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Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups

Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union predicted formations

Chicago Fire host Philadelphia Union at Soldier Field on Wednesday, October 14 (8:30 PM ET / 7:30 PM CT / 5:30 PM PT).

Chicago Fire have no fresh fitness concerns to navigate here, with Maren Haile-Selassie leading the line after a return of 10 goals and 24 shots on target this season, and Philip Zinckernagel pulling strings behind him having created 60 chances in 2194 minutes. Philadelphia Union arrive with a similarly clean bill of health, built around Milan Iloski, who has scored 17 goals from 105 shots, with Cavan Sullivan adding 7 goals and 36 chances created from midfield.

US viewers can watch Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union on Apple TV’s MLS Season Pass.

Squawka Signal
Match outcome · who wins
Chicago FireChicago Fire43%mkt 39%Our pick
DrawDraw22%mkt 26%
Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union35%mkt 37%

Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union: Best Bets & Predictions

The market prices Chicago Fire at 39%. Signal says 43%.

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The tips · best bets
MarketMkt %Signal %Read
Correct ScoreChicago Fire 2-1 Philadelphia UnionMaren Haile-Selassie's 10 goals and Milan Iloski's 17 point to goals at both ends, but Chicago Fire's home run of form edges it 2-1.
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9%
Model read
Both Teams to ScoreBoth teams to scorePhiladelphia Union have found the net in every one of their last five outings, while Chicago Fire's Maren Haile-Selassie has 10 goals of his own up top.
68%
67%
In line
Over / Under 2.5Over 2.5Chicago Fire and Philadelphia Union have combined for a +22 goal difference this season, and with Milan Iloski's 17 goals leading the Union attack, the over 2.5 looks well-backed.
66%
67%
In line
Anytime ScorerMaren Haile-Selassie — Anytime GoalscorerMaren Haile-Selassie leads Chicago Fire with 10 goals from 53 shots in 1998 minutes this season, making him the obvious source of a home goal.
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Model read
Signal edge callsRecord building · settles at full-time

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Season Form & Standings

Chicago Fire sit third in the East on 48 points with a +11 goal difference, firmly in the playoff picture, while Philadelphia Union are sixth on 42 points and level on goal difference, also well placed for the postseason.

Eastern Conference

TeamPosGPWDLGFGAGDPts
Chicago Fire32814685140+1148
Philadelphia Union628126105645+1142
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Team News Predicted

Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union Predicted Lineups

Predicted XI — updated for the latest team news.

Chicago Fire

4-4-2
C. Brady
Leonardo Barroso
M. Mbokazi
J. Elliott
J. Dean
J. Bamba
T. D'Avilla
A. Saletros
P. Zinckernagel
M. Haile-Selassie
R. Lewandowski

Philadelphia Union

4-4-2
A. Blake
K. Wagner
N. Harriel
N. Pierre
F. Westfield
I. Vassilev
J. Lukic
D. Jean Jacques
C. Sullivan
B. Damiani
M. Iloski
    Squawka · Team News

    Potential Match-Winners

    • Maren Haile-Selassie (Chicago Fire): The striker has 10 goals and 24 shots on target in 1998 minutes this season, making him Chicago Fire’s most direct route to goal.
    • Philip Zinckernagel (Chicago Fire): The midfielder has created 60 chances and added 6 goals in 2194 minutes, the engine behind Chicago Fire’s recent run.
    • Milan Iloski (Philadelphia Union): The striker has been prolific with 17 goals from 105 shots this season, and remains Philadelphia Union’s biggest threat on the road.

    Recent Form

    Chicago Fire: L L W W W

    • 2026-10-10: Chicago Fire 2-1 NYCFC (W, home)
    • 2026-10-07: Chicago Fire 3-1 Vancouver Whitecaps (W, home)
    • 2026-09-27: Charlotte FC 0-1 Chicago Fire (W, away)
    • 2026-09-20: Nashville SC 3-0 Chicago Fire (L, away)
    • 2026-09-13: Chicago Fire 1-2 New England Revolution (L, home)

    Chicago Fire have won their last 3 league games — 2-1 over NYCFC, 3-1 over the Vancouver Whitecaps, and 1-0 away at Charlotte FC — after back-to-back losses to the New England Revolution and Nashville SC.

    Philadelphia Union: W W W W W

    • 2026-10-11: Philadelphia Union 2-1 Real Salt Lake (W, home)
    • 2026-09-27: Philadelphia Union 4-2 Orlando City (W, home)
    • 2026-09-20: Sporting KC 3-4 Philadelphia Union (W, away)
    • 2026-09-14: San Diego FC 0-5 Philadelphia Union (W, away)
    • 2026-09-10: Philadelphia Union 5-0 FC Cincinnati (W, home)

    Philadelphia Union have won all 5 of their last matches, scoring heavily along the way — 5-0 at FC Cincinnati, 5-0 at San Diego FC, 4-3 at Sporting KC, 4-2 over Orlando City, and 2-1 over Real Salt Lake most recently.

    Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union Prediction

    Expect a tight, competitive game at Soldier Field rather than a one-sided afternoon. Chicago Fire sit third in the East on 48 points and remain firmly in the playoff picture, while Philadelphia Union are sixth on 42 points and still well placed for a postseason berth. Maren Haile-Selassie’s movement up top and Philip Zinckernagel’s chance creation give Chicago Fire the edge over a Philadelphia Union side built around Milan Iloski’s goals, and we’re backing Chicago Fire to win 2-1.

    Squawka Signal

    Our model rates every MLS fixture — see the numbers behind Chicago Fire v Philadelphia Union.

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