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Home » News » Liga MX » Chivas vs Necaxa: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups

Chivas vs Necaxa: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups

Chivas vs Necaxa predicted formations

Chivas host Necaxa at Estadio AKRON on Tuesday, October 20 (8:07 PM ET / 7:07 PM CT / 5:07 PM PT).

Chivas have no fresh fitness concerns to report, with Ricardo Marin Sanchez and Roberto Carlos Alvarado Hernandez both in line to lead the attack after combining for nine goals between them this season. Necaxa will again lean on Julian Simon Carranza, the striker who has scored seven goals from thirty-three shots this season, as their most direct route to goal at Estadio Akron.

Expect goals at both ends. Necaxa have conceded in all five of their last matches, while Chivas have found the net in four of their own last five, a combination that points to an open, back-and-forth contest rather than anything cagey. Chivas’s greater quality in the final third, led by Ricardo Marin Sanchez’s five goals, should be enough to get them over the line by the finest of margins.

US viewers can watch Chivas vs Necaxa on ViX, TUDN or Fox.

Squawka Signal
Match outcome · who wins
ChivasChivas55%mkt 63%Our pick
DrawDraw22%mkt 22%
NecaxaNecaxa23%mkt 17%Value +6

Chivas vs Necaxa: Best Bets & Predictions

Signal has Chivas at 55% — no edge over the market on the result. The market’s soft on Necaxa (+6) — our value angle.

In lineno standout edge on the result
Kalshi62¢
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Best live price across US prediction markets · buy YES on Chivas

Back Chivas with bet365
The tips · best bets
MarketMkt %Signal %Read
Correct ScoreChivas 2-1 NecaxaNecaxa have conceded in all 5 of their last matches, including a 2-4 home loss to Club America and a 3-1 defeat at Atletico San Luis, numbers that fit a tight 2-1 Chivas win.
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10%
Model read
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Both Teams to ScoreBoth teams to scoreBoth teams have been involved in goal-filled matches lately, with Necaxa's Julian Simon Carranza already up to 7 goals and Chivas shipping goals in results like their 2-2 draw at Club America.
91%
61%
Priced in
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Over / Under 2.5Over 2.5Recent matches for both sides have been open, from Necaxa's 3-3 draw at Pachuca to Chivas' 3-0 win over Pumas UNAM, a pattern that favors Over 2.5 goals here.
98%
61%
Priced in
›
Anytime ScorerAnytime Goalscorer: Ricardo Marin SanchezRicardo Marin Sanchez leads Chivas with 5 goals and 12 shots on target this season, making him the likeliest source of a home goal.
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Model read
Signal edge callsRecord building · settles at full-time

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Season Form & Standings

Neither side arrives with a flattering league position to point to this Apertura, but the form lines tell their own story: Chivas have picked up two wins, two draws and a loss across their last five, while Necaxa have managed just two draws and three losses in the same span.

Liga MX

TeamPosGPWDLGFGAGDPts
Necaxa1000000000
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Team News Predicted

Chivas vs Necaxa Predicted Lineups

Predicted XI — updated for the latest team news.

Chivas

3-3-2-1
R. Rangel
D. Campillo
L. Rey
D. Aguirre
B. Gutierrez
R. Gonzalez
R. Ledezma
R. Marin
R. Alvarado
A. Sepulveda

Necaxa

4-1-4-1
L. Jimenez
C. Vargas
D. Ochoa
A. Oliveros
E. Martinez
P. Pedraza
O. Gonzalez
M. Espindola
D. Leyva
E. Rodriguez
J. Carranza
    Squawka · Team News

    Potential Match-Winners

    • Ricardo Marin Sanchez (Chivas): 5 goals and 12 shots on target from 671 minutes make him Chivas’s most reliable route to goal.
    • Roberto Carlos Alvarado Hernandez (Chivas): 4 goals and a team-high 17 chances created in 899 minutes underline his influence in the final third.
    • Julian Simon Carranza (Necaxa): seven goals from 33 shots, with 14 on target, make him Necaxa’s one genuine goal threat.

    Recent Form

    Chivas: W W D L D

    • 2026-10-10: Atlas FC 1-1 Chivas (D, away)
    • 2026-09-26: Chivas 0-2 Queretaro FC (L, home)
    • 2026-09-19: Club America 2-2 Chivas (D, away)
    • 2026-09-13: Chivas 3-0 Pumas UNAM (W, home)
    • 2026-09-05: Atletico San Luis 0-3 Chivas (W, away)

    Chivas’ last five have gone win, win, draw, loss, draw: Atletico San Luis 0-3 Chivas, Chivas 3-0 Pumas UNAM, Club America 2-2 Chivas, Chivas 0-2 Queretaro FC, and Atlas FC 1-1 Chivas.

    Necaxa: D L L L D

    • 2026-10-11: Pachuca 3-3 Necaxa (D, away)
    • 2026-09-27: Necaxa 2-4 Club America (L, home)
    • 2026-09-19: Atletico San Luis 3-1 Necaxa (L, away)
    • 2026-09-11: Necaxa 0-1 Club Puebla (L, home)
    • 2026-09-05: Tigres UANL 1-1 Necaxa (D, away)

    Necaxa’s last five have gone draw, loss, loss, loss, draw: Tigres UANL 1-1 Necaxa, Necaxa 0-1 Club Puebla, Atletico San Luis 3-1 Necaxa, Necaxa 2-4 Club America, and Pachuca 3-3 Necaxa.

    Chivas vs Necaxa Prediction

    We’re backing Chivas to win this 2-1. Ricardo Marin Sanchez and Roberto Carlos Alvarado Hernandez give the home side more individual quality in the final third than anything Necaxa can offer outside of Julian Simon Carranza, and with both sides having leaked goals recently, both teams to score and over 2.5 goals look like the natural companions to a narrow Chivas win at Estadio Akron.

    Squawka Signal

    Our model rates every Liga MX fixture — see the numbers behind Chivas v Necaxa.

    Liga MX AI PredictorEvery match this week rated by our modelAnytime Goalscorer predictionsThis week’s picks across the league