Our England vs Croatia prediction, best bets and odds for Thursday’s Nations League tie at Wembley — five weeks after England won 7-0 in Rijeka, and with Madrid to come on Sunday.
Kick-off at Wembley is 2:45 PM ET on Thursday, November 12. Broadcast details are below.
England vs Croatia: Best Bets & Predictions
England have conceded only to Spain all campaign and put seven past Croatia last month. The clean sheet is better than evens.
Our approach: skip the -400 and buy the shutout instead, then take the scoreline that pays for both the clean sheet and the goals.
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Where to watch England vs Croatia
England vs Croatia kicks off at 2:45 PM ET / 11:45 AM PT on Thursday, November 12, at Wembley Stadium in London. That is 7:45 PM locally.
No US broadcaster had been confirmed at the time of writing. The FA’s own where-to-watch guide lists ITV1 for the UK and names no other territory, and the match carries no network on ESPN’s listing. Check local listings closer to kick-off.
England vs Croatia: what’s at stake?
England go into Thursday second on nine points, three behind a Spain side that has already qualified. Thomas Tuchel’s record reads three wins and one defeat, and the defeat is the interesting part: the only goals England have conceded all campaign were the two Spain scored at Wembley in September.
Otherwise it has been Czechia beaten 2-0 in Prague and 3-0 at Wembley, and Croatia taken apart 7-0 in Rijeka on October 3 — Harry Kane twice, Bukayo Saka twice, Jude Bellingham, Anthony Gordon and Morgan Rogers. Kane’s opener that night was his 88th international goal.
Croatia arrive in a different condition entirely. Slaven Bilić took over in October and has inherited a side that has lost three of four, conceded fourteen and sits third. Win on Thursday and England carry the group race to Madrid on Sunday; the FA have already noted that first or second is enough for the quarter-finals.
Team news and talking points
England are without Marc Guéhi, withdrawn through injury after being taken off at half-time at Nottingham Forest on Saturday; Dan Burn comes in for his first call-up since the World Cup. Myles Lewis-Skelly is suspended for this one, though he stays with the squad for Madrid. Declan Rice and Djed Spence are back after missing October, Ben White returns for the first time since March, and there are first senior call-ups for Jobe Bellingham and Fulham’s Josh King. Tuchel has been blunt about the order of business: “We are desperate to win the game against Croatia and then have Spain after that.”
Croatia are the more depleted side. Andrej Kramarić sat out the camp on health grounds, Marin Pongračić has a hamstring problem and Franjo Ivanović a mild concussion, while Josip Šutalo pulled out injured and was replaced by Dinamo Zagreb’s Niko Galešić. Kristijan Jakić is a doubt, with Bilić saying only that he hopes the injury is not serious. Luka Modrić, now on 206 caps, is in the squad and remains captain. Spain’s trip to Prague the same night is covered in our Czechia vs Spain preview, and the rest of the window is in our international coverage.
England vs Croatia prediction
Croatia were beaten 7-0 by this England side five weeks ago and arrive with four senior players missing and a fifth in doubt. England have conceded to nobody except Spain and have a trip to Madrid to prepare for, which argues for control rather than a repeat of Rijeka. A comfortable, professional win with the back door shut is the likeliest version. Prediction: England 3-0 Croatia.
England vs Croatia FAQ
England vs Croatia kicks off at 2:45 PM ET / 11:45 AM PT on Thursday, November 12 — 7:45 PM local time in London.
No US broadcaster had been confirmed at the time of writing. The FA lists ITV1 for the UK only, and the match carries no network on ESPN’s listing — check local listings closer to kick-off.
England vs Croatia is being played at Wembley Stadium in London.
Our prediction is England 3-0 Croatia. Our top pick is England to win to nil at +110.
21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER | Odds correct at time of writing