Nashville SC welcome DC United to Geodis Park on Saturday night as the Eastern Conference leaders, and bet365 have priced it accordingly.
Kick-off is Saturday, May 9, at 9:15 PM ET.
Nashville sit top of the East on 23 points, four clear of New England and Inter Miami with a game in hand on the latter. They’ve conceded just six goals in 10 matches and kept five clean sheets. DC are fifth on 15 — one of the more impressive jumps in the East — and come in off the back of a 2-0 road win at NYCFC, extending their unbeaten run to four matches. The catch: Sam Surridge, Nashville’s leading scorer with nine, is sidelined.
That doesn’t change the bookmakers’ read much. Nashville are -202 home favorites with DC out at +450; the totals lines hover around the 2.5 mark.
Best Bets & Predictions: Nashville SC vs DC United
| Our Prediction | Odds & Sportsbook | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville SC to win | -202 @ bet365 (66.9%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | League leaders at home with five clean sheets in 10. DC defense hasn’t convinced recently is missing Sean Nealis. |
| Hany Mukhtar to score anytime | +140 @ bet365 (41.7%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Mukhtar has three goals, four assists and 12 shots on target — Nashville’s main man with Surridge out. |
| Both Teams to Score: No | -125 @ bet365 (55.6%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Nashville have five clean sheets in 10. DC’s leading scorer Baribo is doubtful with a thigh issue. |
| Under 2.5 goals | -106 @ bet365 (51.5%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Nashville’s defensive solidity, plus DC potentially missing their leading scorer, points to a low-scoring affair. |
| Correct Score: 1-0 Nashville | +550 @ bet365 (15.4%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Fits Nashville’s home pattern — five clean sheets in 10 and a Mukhtar or Espinoza moment to win it. |
| Cristian Espinoza over 0.5 assists | +250 @ bet365 (36.4%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Espinoza has three goals, three assists and seven big chances created in 10. |
Our approach: Lead with Nashville to win at -202, stack the 1-0 correct score for the bigger price, and add Mukhtar anytime as the parlay leg.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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Prediction Markets: Live Odds & Win Probability
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Polymarket have Nashville as a decisive home favorite, with the spread between them and DC reflecting both the table position and Surridge’s absence. Kalshi sits in the same range across the merged Match Result book. Both venues are firmly on the home pick.
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Season Form & Standings
Nashville lead the East on 23 points — four clear of New England and Inter Miami, with a game in hand on the latter. DC are fifth on 15, in the playoff zone, but with road form being the key driver. The defensive numbers tell most of the story: Nashville have conceded just six goals all season, the joint-best mark in MLS.
| Eastern Conference | Pos | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville SC | 1 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 6 | +15 | 23 |
| DC United | 5 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 15 |
Live MLS standings and the MLS stats hub for the leaderboards.
Potential Match-Winners
- Hany Mukhtar (Nashville SC): Three goals, four assists, four big chances created and 12 shots on target. The lead creator and finisher with Surridge out.
- Cristian Espinoza (Nashville SC): Three goals, three assists and seven big chances created in 10 — the wide outlet who feeds Mukhtar in central areas.
- Patrick Yazbek (Nashville SC): One goal and three assists from midfield, three big chances created — the deep playmaker.
- Louis Munteanu (DC United): Three goals from just two starts. The Romanian forward is set to lead the line if Baribo can’t go, especially with all three of those goals coming in his last two appearances.
- João Peglow (DC United): Three assists and four big chances created in 11. The creative axis on the road.
Head-to-Head
Two wins each and a draw in the last five — Nashville won the most recent meeting 1-0 at Audi Field in 2025. The 4-3 thriller in 2024 is the highest-scoring meeting.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 28, 2025 | DC United 0-1 Nashville SC | MLS |
| May 17, 2025 | Nashville SC 0-0 DC United | MLS |
| Oct 2, 2024 | Nashville SC 3-4 DC United | MLS |
| Jul 13, 2024 | DC United 2-1 Nashville SC | MLS |
| Jul 2, 2023 | Nashville SC 2-0 DC United | MLS |
Recent Form
Nashville SC — L W W W D
- Apr 4: L 0-1 at Chicago Fire (away)
- Apr 11: W 2-1 at Charlotte (away)
- Apr 18: W 2-0 at Atlanta United (away)
- Apr 25: W 4-2 vs Charlotte (home)
- May 2: D 0-0 at Philadelphia Union (away)
Three straight wins before the goalless draw at Philly. The 0-0 is what Nashville do best — frustrating opponents and pinching the moment that matters.
DC United — L D D W W
- Apr 11: L 0-1 at New England (away)
- Apr 18: D 0-0 at Philadelphia Union (away)
- Apr 22: D 4-4 at New York Red Bulls (away)
- Apr 25: W 3-2 vs Orlando City (home)
- May 2: W 2-0 at New York City FC (away)
Two straight wins in different gears — a 3-2 at home and a 2-0 in Queens. The Black-and-Red have found their road form just as the schedule is hardening.
Nashville SC vs DC United Prediction
Nashville at home with the East’s tightest defense, against a DC side possibly missing their leading scorer. Take the home win at -202, the 1-0 correct score for value at +550, and Mukhtar anytime as the parlay leg.
Back Nashville at bet365, or browse the bet365 review. The full Saturday slate is on the MLS hub.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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