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Home » News » MLS » San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups

San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups

San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC predicted formations

San Jose Earthquakes host Nashville SC at PayPal Park on Saturday, October 17 (10:30 PM ET / 9:30 PM CT / 7:30 PM PT).

San Jose Earthquakes and Nashville SC both arrive at PayPal Park with clean team news to report, no absences flagged in the build-up. Preston Judd, who has scored 15 goals in 1858 minutes this season, leads the home attack alongside Timo Werner, while Nashville will again lean on Samuel Surridge and Hany Mukhtar, who have combined for 30 goals between them this campaign.

San Jose sit fourth in the West, while Nashville top the East. The visitors arrive with 63 points from 28 games and a goal difference of +37, numbers that back up a tight, low-event forecast for this one. Expect a cagey night at PayPal Park, with the Signal model calling it 0-1 to Nashville rather than an end-to-end shootout.

US viewers can watch San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC on Apple TV’s MLS Season Pass.

Squawka Signal
Match outcome · who wins
San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes29% 
DrawDraw25% 
Nashville SCNashville SC47% Our pick

San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC: Best Bets & Predictions

Signal has Nashville SC at 47% — no edge over the market on the result.

In lineno standout edge on the result

Live market prices load here when the books open — Signal’s model read is above.

Back Nashville SC with bet365
The tips · best bets
MarketMkt %Signal %Read
Correct ScoreSan Jose Earthquakes 0-1 Nashville SCA 0-1 scoreline fits a Nashville side that has lost just 3 of 28 league games against a San Jose team that has drawn 2 of its last 5.
—
9%
Model read
›
Both Teams to ScoreBoth teams: NoSan Jose's home form features two draws in their last five games, suggesting defensive solidity that should keep Nashville to a single goal without conceding.
—
43%
Model read
›
Over / Under 2.5Under 2.5Both sides' underlying patterns point to a tight match, with the Signal model's 0-1 projection sitting comfortably under the 2.5 line.
—
46%
Model read
›
Anytime ScorerSamuel Surridge to scoreSamuel Surridge leads Nashville's scoring charts with 16 goals from 59 shots this season, making him the visitors' most likely source of a goal at PayPal Park.
—
44%
Model read
Signal edge callsRecord building · settles at full-time

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Season Form & Standings

San Jose Earthquakes sit fourth in the West, firmly in the playoff picture. Nashville SC top the East with 63 points from 28 games, a +37 goal difference and just 3 losses all season.

Eastern Conference

TeamPosGPWDLGFGAGDPts
Nashville SC12819635922+3763
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Team News Predicted

San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC Predicted Lineups

Predicted XI — updated for the latest team news.

San Jose Earthquakes

5-3-2
E. Edwards
Vitor Costa
D. Romney
D. Munie
J. Jasinski
P. Marie
B. Leroux
Ronaldo Vieira
E. Lowen
T. Werner
P. Judd

Nashville SC

4-2-3-1
B. Schwake
R. Baker-Whiting
M. Woledzi
J. Palacios
A. Najar
M. Corcoran
P. Yazbek
E. Saad
H. Mukhtar
C. Espinoza
S. Surridge
    Squawka · Team News

    Potential Match-Winners

    • Preston Judd (San Jose Earthquakes): Preston Judd leads San Jose’s attack with 15 goals from 73 shots this season, and 36 of those have tested the keeper, making him the Quakes’ most reliable outlet in front of goal.
    • Samuel Surridge (Nashville SC): Samuel Surridge tops Nashville’s scoring charts with 16 goals from 59 shots, 31 of which have been on target, underlining his threat in and around the box.
    • Hany Mukhtar (Nashville SC): Hany Mukhtar’s 14 goals and 42 chances created from 88 shots make him the creative heartbeat of this Nashville side.

    Recent Form

    San Jose Earthquakes: W W D W D

    • 2026-10-11: Colorado Rapids 1-1 San Jose Earthquakes (D, away)
    • 2026-09-27: San Jose Earthquakes 3-1 Portland Timbers (W, home)
    • 2026-09-20: San Jose Earthquakes 2-2 LAFC (D, home)
    • 2026-09-13: San Jose Earthquakes 1-0 Houston Dynamo (W, home)
    • 2026-09-10: San Diego FC 2-3 San Jose Earthquakes (W, away)

    San Jose’s recent form reads W W D W D, with a 3-1 win over Portland Timbers and a 2-2 draw against LAFC among the highlights, plus a 1-1 draw away at Colorado Rapids in their most recent outing.

    Nashville SC: L D W W W

    • 2026-10-11: Austin FC 1-4 Nashville SC (W, away)
    • 2026-09-27: Nashville SC 2-0 Toronto FC (W, home)
    • 2026-09-20: Nashville SC 3-0 Chicago Fire (W, home)
    • 2026-09-13: Inter Miami 2-2 Nashville SC (D, away)
    • 2026-09-10: Toronto FC 2-1 Nashville SC (L, away)

    Nashville’s form stands at L D W W W, capped by a 4-1 win away at Austin FC last time out after back-to-back home wins over Chicago Fire and Toronto FC by 3-0 and 2-0 respectively.

    San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC Prediction

    This looks set to be a tight, low-scoring affair, and the Signal model sides with Nashville SC to win 0-1 at PayPal Park. San Jose sit fourth in the West and remain in the playoff picture. Nashville’s position at the top of the East, built on 63 points from 28 games, makes them deserved favorites to edge a cagey night on the road.

    Squawka Signal

    Our model rates every MLS fixture — see the numbers behind San Jose Earthquakes v Nashville SC.

    MLS AI PredictorEvery match this week rated by our modelOver 2.5 Goals predictionsThis week’s picks across the league