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Queretaro FC vs Cruz Azul: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups

Queretaro FC vs Cruz Azul predicted formations

Queretaro FC host Cruz Azul at Estadio Corregidora on Sunday, October 25 (9:00 PM ET / 8:00 PM CT / 6:00 PM PT).

Queretaro FC have no fresh fitness concerns to report, with defensive midfielder Santiago Damian Homenchenko Bianchi — five goals and nineteen chances created from deep — and striker Ali Avila Vega, who has four goals of his own, the central figures for the hosts. Cruz Azul are similarly unaffected by absences, with striker Nicolas Alejandro Ibanez (four goals, seventeen shots on target) and midfielder Agustin Palavecino Lamela (three goals, eighteen chances created) the players to watch for the visitors.

Both sides sit level on 20 points, but Cruz Azul’s +6 goal difference from 12 games outstrips Queretaro FC’s +2 from 11, hinting at the extra edge the visitors carry in front of goal. Queretaro FC’s defense was picked apart 5-0 at Santos Laguna last time out, and with Cruz Azul fresh off a 5-0 win of their own over FC Juarez, this should be a cagey, low-event night at Estadio Corregidora where one moment of quality settles it.

US viewers can watch Queretaro FC vs Cruz Azul on ViX, TUDN or Fox.

Squawka Signal
Match outcome · who wins
Queretaro FCQueretaro FC34%mkt 31%Value +3
DrawDraw25%mkt 27%
Cruz AzulCruz Azul41%mkt 48%Our pick

Queretaro FC vs Cruz Azul: Best Bets & Predictions

The market prices Under 2.5 at 41%. Signal says 46%.

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The tips · best bets
MarketMkt %Signal %Read
Correct ScoreQueretaro FC 0-1 Cruz AzulQueretaro FC shipped five without reply at Santos Laguna last time out, and with Cruz Azul favored to control this game, a tight 0-1 finish suits two sides level on 20 points.
—
9%
Model read
Both Teams to ScoreBoth teams: NoQueretaro FC have a modest +2 goal difference from 11 games, and a repeat of the kind of shutout defending that produced 2-0 and 1-1 results earlier this season would keep one side off the scoresheet.
37%
41%
Value
Over / Under 2.5Under 2.5
41%
46%
Value
Anytime ScorerAnytime Goalscorer: Nicolas Alejandro IbanezNicolas Alejandro Ibanez leads Cruz Azul with 4 goals and 17 shots on target this season, making him the logical source for the model's 0-1 projection.
—
20%
Model read
Signal edge callsRecord building · settles at full-time

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Season Form & Standings

Queretaro FC sit on 20 points from 11 games (6-2-3, +2 goal difference), level with a Cruz Azul side that have taken the same 20 points from 12 outings (6-2-4, +6 goal difference) as the Apertura heads into its closing weeks.

Liga MX

TeamPosGPWDLGFGAGDPts
Cruz Azul5126242721+620
Queretaro FC6116231513+220
Team News Predicted

Queretaro FC vs Cruz Azul Predicted Lineups

Predicted XI — updated for the latest team news.

Queretaro FC

4-2-3-1
G. Allison
D. Parra
L. Abascia
D. Reyes
E. Gimenez
S. Homenchenko
Carlo Adriano
D. Munoz
M. Coronel
Iker Benito
A. Avila

Cruz Azul

5-3-2
A. Gudino
O. Campos
G. Piovi
A. Montes
A. Garcia
A. Mozo
C. Rodriguez
E. Lira
A. Palavecino
A. Montano
N. Ibanez
    Squawka · Team News

    Potential Match-Winners

    • Santiago Damian Homenchenko Bianchi (Queretaro FC): The defensive midfielder has still managed five goals and nineteen chances created this season, a constant aerial and set-piece threat from deep rather than an out-and-out scorer.
    • Nicolas Alejandro Ibanez (Cruz Azul): Cruz Azul’s striker leads the line with four goals and seventeen shots on target, the clearest source of a breakthrough in a game the model expects to stay tight.
    • Jose Antonio Paradela (Cruz Azul): Paradela’s two goals undersell his influence — twenty-four chances created and five assists make him Cruz Azul’s chief creator in midfield.

    Recent Form

    Queretaro FC: W D W W L

    • 2026-10-17: Santos Laguna 5-0 Queretaro FC (L, away)
    • 2026-10-10: Queretaro FC 2-0 Atlante FC (W, home)
    • 2026-09-26: Chivas 0-2 Queretaro FC (W, away)
    • 2026-09-20: Queretaro FC 1-1 Club Leon (D, home)
    • 2026-09-11: Club Tijuana 0-1 Queretaro FC (W, away)

    Queretaro FC’s form reads W D W W L, with a 2-0 win over Atlante FC and a 1-1 draw against Club Leon either side of a heavy 5-0 loss at Santos Laguna last time out.

    Cruz Azul: W L D D W

    • 2026-10-17: Cruz Azul 5-0 FC Juarez (W, home)
    • 2026-10-11: Pumas UNAM 3-3 Cruz Azul (D, away)
    • 2026-09-26: Cruz Azul 3-3 Toluca (D, home)
    • 2026-09-19: Monterrey 1-0 Cruz Azul (L, away)
    • 2026-09-12: Cruz Azul 4-3 Club America (W, home)

    Cruz Azul’s form reads W L D D W, bookended by a 5-0 home win over FC Juarez and back-to-back 3-3 draws with Toluca and Pumas UNAM before that.

    Queretaro FC vs Cruz Azul Prediction

    This looks like a tight, low-event night at Estadio Corregidora between two sides level on 20 points. Cruz Azul’s +6 goal difference from 12 games gives them the edge over Queretaro FC’s +2 from 11, and after a 5-0 loss at Santos Laguna, the hosts will be wary of being cut open again. Expect Cruz Azul to find the one opening this game offers, likely through Nicolas Alejandro Ibanez, and take it to a 0-1 away win.

    Squawka Signal

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