
Club Puebla host Toluca at Estadio Cuauhtemoc on Tuesday, September 15 (9:00 PM ET / 8:00 PM CT / 6:00 PM PT).
Club Puebla and Toluca both arrive with clean team sheets — no fresh absences flagged for either side, so both coaches can pick from a full-strength squad at the Cuauhtemoc. Puebla’s threat starts with striker Eduardo Mustre Torres, who has 3 goals and 4 shots on target from 9 attempts in 355 minutes, with attacking midfielder Kevin Andres Velasco Bonilla supplying 18 chances created across 587 minutes. Toluca counter with striker Federico Sebastian Vinas Barboza, also on 3 goals, and attacking midfielder Helio Junio Nunes de Castro, who has produced 16 chances created and 2 goals in 377 minutes.
Toluca have banked 16 points from 7 games this term, with a goal difference of +11 underlining the quality up front, while Puebla have posted 13 points from the same 7 matches and a +1 goal difference — a much tighter margin. Puebla’s most recent outing was a battling 1-0 win away at Necaxa, but Toluca arrive off a 5-2 romp past Atlas FC at home, and that gulf in attacking output points to a low-scoring, cagey night rather than an end-to-end shootout. Expect Puebla to sit in and make it difficult, with Toluca’s control shading a tight contest by the odd goal.
US viewers can watch Club Puebla vs Toluca on ViX, TUDN or Fox.
Club Puebla vs Toluca: Best Bets & Predictions
The market prices Under 2.5 at 39%. Signal says 46%.
+7points of value · the goals marketNew to Kalshi? Trade $25, get $25 · 18+ · use code SQUAWKA
Compare all markets ›bet365 review ›
Available to US traders in all 50 states · 18+Odds from bet365 · 18+ · begambleaware.org
Season Form & Standings
Toluca have collected 16 points from 7 games this season, winning 5, drawing 1 and losing 1, with a goal difference of +11. Club Puebla have 13 points from the same 7 matches, winning 4, drawing 1 and losing 2, with a difference of +1 — a much tighter margin that hints at a less clinical side going forward.
Liga MX
| Team | Pos | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 6 | +11 | 16 |
| Club Puebla | 7 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 13 |
Club Puebla vs Toluca Predicted Lineups
Predicted XI — updated for the latest team news.
Club Puebla
4-2-3-1Toluca
4-1-4-1Potential Match-Winners
- Eduardo Mustre Torres (Club Puebla): 3 goals and 4 shots on target from 9 attempts in 355 minutes make him Puebla’s most direct route to goal.
- Federico Sebastian Vinas Barboza (Toluca): 3 goals from 18 shots, with 5 on target, in 276 minutes shows a striker in sharp form for Toluca.
- Helio Junio Nunes de Castro (Toluca): 16 chances created and 2 goals in 377 minutes make him the creative hub behind Toluca’s front line.
Recent Form
Club Puebla: D W W L W
- 2026-09-12: Necaxa 0-1 Club Puebla (W, away)
- 2026-08-29: Club America 2-0 Club Puebla (L, away)
- 2026-08-22: Club Puebla 3-2 Santos Laguna (W, home)
- 2026-08-17: Pachuca 2-3 Club Puebla (W, away)
- 2026-07-31: Club Puebla 1-1 Chivas (D, home)
Puebla’s last 5 games read D W W L W, finishing with a 1-0 win away at Necaxa on September 12.
Toluca: W D W W W
- 2026-09-13: Toluca 5-2 Atlas FC (W, home)
- 2026-08-30: Toluca 4-0 FC Juarez (W, home)
- 2026-08-21: Queretaro FC 1-2 Toluca (W, away)
- 2026-08-15: Atlante FC 0-0 Toluca (D, away)
- 2026-08-02: Toluca 3-1 Necaxa (W, home)
Toluca’s last 5 games read W D W W W, most recently a 5-2 win over Atlas FC on September 13.
Club Puebla vs Toluca Prediction
This looks tight and low-scoring rather than open. Toluca’s +11 goal difference and 16 points from 7 games mark them out as the more clinical side, while Puebla’s +1 difference and 13 points from 7 games suggest a side built more on resilience than firepower. Signal has this finishing 0-1 to Toluca, and that reads right — Puebla dig in and limit clear sights of goal, but Toluca’s edge up front settles it with a single strike.
Our model rates every Liga MX fixture — see the numbers behind Club Puebla v Toluca.
Liga MX AI PredictorEvery match this week rated by our modelOver 2.5 Goals predictionsThis week’s picks across the league