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Nashville SC vs Sporting KC: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups

Nashville SC vs Sporting KC predicted formations

Nashville SC host Sporting KC at Nashville SC Stadium on Wednesday, October 14 (8:30 PM ET / 7:30 PM CT / 5:30 PM PT).

Nashville SC have no absences to report and will again lean on their first-choice attack. Hany Mukhtar and Sam Surridge have carried the goal threat all season — Mukhtar’s 42 chances created lead the roster, and Surridge leads the scoring with 16 goals. Sporting Kansas City likewise have nobody missing, and will look to Calvin Harris and the in-form André Luiz, who has scored 7 goals in just 475 minutes since arriving.

US viewers can watch Nashville SC vs Sporting KC on Apple TV’s MLS Season Pass.

Squawka Signal
Match outcome · who wins
Nashville SCNashville SC77%mkt 78%Our pick
DrawDraw14%mkt 13%
Sporting KCSporting KC9%mkt 9%

Nashville SC vs Sporting KC: Best Bets & Predictions

The market prices Both teams: No at 41%. Signal says 45%.

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The tips · best bets
MarketMkt %Signal %Read
Correct ScoreNashville SC 2-0 Sporting KCNashville's +37 goal difference and the home scoring threat from Surridge and Mukhtar support a controlled 2-0 scoreline rather than a one-sided rout.
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10%
Model read
Both Teams to ScoreBoth teams: NoSporting KC's -33 goal difference reflects a season of leaking goals, and a 2-0 home win keeps them off the scoresheet entirely.
41%
45%
Value
Over / Under 2.5Under 2.5A 2-0 scoreline keeps the total under 2.5, with Nashville likely to manage the game rather than chase a bigger margin against a side already well adrift in the West.
27%
29%
In line
Anytime ScorerSam Surridge to score anytimeSurridge leads Nashville with 16 goals from 59 shots (31 on target) this season, making him the likeliest home player to get on the scoresheet in a 2-0 win.
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Model read
Signal edge callsRecord building · settles at full-time

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Season Form & Standings

Nashville SC sit first in the East with 63 points from 19 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses, well clear at the top of the playoff picture. Sporting KC sit 15th in the West with 22 points from 6 wins, 4 draws and 18 losses, firmly on the outside looking in.

Eastern Conference

TeamPosGPWDLGFGAGDPts
Nashville SC12819635922+3763

Western Conference

TeamPosGPWDLGFGAGDPts
Sporting KC152864183568-3322
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Team News Predicted

Nashville SC vs Sporting KC Predicted Lineups

Predicted XI — updated for the latest team news.

Nashville SC

4-2-3-1
B. Schwake
R. Baker-Whiting
M. Woledzi
J. Palacios
A. Najar
M. Corcoran
P. Yazbek
E. Saad
H. Mukhtar
C. Espinoza
S. Surridge

Sporting KC

4-4-2
S. Cleveland
E. Karic
W. Meyer
J. Miller
J. Reynolds
C. Harris
K. Agyabeng
Z. Bassong
Andre Luiz
S. Afrifa
T. Calheira
    Squawka · Team News

    Potential Match-Winners

    • Sam Surridge (Nashville SC): 16 goals from 59 shots (31 on target) make him Nashville’s most direct route to goal, and the clear source of home scoring threat tonight.
    • Hany Mukhtar (Nashville SC): 14 goals and a team-high 42 chances created in 2,332 minutes underline his dual threat as scorer and creator for Nashville.
    • André Luiz (Sporting KC): 7 goals in just 475 minutes is an outstanding rate, and he’s the rare outlet of end product in an otherwise toothless Sporting KC season.

    Recent Form

    Nashville SC: L D W W W

    • 2026-10-11: Austin FC 1-4 Nashville SC (W, away)
    • 2026-09-27: Nashville SC 2-0 Toronto FC (W, home)
    • 2026-09-20: Nashville SC 3-0 Chicago Fire (W, home)
    • 2026-09-13: Inter Miami 2-2 Nashville SC (D, away)
    • 2026-09-10: Toronto FC 2-1 Nashville SC (L, away)

    Nashville SC’s form reads L D W W W: a 2-1 loss at Toronto FC on September 10, a 2-2 draw at Inter Miami on September 13, back-to-back home wins over Chicago Fire (3-0) and Toronto FC (2-0), then a 4-1 win at Austin FC on October 11.

    Sporting KC: W L W L D

    • 2026-10-11: Sporting KC 3-3 Portland Timbers (D, home)
    • 2026-10-02: Seattle Sounders 2-1 Sporting KC (L, away)
    • 2026-09-27: Houston Dynamo 0-2 Sporting KC (W, away)
    • 2026-09-20: Sporting KC 3-4 Philadelphia Union (L, home)
    • 2026-09-13: Sporting KC 3-1 LAFC (W, home)

    Sporting KC’s form reads W L W L D: a 3-1 win over LAFC on September 13, a 3-4 loss to Philadelphia Union on September 20, a 2-0 win at Houston Dynamo on September 27, a 2-1 loss at Seattle Sounders on October 2, then a 3-3 draw with Portland Timbers on October 11.

    Nashville SC vs Sporting KC Prediction

    Nashville SC’s position at the top of the East, with 63 points secured through 19 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses, makes them among the most consistent sides in the league this season, while Sporting KC’s 22 points leave them 15th in the West, well outside the playoff picture. That gap shows on the field: Nashville’s +37 goal difference and home control against a Sporting defense that has shipped goals all year points to a tight, low-scoring night. We’re calling it 2-0 to Nashville SC.

    Squawka Signal

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