New England Revolution host Philadelphia Union at Gillette Stadium on Saturday night, with the table and the head-to-head telling completely different stories. Kick-off is Saturday, May 9, at 7:30 PM ET.
The Revs sit second in the Eastern Conference on 19 points, four behind Nashville and perfect at home. Philadelphia have one win all season — 11 games in — and are the East’s bottom club on six points. Yet the H2H is wildly out of step with that table: Philly have won eight of the last nine meetings between the clubs, with just one Revs win.
That history is why bet365 have this priced almost as a coin flip — New England at +155, Philadelphia at +157.
Best Bets & Predictions: New England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union
| Our Prediction | Odds & Sportsbook | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| New England to win | +155 @ bet365 (39.2%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | The Revs are 13 points clear of Philly with a perfect home record in MLS this season. |
| Carles Gil to score anytime | +240 @ bet365 (29.4%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Gil has three goals, two assists, and nine shots on target in 10 starts — the Revs’ creative axis. |
| Both Teams to Score: No | +100 @ bet365 (50.0%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Three of Philly’s last four have been clean-sheet results for one side; the Union’s attack has stalled. |
| Under 2.5 goals | -118 @ bet365 (54.1%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Two 0-0s and a 0-2 in Philly’s last four. NE’s last three home wins have been 1-0 or 2-1. |
| Correct Score: 2-1 New England | +900 @ bet365 (10.0%) | ⭐⭐ | A goal from the Revs’ attacking spine, a Philly response, and the home side closes it out. |
| Milan Iloski to score anytime | +240 @ bet365 (29.4%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Iloski has 10 shots on target and two goals — the only Philly forward producing volume. |
Our approach: Take the Revs to win at the value price, add Carles Gil anytime, and stack BTTS No for the fade on Philly’s stalling attack.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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Prediction Markets: Live Odds & Win Probability
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Match-specific prediction market pricing for New England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union from Kalshi and Polymarket are listed below.
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Season Form & Standings
The conference table looks like a mismatch. New England are second on 19 points, just four behind Nashville. Philadelphia are last on six points, with one win and seven defeats. Yet Philly drew 0-0 against East leaders Nashville at home in their last outing — a reminder that the head-to-head record didn’t appear from nowhere.
| Eastern Conference | Pos | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New England Revolution | 2 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 12 | +6 | 19 |
| Philadelphia Union | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 6 |
Up-to-date MLS standings and the MLS stats hub have the leaderboards by category.
Potential Match-Winners
- Carles Gil (New England): Three goals, two assists and nine shots on target in 10 starts. The Spaniard is the playmaker the entire Revs attack runs through.
- Dor Turgeman (New England): Two goals, three assists and nine shots on target. The Israeli international has been the Revs’ go-to forward in Campana’s absence.
- Luca Langoni (New England): Six assists and a team-leading six big chances created in just eight starts. The Argentine creator off the right is shaping more of the Revs’ attack than the goal totals suggest.
- Milan Iloski (Philadelphia Union): Two goals, one assist and 10 shots on target — Philly’s lone consistent attacking volume in a season otherwise short of it.
- Danley Jean Jacques (Philadelphia Union): Two goals from midfield in 10 matches, and the player most likely to break a tight game from a set piece.
Head-to-Head
This is one of Major League Soccer’s most lopsided modern matchups. Philly have won eight of the last nine meetings, including a 5-1 hammering at Subaru Park in 2024 and a 3-0 win at Gillette in 2024. The Revs broke through with a 1-0 home win in late 2023; the rest is Union dominance.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2025 | Philadelphia Union 1-0 New England | MLS |
| Mar 8, 2025 | New England 0-2 Philadelphia Union | MLS |
| Jul 17, 2024 | Philadelphia Union 5-1 New England | MLS |
| May 18, 2024 | New England 0-3 Philadelphia Union | MLS |
| Nov 8, 2023 | New England 1-0 Philadelphia Union | MLS |
Recent Form
New England Revolution — W L D W W
- Apr 12: W 1-0 vs DC United (home)
- Apr 19: W 2-1 vs Columbus Crew (home)
- Apr 23: L 1-2 at Atlanta United
- Apr 26: D 1-1 at Inter Miami
- May 2: W 1-0 vs Charlotte (home)
Five home wins on the bounce at Gillette (MLS only) and a hard-fought draw at Inter Miami. The Revs aren’t blowing teams away, but Matt Turner has three clean sheets in his last six.
Philadelphia Union — W D D L D
- Apr 11: W 2-1 at CF Montréal
- Apr 18: D 0-0 vs DC United (home)
- Apr 22: D 3-3 at Toronto
- Apr 25: L 0-2 at Columbus Crew
- May 2: D 0-0 vs Nashville SC (home)
One win in 11 league matches, but just one defeat in their last five. Iloski has registered four of Philly’s last six shots on target — the supply elsewhere has dried up.
New England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union Prediction
The H2H argues for caution, but the table argues for the Revs at home. Bet365 split the difference at +155, and that’s the value side. Take New England to win, Carles Gil anytime as the parlay leg, and stack BTTS No for the fade on Philly’s stalling attack.
Back the Revs at bet365, or browse the bet365 review first. The full weekend slate is on the MLS hub.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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