Liverpool host Brentford at Anfield on Sunday, May 24 (11:00 AM ET / 10:00 AM CT / 8:00 AM PT) on the Premier League’s final day, with Liverpool’s Champions League ticket secured and Brentford fighting for a Europa or Conference qualification spot.
Our Liverpool vs Brentford prediction starts with the points picture: Liverpool, fifth-placed with 59 points, host Brentford, eighth-placed with 52. Liverpool have wrapped up Champions League qualification, while Brentford remain mathematically alive in the Europa and Conference League race but rely on Bournemouth (56) and Brighton (53) slipping up to climb. That makes this a fixture with stakes on the away side, even if Anfield is the harder ground to take points from.
bet365 prices Liverpool at -125 to win, with Brentford at +280 and the draw at +320. Closer than the table suggests on the road but Liverpool’s home form (10 wins from 18) and Brentford’s away record (six wins from 18) point one way.
Liverpool vs Brentford: Best Bets & Predictions
The home side is favored but the supporting markets give the away side a path to a useful contribution.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Sportsbook | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool to Win | -125 @ bet365 (56%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Ten home wins from 18 league outings and Brentford have lost ten of their 18 trips. The price feels fair given the away ground and Liverpool’s mixed recent form. |
| Correct Score: 2-1 Liverpool | +850 @ bet365 (11%) | ⭐⭐ | Both sides have scored in 12 of Liverpool’s 18 home games and Brentford carry Igor Thiago’s 22 league goals into the trip. A 2-1 home win mirrors the recent pattern. |
| Mohamed Salah Anytime Goalscorer | +110 @ bet365 (48%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Seven league goals and six assists this season — Salah remains Liverpool’s elite-tier scorer, and with Alexander Isak ruled out and Hugo Ekitike sidelined, he’s the obvious lead striker. |
| Over 2.5 Goals | -200 @ bet365 (67%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Liverpool home games have averaged Over 2.5 in 12 of 18 outings, and the away side scored three of the three goals in the reverse fixture in October. |
| Both Teams to Score: Yes | -200 @ bet365 (67%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | BTTS landed in 12 of 18 Liverpool home games and in eight of Brentford’s 18 trips. The natural pair with Over 2.5. |
Our approach: Start with Liverpool to Win at -125, layer the Salah anytime line as the player-prop value, and add Over 2.5 as the over-friendly leg.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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Prediction Markets: Live Odds & Win Probability
The live prediction-market story tied to this fixture is the chase for the Europa and Conference qualification spots above. Polymarket and Kalshi are pricing Bournemouth as favored to hold sixth, with Brentford in the four-way Conference shootout.
For this individual fixture, match-specific prediction market pricing for Liverpool vs Brentford has not yet surfaced at time of writing. The sportsbook read is the cleaner tool for the 90-minute call. We’ll update here if and when Kalshi or Polymarket list the fixture.
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Season Form & Standings
Liverpool’s Champions League berth is locked and the away side carry the live stake — Brentford’s outside shot at Europa or the Conference spot relies on results above them. The 2025-26 Premier League Europa qualification odds page tracks the live market and our Brighton vs Manchester United preview covers another live Conference race fixture.
| Team | Pos | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | 5 | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 62 | 52 | +10 | 59 |
| Brentford | 8 | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 54 | 51 | +3 | 52 |
Potential Match-Winners
- Mohamed Salah (Liverpool): Seven league goals and six assists this season — the Egyptian remains Liverpool’s go-to scoring threat, particularly with Alexander Isak missing the run-in.
- Cody Gakpo (Liverpool): Seven goals and five assists this season with 10 big chances created — the Dutchman has settled into a lead role and is a real threat against a side that has shipped goals on the road.
- Igor Thiago (Brentford): 22 league goals this season — the Brazilian has been the breakout striker of the season and is a single-shot threat at Anfield.
- Kevin Schade (Brentford): Seven goals and three assists this season — Brentford’s secondary scoring outlet and a likely starter against a Liverpool back line missing Conor Bradley.
Head-to-Head
Brentford won the reverse fixture 3-2 at the Gtech Community Stadium in October — their only PL win over Liverpool in the past five meetings, with Liverpool taking the other four.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | Brentford 3-2 Liverpool | Premier League |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Brentford 0-2 Liverpool | Premier League |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Liverpool 2-0 Brentford | Premier League |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Brentford 1-4 Liverpool | Premier League |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Liverpool 3-0 Brentford | Premier League |
Recent Form
Liverpool: W W L D L (oldest left → most recent right)
- May 15, 2026: Aston Villa 4-2 Liverpool (L, away)
- May 9, 2026: Liverpool 1-1 Chelsea (D, home)
- May 3, 2026: Manchester United 3-2 Liverpool (L, away)
- Apr 25, 2026: Liverpool 3-1 Crystal Palace (W, home)
- Apr 19, 2026: Everton 1-2 Liverpool (W, away)
Two recent away defeats have been the underlying concern, but the away ground was the issue in both — at Anfield the form picture is steadier. Without Alexander Isak for the run-in and missing Hugo Ekitike to a hamstring problem, Salah and Cody Gakpo will lead the line.
Brentford: D L W L D
- May 17, 2026: Brentford 2-2 Crystal Palace (D, home)
- May 9, 2026: Manchester City 3-0 Brentford (L, away)
- May 2, 2026: Brentford 3-0 West Ham (W, home)
- Apr 27, 2026: Manchester United 2-1 Brentford (L, away)
- Apr 18, 2026: Brentford 0-0 Fulham (D, home)
Brentford’s home form has carried them, but the trip to Anfield is a different brief — six wins from 18 league trips and 10 defeats on the road tell the away story. Igor Thiago carries the goal threat on his own.
Liverpool vs Brentford Prediction
This is a final-day fixture where the home side has the squad and the ground and the away side has the motivation but a poor road record. Liverpool to Win at -125 with bet365 is the right call given Anfield’s record and the Salah factor, with the player prop as the value lean. Kick-off is 11:00 AM ET at Anfield.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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