New England Revolution vs Nashville SC predictions
New England Revolution host Nashville SC at Gillette Stadium on Wednesday, May 13, at 7:30 PM ET, in a top-of-the-table showdown between the two best sides in the East right now.
Nashville SC lead the Eastern Conference on 24 points from 11 games. New England Revolution are second on 22 points from 11 outings. The MLS Eastern Conference standings show a genuine race at the top developing between two sides who have both been remarkably consistent. Our New England Revolution vs Nashville SC prediction is below — odds from bet365 US.
Nashville are the narrow road favorites at +135, with New England priced at +182 to win at home — a reflection of the Revs’ strong home form but Nashville’s even stronger overall record this season. The draw is +240. BTTS at -150 and the Over 2.5 market at -118 suggest the market expects a competitive, goal-laden game despite Nashville’s excellent defensive record in MLS.
Best Bets & Predictions
| Our Prediction | Odds & Sportsbook | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville SC to win | +135 @ bet365 (43% implied) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Nashville have the best defensive record in the East (eight goals conceded in 11 games) and have won three of their last five. They have ground out results in difficult environments throughout the season — their +15 goal difference is the most convincing number in the East. +135 on the road for a side this solid is genuine value. |
| BTTS Yes | -150 @ bet365 (60% implied) | ⭐⭐⭐ | New England have scored in every game this season bar one. Nashville have conceded twice in two of their last three games. Even at -150, BTTS Yes reflects the reality that these are two attack-minded teams who both find the net regularly when tested by quality opponents. |
| Over 2.5 Goals | -118 @ bet365 (54% implied) | ⭐⭐⭐ | New England average 2.9 goals per game across their last five. Nashville average 2.8 over the same period including their two draws. At near-even money, Over 2.5 represents the best odds-adjusted value in this market for a genuinely high-quality clash at the top of the East. |
| Correct Score: Nashville SC 2–1 | — @ bet365 (—) | ⭐⭐ | A classic tight top-of-the-table scoreline. Nashville’s quality away from home and their ability to concede but still win makes this a realistic outcome if the Revs find a goal before Nashville confirm the three points late. Speculative. |
| Hany Mukhtar anytime scorer | — @ bet365 (—) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Nashville’s German playmaker is one of the most creative and dangerous players in MLS when he is on form. His ability to arrive late into the box and score from range or from cutbacks makes him a constant scoring threat — against a New England defense that has conceded to every team they’ve faced, he carries real value in the scorer markets. |
Our approach: Over 2.5 at near-even money is the single best value bet in this fixture — two top-of-the-table sides who both attack and score freely. Nashville to win at +135 is a strong overlay given their road credentials.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
Deposit required. Paid in Bonus Bets. Bonus Bets wager excluded from returns. New customers only. T&Cs, time limits, and exclusions apply.
Prediction Markets: Live Odds & Win Probability
Note for US readers: Polymarket is now live for real-money trading in the US following its 2025 acquisition of QCX, a CFTC-regulated exchange, available in most states except Arizona, Illinois, Massachusetts, Maryland, Michigan, Montana, New Jersey, Nevada and Ohio. New US users can claim a 100% deposit match up to $50 with code ACQUIRE05. Market prices shown are real-money figures from the Polymarket platform. Kalshi, also CFTC-regulated, trades in all 50 states.
Polymarket has this fixture listed as one of the most closely contested markets of the MLS midweek round, reflecting Nashville as a marginal edge consistent with the sportsbook read. The result probability is spread across all three outcomes more evenly than almost any other game this round — this is a genuine coin-flip for outright bettors. Kalshi had not listed this fixture at time of writing; we will add their market data here if pricing surfaces before kick-off.
18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading involves high risk and may result in loss of your entire investment. See polymarket.us/tos for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated derivatives exchange and clearing organization
Season Form & Standings
This is the standout fixture of MLS Matchday 13 for the Eastern Conference. Nashville SC’s +15 goal difference from 11 games is the best in the East by some distance — they have been ruthlessly efficient on both sides of the ball. New England’s four-game winning run ended with a draw at Inter Miami, but they have since won their last two, including a hard-fought 2–1 home win over Philadelphia on Saturday. A Gillette Stadium crowd behind the Revs makes this a genuinely difficult trip for Nashville despite their superior form.
| Team | Pos | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville SC | 1st (East) | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 8 | +15 | 24 |
| New England Revolution | 2nd (East) | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 13 | +7 | 22 |
Potential Match-Winners
- Carles Gil (New England Revolution): The Revs’ Spanish playmaker is the creative heart of everything New England do going forward — his vision, technique, and delivery from deep make him the player Nashville will be most focused on neutralising. Gil’s ability to unlock deep defensive blocks with late passes into the channels has been a feature of New England’s best performances this season.
- Hany Mukhtar (Nashville SC): Nashville’s most dangerous creator and finisher, Mukhtar’s late runs into the area and his range of passing make him a constant threat for any Eastern Conference defence. He has contributed in both goals and assists consistently this season and will be the player the Revs must track most carefully in the midfield-to-attack transition.
- Sam Surridge (Nashville SC): The English striker’s hold-up play and aerial threat gives Nashville a physical dimension that New England’s defence will need to account for. Surridge wins second balls in the area and creates space for Mukhtar and the supporting runners — he has been central to Nashville’s aerial superiority in set-piece situations all season.
Head-to-Head
New England and Nashville have developed into one of the East’s most competitive rivalries since the Boys in Gold joined MLS. The Revs hold a slight advantage in home meetings at Gillette Stadium, where the crowd and the playing surface suit their passing style. Nashville have been the more consistent side in recent seasons. Goals have been a consistent feature — each of the last four meetings have produced three or more goals.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2025 | Nashville SC 3–1 New England Revolution | MLS 2025 |
| Jun 7, 2025 | New England Revolution 2–2 Nashville SC | MLS 2025 |
| Oct 12, 2024 | New England Revolution 2–1 Nashville SC | MLS 2024 |
| May 18, 2024 | Nashville SC 3–2 New England Revolution | MLS 2024 |
| Aug 19, 2023 | New England Revolution 1–0 Nashville SC | MLS 2023 |
Recent Form
New England Revolution — W W D W W
- May 10, 2026: New England Revolution 2–1 Philadelphia Union (win, home)
- May 3, 2026: New England Revolution 1–0 Charlotte FC (win, home)
- Apr 26, 2026: Inter Miami 1–1 New England Revolution (draw, away)
- Apr 23, 2026: Atlanta United 1–2 New England Revolution (win, away)
- Apr 19, 2026: New England Revolution 2–1 Columbus Crew (win, home)
New England are the East’s second-best side by points but arguably the form side after four wins and a draw from their last five games. Their home record is the most important context: Gillette Stadium has been a fortress this season and the Revs have been difficult to beat there against all opposition. The draw at Inter Miami was perhaps the one that got away — they were the stronger side for long periods. This is a team peaking at the right time.
Nashville SC — D D W W W
- May 10, 2026: Nashville SC 2–2 DC United (draw, home)
- May 3, 2026: Philadelphia Union 0–0 Nashville SC (draw, away)
- Apr 26, 2026: Nashville SC 4–2 Charlotte FC (win, home)
- Apr 19, 2026: Atlanta United 0–2 Nashville SC (win, away)
- Apr 12, 2026: Charlotte FC 1–2 Nashville SC (win, away)
Nashville’s back-to-back draws — a 2–2 at home to DC United and a goalless trip to Philadelphia — have slightly cooled their form streak after three consecutive wins. The draw with DC is particularly notable: Nashville trailed 2-0 before launching a late comeback, showing just how resilient they are. The question heading into Gillette is whether those two draws represent a minor blip or the beginning of a softer patch.
New England Revolution vs Nashville SC Prediction
This is the best game of the MLS midweek round and the odds reflect it — three relatively close prices across all three outcomes, with Nashville marginally preferred as the stronger side overall. New England’s home advantage at Gillette Stadium is a real factor; their form over the last month is arguably better than Nashville’s. Over 2.5 at near-even money is the single most attractive bet here — two attack-minded sides with excellent scoring records who will not set up defensively against each other. Nashville at +135 on the road is the outright value play for those wanting a side to back. See all upcoming MLS predictions on the hub.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
Must be 21+. GAMBLING PROBLEM? Call 1-800-GAMBLER