Charlotte FC host Toronto FC on Saturday, May 16, at 7:30 PM ET at Bank of America Stadium, with two East mid-table sides desperate to break out of long winless runs.
Our Charlotte FC vs Toronto FC prediction starts with the standings: the Crown sit 9th in the Eastern Conference on 15 points from 13 games, TFC 10th on 14 from 12, with the two clubs wrestling on either side of the playoff line. The MLS standings show the cut-off line running right through this fixture.
Charlotte FC arrive off a 0-1 home loss to NYCFC on May 13 that extended their winless run to five, four of them defeats and one a 2-2 home draw with FC Cincinnati. Toronto FC have been off since May 9, when a 2-4 home loss to Inter Miami capped a six-match winless stretch of their own. The sportsbook lines are not yet open for this one, but the data points at goals on either side and a tight home edge.
Charlotte FC vs Toronto FC: Best Bets & Predictions
This one breaks down the same way for both clubs — neither has kept a clean sheet in nine straight, both are scoring, and a creative midfielder on either side is doing the heavy lifting. The picks lean into goals.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Sportsbook | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Both Teams to Score: Yes | -150 @ bet365 | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | BTTS landed in seven of Charlotte’s last nine and all nine of Toronto’s; both clubs have conceded in their last nine MLS matches running. |
| Over 2.5 Goals | -150 @ bet365 | ⭐⭐⭐ | Four of Toronto’s last five have gone over 2.5 (only the 1-1 with the Quakes under), and Charlotte have cleared the line in seven of nine at an average of 3.66 goals per game. |
| Charlotte FC to Win | -140 @ bet365 | ⭐⭐⭐ | Toronto have last two of three road games this season and might be rusty having not travelled since early March. Charlotte’s home form, while patchy, gives them the better shot at three points here. |
| Pep Biel to score anytime | Lines opening soon @ bet365 | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Biel leads Charlotte with six goals and four assists in 13 league games, 11 shots on target — Charlotte’s lone serial threat against a defense that ships goals. |
| Correct Score: Charlotte FC 2-1 | +750 @ bet365 | ⭐⭐ | Speculative shout that satisfies the home-win pick, BTTS Yes and Over 2.5 in one line. |
Our approach: Anchor with Both Teams to Score Yes, lean Charlotte FC on the moneyline, and add Pep Biel to score anytime as the small player-prop play that ties the night to Charlotte’s main creator.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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Prediction Markets: Live Odds & Win Probability
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Match-specific prediction market pricing for Charlotte FC vs Toronto FC has not yet surfaced at time of writing. The sportsbook read is the cleaner tool for this match. We will update here if and when Kalshi or Polymarket list the fixture.
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Season Form & Standings
Charlotte FC are 9th in the East on 15 points, Toronto FC 10th on 14 — either side of the playoff line. A win here would be a huge statement for either, while the loser will be at the mercy of a close chasing pack in the post-season race.
| Team | Conf Pos | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte FC | 9 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 15 |
| Toronto FC | 10 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 14 |
Potential Match-Winners
- Pep Biel (Charlotte FC): Six goals and four assists in 13 league games, with 11 shots on target — Charlotte’s lone serial threat in front of goal and the player Toronto’s back line will have to plan for.
- Idan Toklomati (Charlotte FC): Four goals and an assist in 12 starts, 1,013 minutes, eight shots on target. The Israeli striker is the natural beneficiary of Biel’s supply and lines up against a defense conceding in nine straight.
- Daniel Salloi (Toronto FC): Four goals, three assists in 12 games and 1,019 minutes, with a team-leading 13 shots on target. The Hungarian is doing the bulk of TFC’s attacking work this season.
- Emilio Aristizabal (Toronto FC): Recovered from a slow start in MLS to score three goals in his last three appearances, including a brace against Inter Miami last time out.
Head-to-Head
Charlotte have controlled this H2H recently, winning each of the last three meetings, including 2-0 twice in the space of two months in 2025 — one at home, one away. The overall series sees CLTFC lead with four wins to three, with the only draw coming back in April 2023.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 27, 2025 | Charlotte FC 2-0 Toronto FC | MLS |
| Jun 1, 2025 | Toronto FC 0-2 Charlotte FC | MLS |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Charlotte FC 3-2 Toronto FC | MLS |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Toronto FC 1-0 Charlotte FC | MLS |
| Oct 5, 2023 | Charlotte FC 3-0 Toronto FC | MLS |
Recent Form
Charlotte FC: L L L D L
- May 13, 2026: Charlotte FC 0-1 NYCFC (L, home)
- May 9, 2026: Charlotte FC 2-2 FC Cincinnati (D, home)
- May 2, 2026: New England Revolution 1-0 Charlotte FC (L, away)
- Apr 25, 2026: Nashville SC 4-2 Charlotte FC (L, away)
- Apr 22, 2026: Orlando City 4-1 Charlotte FC (L, away)
Charlotte FC are winless in five, the last win a 2-1 result at NYCFC on April 18. The Crown have conceded in each of their last nine MLS matches, the last shut-out a 0-0 at home to Inter Miami on March 14, and the home edge that defined their early-season run has flipped.
Toronto FC: D D L D L
- May 9, 2026: Toronto FC 2-4 Inter Miami (L, home)
- May 2, 2026: Toronto FC 1-1 San Jose Earthquakes (D, home)
- Apr 25, 2026: Toronto FC 1-2 Atlanta United (L, home)
- Apr 22, 2026: Toronto FC 3-3 Philadelphia Union (D, home)
- Apr 18, 2026: Toronto FC 3-3 Austin FC (D, home)
Toronto FC are winless in six, the last win a 3-2 result at home to Colorado Rapids on April 4. TFC have found the net in 10 league outings on the spin but have also conceded in nine straight, and every one of their last nine MLS fixtures (10 all comps) has been at BMO Field — a road game at Bank of America Stadium will be their first away outing in over two months.
Charlotte FC vs Toronto FC Prediction
Both clubs need a result that the form lines say is going to come in a wide-open game. Anchor with Both Teams to Score Yes at bet365, add the Over 2.5, lean Charlotte FC on the moneyline at home, and slot Pep Biel in for the anytime scorer.
For more MLS coverage, check the MLS hub and the rest of our soccer predictions, plus our full bet365 sportsbook review.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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