
The Colorado Rapids host St. Louis City at Dick’s Sporting Goods Park on Saturday night, with both clubs looking to find consistency in the Western Conference’s congested middle.
Kick-off is Saturday, May 9, at 9:30 PM ET.
The Rapids are ninth on 13 points, just inside the playoff cut-off but on a four-game winless run that includes a 0-1 defeat in Houston last week. St. Louis are 14th on six and have their last three. Rafael Navarro has been the Rapids’ headline act with seven goals in 11; Marcel Hartel leads the visitors’ line with 17 shots on target and three goals.
The bookmakers see Colorado as a small home favorite at -104, with the visitors out at +230. The over-2.5 line is short on the goals side.
Best Bets & Predictions: Colorado Rapids vs St. Louis City,
| Our Prediction | Odds & Sportsbook | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rapids to win | -104 @ bet365 (51.0%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Colorado have won three of four at Dick’s Sporting Goods Park; St. Louis are winless in five. |
| Rafael Navarro to score anytime | +120 @ bet365 (45.5%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Navarro has seven goals and 19 shots on target in 11 — Colorado’s clearest finisher. |
| Both Teams to Score: Yes | -188 @ bet365 (65.3%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Five of Colorado’s last six and five of St. Louis’s last six have produced both teams scoring. |
| Over 2.5 goals | -175 @ bet365 (63.6%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Five goals per game at Colorado home matches in 2026. |
| Correct Score: 2-1 Colorado Rapids | +800 @ bet365 (11.1%) | ⭐⭐ | Navarro scores, Hartel finds a reply, the Rapids close it out at home. |
| Marcel Hartel to score anytime | +225 @ bet365 (30.8%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Hartel has three goals and a team-high 17 shots on target — St. Louis’s only consistent threat. |
Our approach: Lead with Navarro anytime at +120, stack BTTS Yes for the volume, and add Colorado to win at -104.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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Prediction Markets: Live Odds & Win Probability
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Polymarket traders favour the home side, with Colorado priced as a slight favorite. Kalshi sits in the same range across the merged Match Result book — both venues align with the bet365 line on a tight home call rather than a runaway.
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Season Form & Standings
Colorado are ninth in the West, just on the playoff line. St. Louis are 14th — only Sporting KC sit lower.
| Western Conference | Pos | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rapids | 9 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 19 | +3 | 13 |
| St. Louis City | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 6 |
Live MLS standings and the MLS stats hub for the leaderboards.
Potential Match-Winners
- Rafael Navarro (Colorado Rapids): Seven goals, three assists and 19 shots on target in 11 starts — the Rapids’ most consistent finisher.
- Darren Yapi (Colorado Rapids): Three goals, two assists and four big chances in 11 — second-leading scorer in burgundy.
- Dante Sealy (Colorado Rapids): Two assists and five big chances created in 11 starts — the wide creative outlet.
- Marcel Hartel (St. Louis City): Three goals, four big chances created and 17 shots on target — comfortably St. Louis’s most active attacker.
- Simon Becher (St. Louis City): One goal and two assists in 10 starts — the focal striker who can profit from Hartel’s set pieces.
Head-to-Head
The Rapids lead the H2H with three wins to St. Louis’ one, while the sides have shared two draws. The Rapids have taken seven points from three all-time home games against City, remaining unbeaten.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2025 | Colorado Rapids 1-0 St. Louis City | MLS |
| Feb 22, 2025 | St. Louis City 0-0 Colorado Rapids | MLS |
| Jul 7, 2024 | Colorado Rapids 4-1 St. Louis City | MLS |
| Jun 19, 2024 | St. Louis City 0-3 Colorado Rapids | MLS |
| Jul 1, 2023 | St. Louis City 2-0 Colorado Rapids | MLS |
Recent Form
Colorado Rapids — W L D L L
- Apr 11: W 6-2 vs Houston Dynamo (home)
- Apr 18: L 2-3 vs Inter Miami (home)
- Apr 22: D 0-0 at LAFC
- Apr 25: L 1-3 at Vancouver
- May 2: L 0-1 at Houston Dynamo
The 6-2 home rout of Houston is the headline, but four matches without a win since has dragged the Rapids back into the pack.
St. Louis City — D D L L L
- Apr 4: D 1-1 at New York City
- Apr 11: D 1-1 at FC Dallas
- Apr 18: L 1-4 at Seattle Sounders
- Apr 25: L 2-3 vs San Jose Earthquakes (home)
- May 2: L 0-2 at Austin FC
Three straight defeats and one win in 11 league matches. The defensive structure has battled in road trips, but the attack — beyond Hartel — has not.
Colorado Rapids vs St. Louis City Prediction
Colorado at home with the volume threat in Navarro is the value play. St. Louis have shown they can find a goal through Hartel, but rarely two. Take Colorado at -104, BTTS Yes -188 for the volume, and Navarro anytime at +120 as the cleanest single play.
Back the Rapids at bet365, or browse the bet365 review. The full Saturday slate is on the MLS hub.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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