have conceded in 23 of 31; Palace improved attack at home. |
| Draw | +260 @ Bet365 (27.8%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | 7 of last 18 head-to-heads drawn; both teams inconsistent. |
| Under 3.5 Total Goals | -227 @ Bet365 (69.4%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Only 3 of 18 recent H2Hs had 4+ goals; Palace keep games tight. |
Our approach: Start with Newcastle Double Chance, add Both Teams to Score for parlay potential.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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Season Form & Standings
With the 2025/26 Premier League campaign entering its final stretch, both teams are locked in mid-table. Newcastle United sit 12th with 42 points from 31 games, while Crystal Palace are 14th on 39 points from 30 matches. Newcastle’s attack ranks among the league’s best for creativity, but their defense has been suspect. Palace have been better at keeping clean sheets but have struggled to convert chances.
| Team | Pos | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle United | 12 | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 44 | 45 | -1 | 42 |
| Crystal Palace | 14 | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 39 |
Potential Match-Winners
In a contest without a league-leading scorer, the difference could be made by unsung heroes. For Crystal Palace, Jorgen Strand Larsen is a physical presence up top, while Ismaïla Sarr brings pace and the ability to force defensive errors (2025/26 averages: Sarr 2.1 shots per 90, Mateta 1.6 big chances per 90). Daniel Muñoz is a threat from set-pieces and overlaps, leading Palace defenders in touches in the opposition box. For Newcastle United, Anthony Gordon’s pace and dribbling (2.8 successful take-ons per 90) regularly unsettle defenses. Watch for Sandro Tonali to dictate tempo and deliver from deep.
Head-to-Head: Last 5 Meetings
Newcastle United have the historical edge in this fixture, winning seven of the last 18 meetings, while Palace have only four wins, with seven draws. Newcastle also won the most recent encounter in January.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2026 | Newcastle United 2-0 Crystal Palace | Premier League |
| Apr 16, 2025 | Newcastle United 5-0 Crystal Palace | Premier League |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Crystal Palace 1-1 Newcastle United | Premier League |
| Apr 24, 2024 | Crystal Palace 2-0 Newcastle United | Premier League |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Newcastle United 4-0 Crystal Palace | Premier League |
Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United Prediction
Expect a cagey but competitive contest, with Newcastle United’s superior attacking metrics and head-to-head record giving them the edge to avoid defeat. Both teams’ recent inconsistencies and Palace’s strong home defense suggest backing Newcastle Double Chance at +136 with Bet365 (42.4%) is the top selection for those seeking value and safety in a tight Premier League matchup.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.