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Home » News » Champions League » Atletico Madrid vs Bayern Munich: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups

Atletico Madrid vs Bayern Munich: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups

Atletico Madrid vs Bayern Munich predicted formations

Atletico Madrid host Bayern Munich at Estadio Wanda Metropolitano on Tuesday, November 3 (3:00 PM ET / 2:00 PM CT / 12:00 PM PT).

No fresh absences have been flagged for either side, with the headline team news here more about personnel than injuries. Julián Alvarez leads the home forward line, racking up eight shots and four on target so far, with Pablo Barrios offering a goal and five created chances from midfield. For Bayern Munich, Harry Kane is the man to watch after four goals and two assists in his opening appearances, with Michael Olise pulling the strings behind him with eleven chances created.

Atletico Madrid have taken four points from three games this season, built on a platform that has conceded only one more goal than it has scored. Bayern Munich have found goals easy to come by going forward, but their back line has been breached in recent games — a 2-2 draw with Arsenal and a 3-3 share of the points at Viking. That combination points to a tight, low-scoring night in Madrid rather than the kind of shootout Bayern have been involved in lately.

US viewers can watch Atletico Madrid vs Bayern Munich on Paramount+.

Squawka Signal
Match outcome · who wins
Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid72%mkt 28%Our pick
DrawDraw16%mkt 23%
Bayern MunichBayern Munich11%mkt 50%

Atletico Madrid vs Bayern Munich: Best Bets & Predictions

The market prices Atletico Madrid at 28%. Signal says 72%.

+44points of value · the result
Kalshi28¢
Back Atletico Madrid @ 28¢ · Kalshi · $100 → $357New to Kalshi? Trade $25, Get $25 Bonus · use code SQUAWKA · 18+

Best live price across US prediction markets · buy YES on Atletico Madrid

Back Atletico Madrid with bet365
The tips · best bets
MarketMkt %Signal %Read
Correct ScoreAtletico Madrid 2-0 Bayern MunichA narrow home win fits a side that beat Manchester United 2-0 last time out, with Bayern Munich having failed to keep a clean sheet on the road all season.
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10%
Model read
›
Both Teams to ScoreBoth teams: NoAtletico Madrid have lost just once in three games this season, and a side built around that platform should be well-equipped to shut out a Bayern Munich attack that has still needed set pieces and individual moments rather than fluency to find the net.
30%
45%
Strong value
›
Over / Under 2.5Under 2.5
28%
34%
Value
›
Anytime ScorerJulián Alvarez to score anytimeJulián Alvarez leads Atletico Madrid's attack with eight shots, four on target, a goal and an assist already this season, the most advanced underlying numbers of anyone in the squad.
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Model read
Signal edge callsRecord building · settles at full-time

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Available to US traders in all 50 states · 18+Odds from bet365 · 18+ · begambleaware.org

Season Form & Standings

Atletico Madrid have taken four points from three games this season, while Bayern Munich head to Madrid off the back of consecutive draws against Arsenal and Viking.

Champions League

TeamPosGPWDLGFGAGDPts
Atletico Madrid16311143+14
Shop the matchAtletico Madrid v Bayern MunichOfficial kits via Fanatics
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Team News Predicted

Atletico Madrid vs Bayern Munich Predicted Lineups

Predicted XI — updated for the latest team news.

Atletico Madrid

4-4-2
J. Oblak
Alejandro Grimaldo
D. Hancko
Marc Pubill
Marcos Llorente
Alex Baena
M. Hjulmand
Pablo Barrios
G. Simeone
J. Alvarez
J. David

Bayern Munich

4-2-3-1
M. Neuer
J. Stanisic
Kim Min-Jae
D. Upamecano
K. Laimer
A. Pavlovic
T. Bischof
A. Davies
I. Saibari
S. Gnabry
H. Kane
    Squawka · Team News

    Potential Match-Winners

    • Julián Alvarez (Atletico Madrid): Eight shots and four on target already this season, plus a goal and an assist, make Alvarez Atletico Madrid’s most reliable source of goal threat.
    • Pablo Barrios (Atletico Madrid): A goal and five chances created from midfield make Barrios the creative heartbeat of this Atletico Madrid side.
    • Harry Kane (Bayern Munich): Four goals and two assists already this season, from fifteen shots with seven on target, make Kane the most dangerous player on the pitch.

    Recent Form

    Atletico Madrid: L W D

    • 2026-10-20: Stuttgart 1-1 Atletico Madrid (D, away)
    • 2026-10-13: Atletico Madrid 2-0 Manchester United (W, home)
    • 2026-09-09: Liverpool 2-1 Atletico Madrid (L, away)

    Atletico Madrid’s recent results read a 2-1 loss at Liverpool, a 2-0 win over Manchester United, and a 1-1 draw at Stuttgart.

    Bayern Munich: W D D

    • 2026-10-21: Bayern Munich 2-2 Arsenal (D, home)
    • 2026-10-13: Viking 3-3 Bayern Munich (D, away)
    • 2026-09-10: Bayern Munich 5-0 Bodø / Glimt (W, home)

    Bayern Munich’s recent results read a 2-2 draw with Arsenal, a 3-3 draw at Viking, and a 5-0 win over Bodø/Glimt.

    Atletico Madrid vs Bayern Munich Prediction

    Expect a cagey, low-scoring affair in Madrid. Atletico Madrid have lost just once in three games this season. That defensive platform should be enough to contain Bayern Munich’s front line for a 2-0 home win, with Julián Alvarez the man most likely to get on the scoresheet in front of goal.