St. Louis City SC vs Austin FC kicks off Saturday, May 23 at 2:45 PM ET / 1:45 PM CT / 11:45 AM PT at Energizer Park, the last MLS round before the FIFA World Cup pause.
Both clubs sit on the wrong side of the Western Conference cut. St. Louis City SC are 14th in the West on 13 points from 13 games; Austin FC are 13th on 14 from 14. Neither is hunting the playoffs from here without a serious push on the other side of the break, which lends Saturday a real edge — three points before the lights go down for a month.
Bet365 prices St. Louis City SC at -173 to win, with Austin FC out at +375 and the draw at +300. Home form is doing the talking: City are three unbeaten and beat LAFC 2-1 in their last outing at Energizer Park, while Austin go into the trip off back-to-back defeats against fellow strugglers San Diego FC and Sporting Kansas City.
St. Louis City SC vs Austin FC: Best Bets & Predictions
The market has St. Louis City SC as a clear home favorite, and the supporting markets — BTTS Yes at -163, Over 2.5 at -175 — point to a high-event game. Anchor pick is the home win; the scoring trends back a 2-1.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Sportsbook | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis City SC to Win | -159 @ bet365 | ⭐⭐⭐ | City are unbeaten in three, winning twice; Austin FC are winless away this season. |
| Correct Score: 2-1 St. Louis City SC | +750 @ bet365 | ⭐⭐ | Lines up with the home-win lean, the Over 2.5 price and an Austin FC defense that has shipped 28 in 14. |
| Marcel Hartel Anytime Scorer | +140 @ bet365 | ⭐⭐⭐ | Three goals and one assist in 11 starts; 17 shots on target and seven big chances created — the central creator of everything City do. |
| Over 2.5 Goals | -175 @ bet365 | ⭐⭐⭐ | Three of City’s last six hit over 2.5, as have each of Austin’s last three. |
| Both Teams to Score: Yes | -175 @ bet365 | ⭐⭐⭐ | Austin have scored in five of their last six; City have scored in each of their last three. |
Our approach: anchor the slip with St. Louis City SC to win, then layer the 2-1 correct score and the Hartel anytime scorer for value. Over 2.5 and BTTS Yes are the safer doubles partners if you’d rather stay off the scoreline.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
Prediction Markets: Live Odds & Win Probability
Match-specific prediction market pricing for St. Louis City SC vs Austin FC has not yet surfaced at the time of writing. The bet365 sportsbook read is the cleaner tool for this match. We will update here if and when Kalshi or Polymarket list the fixture.
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Season Form & Standings
One place separates them on the Western Conference table, but the trends diverge. Austin FC sit a point above St. Louis City SC, but the latter have a game in hand. City have the cleaner recent form. Both clubs need a strong sprint after the break to close the gap to LA Galaxy in ninth.
| Team | Pos | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin FC | 13 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 14 |
| St. Louis City SC | 14 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 13 |
Potential Match-Winners
- Marcel Hartel (St. Louis City SC): The midfielder leads City for goal involvements with three goals and one assist in 11 league outings, registering 17 shots on target and creating seven big chances — the most reliable source of end product the home side has.
- Simon Becher (St. Louis City SC): The attacker’s three assists are the most in the squad and he has chipped in with a goal in 13 appearances; with seven shots on target, he is the second creative pivot Hartel feeds into.
- Myrto Uzuni (Austin FC): The attacker has been the Verde’s main outlet, five goals from 14 shots on target in 13 appearances — only one big chance created points to a pure finisher rather than a build-up player.
- Facundo Torres (Austin FC): The attacker is Austin’s chief creator with five assists in 14 league games, adding a goal and nine shots on target — the most-played attacker in the squad at 1,169 minutes.
Head-to-Head
St. Louis City SC have won four of the seven previous MLS meetings to Austin FC’s two, with one draw. The latest came on May 3, when Austin shut City out 2-0 at Q2 Stadium — Saturday is the chance to even the season series.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Austin 2-0 St. Louis City SC | MLS |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Austin 1-3 St. Louis City SC | MLS |
| Mar 30, 2025 | St. Louis City SC 0-1 Austin | MLS |
| Apr 14, 2024 | St. Louis City SC 1-0 Austin | MLS |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Austin 2-2 St. Louis City SC | MLS |
Recent Form
St. Louis City SC: L L W W D
- May 16, 2026: DC United 1-1 St. Louis City SC (D, away)
- May 13, 2026: St. Louis City SC 2-1 Los Angeles (W, home)
- May 9, 2026: Colorado Rapids 0-1 St. Louis City SC (W, away)
- May 3, 2026: Austin 2-0 St. Louis City SC (L, away)
- April 25, 2026: St. Louis City SC 2-3 SJ Earthquakes (L, home)
City are on a three-match unbeaten run, the last loss a 0-2 defeat against this weekend’s opponent on 3 May 2026. The two recent wins are notable because they came after three straight defeats — a small but real turn in shape and execution.
Austin FC: L W W D L
- May 16, 2026: Austin FC 1-2 Sporting KC (L, home)
- May 13, 2026: San Diego 5-0 Austin (L, away)
- May 10, 2026: Minnesota United 2-2 Austin (D, away)
- May 3, 2026: Austin 2-0 St. Louis City SC (W, home)
- April 25, 2026: Austin 2-0 Houston Dynamo (W, home)
- April 22, 2026: SJ Earthquakes 5-1 Austin (L, away)
Austin are winless in three, the last win a 2-0 home result against St. Louis City SC on 3 May 2026. The recent trip to Snapdragon Stadium was their worst result of the year, conceding five for the second time in less than a month, while they could only follow that up with a 2-1 defeat at home to bottom-of-the-West SKC.
St. Louis City SC vs Austin FC Prediction
Form, home advantage, and the price all line up the same way. Take St. Louis City SC to win at -173 with bet365, with a 2-1 correct score the value swing. For the full MLS preview slate and our weekly tips, the soccer predictions hub is the home page.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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