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Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP predicted formations

Shakhtar Donetsk host Sporting CP at Stamford Bridge on Tuesday, November 3 (12:45 PM ET / 11:45 AM CT / 9:45 AM PT).

There are no fresh absentees to report on either side heading into this one. Shakhtar Donetsk can call on Gleiker Mendoza Barrios, already up to 2 goals in the competition, with Vinícius Tobias contributing both goals and chances created from the back. Sporting CP’s threat will again run through Luis Suárez, who has 4 goals from 11 shots this season, with Geny Catamo and Rodrigo Zalazar offering further support in behind.

US viewers can watch Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP on Paramount+.

Squawka Signal
Match outcome · who wins
Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar Donetsk38%mkt 27%Our pick
DrawDraw27%mkt 24%
Sporting CPSporting CP35%mkt 50%

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP: Best Bets & Predictions

The market prices Under 2.5 at 41%. Signal says 55%.

+14points of value · the goals market
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The tips · best bets
MarketMkt %Signal %Read
Correct ScoreShakhtar Donetsk 1-0 Sporting CPWith Mendoza Barrios already on 2 goals this season, we expect him to provide the only goal in a tight affair that finishes 1-0.
—
11%
Model read
Both Teams to ScoreBoth teams: NoShakhtar's +1 goal difference and a 1-0 scoreline in our model both point to a performance where Sporting fail to get on the scoresheet.
40%
49%
Value
Over / Under 2.5Under 2.5Our model's 1-0 prediction fits a Shakhtar side with a +1 goal difference from 3 games this season, pointing to Under 2.5 goals.
41%
55%
Strong value
Anytime ScorerMendoza Barrios to scoreMendoza Barrios already has 2 goals in just 165 minutes this season, giving him a strong chance of adding to that tally here.
—
67%
Model read
Signal edge callsRecord building · settles at full-time

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Season Form & Standings

Shakhtar Donetsk have taken 4 points from 3 games this season, with a goal difference of +1. Sporting CP have been sharper of the two, picking up six points from three games on the back of two wins, with a goal difference of +3.

Champions League

TeamPosGPWDLGFGAGDPts
Sporting CP12320174+36
Shakhtar Donetsk17311143+14
Team News Predicted

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP Predicted Lineups

Predicted XI — updated for the latest team news.

Shakhtar Donetsk

4-1-4-1
D. Riznyk
Pedro Henrique
M. Matviienko
V. Bondar
Vinicius Tobias
O. Ocheretko
G. Mendoza
Marlon Gomes
Pedrinho
Alisson Santana
Kaua Elias

Sporting CP

4-3-3
Kaique
M. Araujo
Goncalo Inacio
Eduardo Quaresma
Ivan Fresneda
I. Doumbia
Sergi Altimira
Joao Simoes
N. Irankunda
L. Suarez
Geny Catamo
    Squawka · Team News

    Potential Match-Winners

    • Gleiker Mendoza Barrios (Shakhtar Donetsk): The midfielder has 2 goals from 5 shots in just 165 minutes this season, including 2 on target.
    • Vinícius Tobias (Shakhtar Donetsk): The defender has a goal already this season and has created 4 chances, making him a threat at set pieces too.
    • Luis Suárez (Sporting CP): The striker leads the way with 4 goals from 11 shots, 7 of which have been on target.

    Recent Form

    Shakhtar Donetsk: D W L

    • 2026-10-21: Inter Milan 1-0 Shakhtar Donetsk (L, away)
    • 2026-10-14: Shakhtar Donetsk 3-1 AEK Athens (W, home)
    • 2026-09-10: PSV 1-1 Shakhtar Donetsk (D, away)

    Shakhtar’s form reads draw, win, loss — a 1-1 draw at PSV, a 3-1 win at home to AEK Athens, then a 1-0 loss away to Inter Milan.

    Sporting CP: W W L

    • 2026-10-21: Sporting CP 2-3 LASK (L, home)
    • 2026-10-13: Lens 0-2 Sporting CP (W, away)
    • 2026-09-09: Sporting CP 3-1 Galatasaray (W, home)

    Sporting CP’s form reads win, win, loss — Sporting CP 3-1 Galatasaray, Lens 0-2 Sporting CP, then Sporting CP 2-3 LASK.

    Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP Prediction

    We’re backing Shakhtar Donetsk to win this 1-0. A +1 goal difference at home and 2 goals already from Mendoza Barrios in just 165 minutes give the hosts a route through a tight contest. Sporting CP arrive with 6 points from 3 games against Shakhtar’s 4, but we expect goals to be hard to find for both sides. Our model has this finishing 1-0, with Under 2.5 goals and BTTS No both backing a tight, low-scoring night in Donetsk.