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Villarreal vs Paris Saint-Germain: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups

Villarreal vs Paris Saint-Germain predicted formations

Villarreal host Paris Saint-Germain at Estadio de la Cerámica on Tuesday, November 3 (3:00 PM ET / 2:00 PM CT / 12:00 PM PT).

There are no fitness concerns flagged for either squad coming into this one. Villarreal should set up with Mikautadze leading the line, backed by Mouriño and Oluwaseyi, both of whom have chipped in with goals from deeper areas, while PSG will again lean on the firepower of Dembélé and Ferran Torres up top, with Doué and Fabián Ruiz offering more craft and threat from midfield.

Villarreal arrive with just 1 win from 3 league games and a goal difference of 0, but home advantage and the finishing of Mikautadze and Mouriño give them a route into this contest. PSG travel in good form, unbeaten in their last 3 with wins over Barcelona and Manchester City, and their front line of Dembélé, Ferran Torres and Doué means this has goals written all over it in both directions. Expect a game with chances at either end rather than one side shutting up shop.

US viewers can watch Villarreal vs Paris Saint-Germain on Paramount+.

Squawka Signal
Where are you?
Match outcome · who wins
VillarrealVillarreal45%mkt 19%Our pick
DrawDraw22%mkt 21%
Paris Saint-GermainParis Saint-Germain32%mkt 61%

Villarreal vs Paris Saint-Germain: Best Bets & Predictions

The market prices Villarreal at 19%. Signal says 45%.

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The tips · best bets
MarketMkt %Signal %Read
Correct ScoreVillarreal 2-1 Paris Saint-GermainA 2-1 scoreline fits a Villarreal side that has found goals from Mikautadze, Mouriño and Oluwaseyi against a PSG attack that has itself shipped goals in big away wins this season.
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9%
Model read
Both Teams to ScoreBoth teams to scorePSG's Dembélé and Ferran Torres have scored 3 goals apiece already, and Villarreal have had 3 different scorers of their own, pointing to goals at both ends.
67%
67%
In line
Over / Under 2.5Over 2.5Villarreal have been involved in games finishing 4-3, 3-1 and 3-2 in their last 3 outings, while PSG have put up 4-2 and 6-1 scorelines of their own, so this looks set to clear 2.5 goals.
72%
66%
Priced in
Anytime ScorerMikautadze to score anytimeMikautadze has scored 2 goals from just 5 shots this season, with 2 on target and 3 chances created, making him Villarreal's likeliest source of a goal.
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56%
Model read
Signal edge callsRecord building · settles at full-time

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Season Form & Standings

Villarreal have taken 3 points from 3 games this season, with 1 win, 0 draws and 2 losses, and a goal difference of 0 — numbers that undersell a side capable of moments in front of goal. Paris Saint-Germain’s league position isn’t available, but the form book speaks: 3 straight wins, including a 4-2 win at Manchester City and a 4-2 home win over Barcelona.

Champions League

TeamPosGPWDLGFGAGDPts
Villarreal1931028803
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Team News Predicted

Villarreal vs Paris Saint-Germain Predicted Lineups

Predicted XI — updated for the latest team news.

Villarreal

4-2-3-1
P. Gulacsi
Sergi Cardona
Renato Veiga
Pau Navarro
S. Mourino
P. Gueye
Santi Comesana
Alberto Moleiro
N. Saliba
T. Buchanan
G. Mikautadze

Paris Saint-Germain

4-3-3
M. Safonov
L. Hernandez
W. Pacho
Marquinhos
A. Hakimi
Fabian Ruiz
Vitinha
Joao Neves
K. Kvaratskhelia
O. Dembele
D. Doue
    Squawka · Team News

    Potential Match-Winners

    • Georges Mikautadze (Villarreal): Villarreal striker Mikautadze has scored 2 goals from 5 shots this season, with 2 on target and 3 chances created, giving the hosts a reliable spearhead in front of goal.
    • Álvaro Mouriño (Villarreal): Defender Mouriño has also scored 2 goals this season, needing just 3 shots to register 3 shots on target, and has created 3 chances of his own — a real set-piece threat from the back for Villarreal.
    • Ousmane Dembélé (Paris Saint-Germain): Dembélé has been PSG’s talisman going forward, racking up 3 goals and 3 assists from just 160 minutes, with 9 chances created underlining his influence all over the final third.

    Recent Form

    Villarreal: L W L

    • 2026-10-20: Liverpool 4-3 Villarreal (L, away)
    • 2026-10-13: Villarreal 3-1 Napoli (W, home)
    • 2026-09-08: Borussia Dortmund 3-2 Villarreal (L, away)

    Villarreal’s results have swung between extremes: a 4-3 defeat at Liverpool, a 3-1 win over Napoli at home, and a 3-2 loss at Borussia Dortmund.

    Paris Saint-Germain: W W W

    • 2026-10-20: Paris Saint-Germain 4-2 Barcelona (W, home)
    • 2026-10-14: Manchester City 2-4 Paris Saint-Germain (W, away)
    • 2026-09-09: Paris Saint-Germain 6-1 Slovan Bratislava (W, home)

    Paris Saint-Germain have won their last 3 matches: 4-2 over Barcelona, 4-2 away at Manchester City, and 6-1 against Slovan Bratislava.

    Villarreal vs Paris Saint-Germain Prediction

    This looks set to go with the head rather than simple form reading. PSG arrive having won their last 3 games, including a 4-2 win at Manchester City and a 4-2 win over Barcelona, but Villarreal’s home scoring — 2 goals apiece from Mikautadze and Mouriño already this season — gives the hosts enough to get over the line. Expect goals at both ends before Villarreal edge it 2-1.