After edging Real Madrid 2-1 at the Santiago Bernabéu last week, Bayern Munich return to the Allianz Arena with the upper hand, looking to complete the job at home and progress to the Champions League semi-finals.
Kick-off for the quarter-final second leg is set for 3:00 PM ET on Wednesday, with both sides believing they can make the final four.
Best Bets & Predictions
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich to Win & BTTS | +137 @ Bet365 (42.1%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Bayern arrive off the back of a 5-0 win over St Pauli at the weekend and take a 2-1 lead into this second leg. The Bavarians look the real deal this season, but with Real scoring in all but two of their away games this season, we could be in for a high-scoring contest. This game could follow a similar script to the first leg and the hosts to win with both teams scoring looks the value play. Odds correct at time of writing. |
| Harry Kane 2+ Goals | +275 @ Bet365 (26.7%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | From a player perspective, the familiar names dominate the market with predictably short odds. While not exactly generous, the +275 price on Harry Kane to score two or more goals still catches the eye. He’s found the net in four Champions League home matches this season, and in three of those he struck twice. After bringing up his 49th goal of the campaign at the Bernabéu last week, another brace here wouldn’t be unexpected. Odds correct at time of writing. |
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
Match Result Odds
| Outcome | Moneyline Odds |
|---|---|
| Bayern Munich | -175 @ Bet365 |
| Draw | +450 @ Bet365 |
| Real Madrid | +400 @ Bet365 |
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How Both Teams Head Into Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid
Goals either side of the break from Luis Diaz and Harry Kane gave Bayern Munich a narrow first leg win over Real Madrid, ending a nine-match winless run against the Spanish side. A late goal from Kylian Mbappé kept the tie alive for the visitors, who will still believe they can turn things around. Bayern can take confidence from their strong record in Europe after winning the first leg away from home, having progressed in 29 of their last 30 such ties.
They followed that result with a dominant 5-0 league win and sit comfortably clear at the top of the Bundesliga, but their focus now shifts back to the Champions League. Despite a poor recent record against Spanish opposition in knockout ties, their home form offers encouragement. Bayern have won all five of their European matches at the Allianz Arena this season and rarely lose there, which gives them a strong chance of finishing the job and reaching the semi-finals.
Real Madrid are in danger of ending a second straight season without major silverware as their form dips at a crucial stage. Their first leg defeat to Bayern came in between disappointing league results, including a loss to Mallorca and a home draw with Girona that drew frustration from supporters. Those dropped points have allowed Barcelona to open up a significant lead at the top of La Liga.
Since the departure of Xabi Alonso, things have not gone smoothly for manager Alvaro Arbeloa, with a cup upset and inconsistent European performances increasing the pressure. Despite their struggles, Real Madrid’s history in this competition offers hope. They have a strong record against German teams and have enjoyed success at the Allianz Arena, remaining unbeaten there in recent visits, which gives them belief they can still overturn the deficit.
Head-to-Head: Last 6 Meetings
The last six meetings between Bayern and Real have delivered drama and goals, with three wins for Madrid, two for Bayern, and two draws. Bayern’s recent 2-1 away win has swung the momentum.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 07/04/26 | Real Madrid 1-2 Bayern Munich | Champions League |
| 08/05/24 | Real Madrid 2-1 Bayern Munich | Champions League |
| 30/04/24 | Bayern Munich 2-2 Real Madrid | Champions League |
| 01/05/18 | Real Madrid 2-2 Bayern Munich | Champions League |
| 25/04/18 | Bayern Munich 1-2 Real Madrid | Champions League |
| 18/04/17 | Real Madrid 4-2 Bayern Munich | Champions League |
Conclusion
Bayern Munich look in pole position to reach the next stage, fueled by a dominant season and their recent win in Madrid. Yet, with Real Madrid’s firepower and history of overturning deficits, the tie is far from over. Bayern Munich to win and BTTS at +137 @ Bet365 stands out as the value play.
Odds correct at the time of writing.