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Toronto FC vs DC United: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups

Toronto FC vs DC United predicted formations

Toronto FC host DC United at BMO Field on Wednesday, October 28 (7:30 PM ET / 6:30 PM CT / 4:30 PM PT).

Toronto FC have no fresh team-news concerns heading into this one, with Dániel Sallói and Josh Sargent set to lead the line after contributing eight and seven league goals respectively this season. DC United, also with a clean bill of health, will again look to Tai Baribo, their outstanding 16-goal striker, and Louis Munteanu to carry the attacking threat at BMO Field.

Expect goals at both ends at BMO Field, with Toronto’s attacking depth up against a DC United defense that has leaked goals all season. This still shouldn’t be one-way traffic — DC have scored in bunches themselves through Baribo — but Toronto’s greater firepower should be enough to get them over the line by a single goal.

US viewers can watch Toronto FC vs DC United on Apple TV’s MLS Season Pass.

Squawka Signal
Match outcome · who wins
Toronto FCToronto FC53%mkt 56%Our pick
DrawDraw23%mkt 38%
DC UnitedDC United24%mkt 43%

Toronto FC vs DC United: Best Bets & Predictions

Signal has Toronto FC at 53% — no edge over the market on the result.

In lineno standout edge on the result
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The tips · best bets
MarketMkt %Signal %Read
Correct ScoreToronto FC 2-1 DC UnitedSallói's eight goals and Sargent's seven give Toronto far more proven end product up front, enough to edge a tight margin at BMO Field.
—
10%
Model read
Both Teams to ScoreBoth teams to scoreDC United have shipped goals all season, with a -14 goal difference the division's leakiest outside the very bottom, while Tai Baribo's 16 goals mean they always carry an attacking threat of their own.
75%
57%
Priced in
Over / Under 2.5Over 2.5Toronto's 3-3 draw with Orlando City and DC's 4-1 and 4-0 defeats both point to games here producing goals at both ends.
97%
56%
Priced in
Anytime ScorerDániel Sallói to score anytimeSallói leads Toronto with 8 goals from 55 shots this season, the clearest sign he's their most consistent threat in front of goal.
—
57%
Model read
Signal edge callsRecord building · settles at full-time

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Season Form & Standings

Toronto FC sit 10th in the Eastern Conference on 36 points from 30 games, while DC United are 13th on 34 points from the same number of matches, leaving both clubs needing results to stay in touch with the playoff picture.

Eastern Conference

TeamPosGPWDLGFGAGDPts
Toronto FC1030812104655-936
DC United1330713103852-1434
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Team News Predicted

Toronto FC vs DC United Predicted Lineups

Predicted XI — updated for the latest team news.

Toronto FC

4-4-2
L. Gavran
Matheus Pereira
N. Gomis
Z. Monlouis
K. Franklin
L. Morgan
J. Osorio
N. Dorsch
T. Corbeanu
J. Sargent
D. Mihailovic

DC United

4-4-2
S. Johnson
K. Kurokawa
K. Rowles
S. Nealis
S. Hefti
Peglow
A. Dozzell
K. Nono
J. Stroud
B. Servania
T. Baribo
    Squawka · Team News

    Potential Match-Winners

    • Dániel Sallói (Toronto FC): Sallói has racked up 8 goals from 55 shots and 24 shots on target this season, making him Toronto’s most reliable source of goals.
    • Josh Sargent (Toronto FC): Sargent isn’t far behind with 7 goals in just 1,794 minutes, underlining his efficiency in front of goal.
    • Tai Baribo (DC United): Baribo has been DC United’s standout performer with 16 goals from 57 shots, comfortably their biggest individual threat.

    Recent Form

    Toronto FC: L L W D W

    • 2026-10-18: New York Red Bulls 0-2 Toronto FC (W, away)
    • 2026-10-15: Toronto FC 3-3 Orlando City (D, home)
    • 2026-10-10: Toronto FC 2-1 CF Montreal (W, home)
    • 2026-09-27: Nashville SC 2-0 Toronto FC (L, away)
    • 2026-09-20: St. Louis City SC 3-1 Toronto FC (L, away)

    Toronto FC’s past five matches have read L, L, W, D, W. That sequence closed with a 2-0 win away to New York Red Bulls on October 18, having also beaten CF Montreal 2-1 and drawn 3-3 with Orlando City at BMO Field in the weeks before that.

    DC United: L D L W L

    • 2026-10-18: Orlando City 4-1 DC United (L, away)
    • 2026-10-15: DC United 2-1 New York Red Bulls (W, home)
    • 2026-10-11: Inter Miami 4-0 DC United (L, away)
    • 2026-09-27: Vancouver Whitecaps 3-3 DC United (D, away)
    • 2026-09-20: DC United 1-2 Charlotte FC (L, home)

    DC United’s past five matches have read L, D, L, W, L. The low point was a 4-1 defeat at Orlando City on October 18, sandwiched by a 2-1 home win over New York Red Bulls and a 4-0 loss at Inter Miami before that.

    Toronto FC vs DC United Prediction

    Toronto FC, 10th in the East on 36 points, should have enough quality up top through Sallói and Sargent to see off a DC United side sitting 13th on 34 points and still searching for consistency on the road. Expect goals at both ends, but Toronto to edge it 2-1 at BMO Field.

    Squawka Signal

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