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Sunderland vs Leeds: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups

Sunderland vs Leeds predicted formations

Sunderland host Leeds at Stadium of Light on Sunday, October 25 (12:30 PM ET / 11:30 AM CT / 9:30 AM PT).

Sunderland will be without injured duo Romaine Mundle (knee) and Daniel Ballard (thigh), while thigh injury has also sidelined Thomas Meunier. Doubtful Wilson Isidor and suspension-risk Kevin Danso add further uncertainty up front, leaving Brian Brobbey, who has scored three goals in 401 minutes, and creative outlet Enzo Le FΓ©e, who has created 11 chances from his advanced role, as the two most important attacking threats for the hosts. Leeds, meanwhile, are missing injured Mateo Joseph (knee) and thigh-injury absentee Joe Rodon, with lower-back doubt Daniel James also in question. Dominic Calvert-Lewin, who already has 4 goals this season, leads the visitors’ attack, with Anton Stach’s 10 created chances supplying much of the service behind him.

Sunderland’s season has been defined by damage at both ends, a -8 goal difference from 7 games to go with just 4 points, and little suggests that profile changes here. Leeds arrive with 10 points from 7 games, built more on control and discipline than ruthless finishing, and a cagey, tactical contest at the Stadium of Light looks more likely than an afternoon of end-to-end soccer. Expect a tight, low-scoring battle decided by a single moment of quality.

US viewers can watch Sunderland vs Leeds on NBC and Peacock.

Squawka Signal
Match outcome · who wins
SunderlandSunderland32%mkt 35%
DrawDraw28%mkt 29%
LeedsLeeds39%mkt 37%Our pick

Sunderland vs Leeds: Best Bets & Predictions

The market prices Both teams: No at 46%. Signal says 50%.

+4points of value · both teams to score
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Best live price across US prediction markets · buy YES on Leeds

The tips · best bets
MarketMkt %Signal %Read
Correct ScoreSunderland 0-1 LeedsDominic Calvert-Lewin has already scored 4 goals in 601 minutes this season, enough firepower to edge a tight contest against a Sunderland defense carrying a -8 goal difference.
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12%
Model read
Both Teams to ScoreBoth teams: NoSunderland have won just 1 of 7 games this season and have sidelined Thomas Meunier and doubtful Wilson Isidor restricting their attacking options, making a goal from the hosts unlikely.
46%
50%
Value
Over / Under 2.5Under 2.5Sunderland's -8 goal difference from 7 games points to a side short of craft at both ends, setting up a tight, low-scoring afternoon at the Stadium of Light.
53%
56%
Value
Anytime ScorerDominic Calvert-Lewin anytimeCalvert-Lewin has scored four goals from 14 shots, eight of them on target, this season, giving him the clearest route to the net in this one.
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Model read
Signal edge callsRecord building · settles at full-time

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Season Form & Standings

Sunderland have taken just 4 points from 7 games this season, with 1 win, 1 draw and 5 losses alongside a -8 goal difference. Leeds have fared much better, collecting 10 points from 7 games with 2 wins, 4 draws and only 1 loss, backed by a +3 goal difference.

Premier League

TeamPosGPWDLGFGAGDPts
Leeds7724196+310
Sunderland197115614-84
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Team News Predicted

Sunderland vs Leeds Predicted Lineups

Predicted XI β€” updated for the latest team news.

Sunderland

4-2-3-1
R. Roefs
Reinildo Mandava
O. Alderete
K. Danso
N. Mukiele
N. Sadiki
G. Xhaka
E. Le Fee
C. Rigg
T. Hume
T. Tutierov

Leeds

3-4-2-1
J. Trafford
T. Muharemovic
N. Elvedi
J. Justin
G. Gudmundsson
A. Tanaka
E. Ampadu
J. Bogle
N. Okafor
A. Stach
D. Calvert-Lewin
    Squawka Β· Team News

    Potential Match-Winners

    • Brian Brobbey (Sunderland): Brobbey has scored 3 goals in just 401 minutes this season, by far Sunderland’s sharpest attacking outlet.
    • Enzo Le FΓ©e (Sunderland): Le FΓ©e has created 11 chances and added 1 goal in 610 minutes, the creative hub for a struggling Sunderland side.
    • Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds): Calvert-Lewin leads Leeds’ attack with 4 goals from 14 shots, 8 on target, in 601 minutes this season.

    Recent Form

    Sunderland: D L L L L

    • 2026-10-18: Bournemouth 2-0 Sunderland (L, away)
    • 2026-10-10: Sunderland 0-2 Brighton (L, home)
    • 2026-09-20: Manchester City 5-3 Sunderland (L, away)
    • 2026-09-12: Sunderland 0-2 Arsenal (L, home)
    • 2026-09-05: Brentford 1-1 Sunderland (D, away)

    Sunderland’s form reads D L L L L, with 4 straight defeats including losses to Arsenal, Manchester City, Brighton and Bournemouth.

    Leeds: D W D L D

    • 2026-10-18: Leeds 1-1 Manchester United (D, home)
    • 2026-10-10: Arsenal 2-1 Leeds (L, away)
    • 2026-09-20: Leeds 0-0 Crystal Palace (D, home)
    • 2026-09-14: Leeds 4-1 Newcastle (W, home)
    • 2026-09-05: Brighton 1-1 Leeds (D, away)

    Leeds’ form reads D W D L D, drawing 3 of their last 5 games, including a 4-1 win over Newcastle and a 1-1 draw with Manchester United.

    Sunderland vs Leeds Prediction

    This looks a tight, low-scoring afternoon at the Stadium of Light. Sunderland have taken just 4 points from 7 games and own a -8 goal difference, while Leeds have built 10 points from 7 games without conceding freely. Dominic Calvert-Lewin’s movement up top should be enough to separate the sides in a game short on clear chances, and Squawka’s Signal model lands on a 0-1 Leeds win.

    Squawka Signal

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