DC United host St. Louis City SC at Audi Field on Saturday, May 16, at 7:30 PM ET, with both clubs scrambling to keep their playoff hopes intact as we head deeper into the season.
Our DC United vs St. Louis City SC prediction starts with two teams trending in opposite directions in their conferences, but both struggling for form. The Black-and-Red sit seventh in the Eastern Conference on 16 points but were taken apart 3-1 at home by Chicago Fire FC on Wednesday, while City climbed off the canvas with back-to-back wins, the latest a 2-1 home result over LAFC.
Bet365 prices DC United at +132 to win, with St. Louis City SC at +175 and the draw at +225. The market reflects modest home favoritism for a side that, for all its struggles, has been tougher to break down at Audi Field than the table suggests.
DC United vs St. Louis City SC: Best Bets & Predictions
Two attacks that have been streaky rather than steady, two defenses with double-digit goals conceded — this is a fixture where the goals markets carry more signal than the win line.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Sportsbook | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| DC United to Win | +132 @ bet365 (43%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | The Black-and-Red picked up wins against Orlando and NYCFC recently, with the loss to Chicago their only defeat in their last six. They have outscored St. Louis City SC by four over the season despite playing only one more game. |
| Both Teams to Score — Yes | -134 @ bet365 (57%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | BTTS has landed in four of DC United’s last five and six of St. Louis City SC’s last eight. DC have just one clean sheet in five, St. Louis have just one all season. |
| Over 2.5 Goals | -106 @ bet365 (51%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Four of DC United’s last five and three of City’s last five have cleared 2.5 goals. |
| Tai Baribo Anytime Scorer | +140 @ bet365 (42%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Baribo leads DC United with seven goals in 10 matches, taking nine shots on target. |
| Correct Score: 2-1 DC United | +850 @ bet365 (11%) | ⭐⭐ | City have shown they can score on the road, but their defense has buckled in all but one of their 2026 away outings. The 2-1 home win is the cleanest landing spot for the BTTS and DC-to-win combo. |
Our approach: Anchor with BTTS-Yes and Baribo to score anytime, then add DC United on the moneyline for the value leg. For a single-pick play, the +140 on Baribo is the strongest standalone.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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Prediction Markets: Live Odds & Win Probability
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Match-specific prediction market pricing for DC United vs St. Louis City SC has not yet surfaced at the time of writing. The sportsbook read is the cleaner tool for this match. We will update here if and when Kalshi or Polymarket list the fixture.
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Season Form & Standings
DC United sit seventh in the Eastern Conference, clinging to a spot inside the playoff line by two points. St. Louis City SC are 14th in the West, four points off the cut-off and running out of road. For a full league-wide read, our MLS standings page tracks every conference race.
| Eastern Conference | Pos | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DC United | 7 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 16 |
| Western Conference | Pos | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis City SC | 14 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
Potential Match-Winners
- Tai Baribo (DC United): The Black-and-Red’s leading scorer with seven goals in 10 matches, averaging close to a goal a game and registering nine shots on target across the season.
- Louis Munteanu (DC United): Four goals in nine appearances with 10 shots on target. A great partner for Baribo.
- Marcel Hartel (St. Louis City SC): City’s standout creator-scorer, three goals and one assist in 12 with a team-high 17 shots on target.
- Simon Becher (St. Louis City SC): One goal but three assists in 12 — the connecting line in the City attack, and the player most likely to release Hartel in transition.
Head-to-Head
These sides have crossed paths just once in MLS regular-season play, a 2-2 draw at Energizer Park on March 23, 2024. There is not enough history here to lean on a pattern.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2024 | St. Louis City SC 2-2 DC United | MLS |
Recent Form
DC United: D W W D L
- May 13, 2026: DC United 1-3 Chicago Fire (L, home)
- May 10, 2026: Nashville SC 2-2 DC United (D, away)
- May 3, 2026: New York City 0-2 DC United (W, away)
- April 26, 2026: DC United 3-2 Orlando City (W, home)
- April 23, 2026: New York RB 4-4 DC United (D, away)
DC United are winless in two coming into this fixture, the last win a 2-0 result at New York City on May 3. The Black-and-Red have found the net in every game across that five-match window, but they have also shipped multiple goals in three of the last four — a defensive read that gives the BTTS market real legs.
St. Louis City SC: L L L W W
- May 13, 2026: St. Louis City SC 2-1 Los Angeles (W, home)
- May 10, 2026: Colorado Rapids 0-1 St. Louis City SC (W, away)
- May 3, 2026: Austin FC 2-0 St. Louis City SC (L, away)
- April 26, 2026: St. Louis City SC 2-3 SJ Earthquakes (L, home)
- April 19, 2026: Seattle Sounders 4-1 St. Louis City SC (L, away)
City have arrested a brutal three-game losing run with back-to-back wins, the breakthrough a tight 1-0 at Colorado and the latest a 2-1 over LAFC. Hartel and Becher are getting on the ball more, and the road win at Colorado was the first league clean sheet of the season — a flicker of stability before a difficult assignment in DC.
DC United vs St. Louis City SC Prediction
Two struggling sides, but only one has shown it can close out a tight game lately at home. With BTTS landing in four of DC United’s last five and St. Louis City SC newly capable of scoring on the road, the smart anchor is goals at both ends. For the moneyline, we will back DC United to win at +132 with bet365. Saturday’s slate continues across the league — see the rest of our MLS preview hub for the full Matchday 38 read and our soccer predictions page for the weekend’s anchored picks.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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