Trade Markets
    Trade $25, Get $25 Bonus
    Trade Markets
    Trade $25, Get $25 in Bonuses
    TRADE NOW!
    100% up to $50 with Code: ACQUIRE05
    Trade Now
    Trade $50, Earn $75 in Trading Bonus
    Spend 5 get $50 in Novig Coins CODE:SQUAWKA
    PLAY NOW!
    Newcomer Bonus Up to $500
    Home » News » MLS » Atlanta United vs NYCFC: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups

    Atlanta United vs NYCFC: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups

    Atlanta United vs NYCFC predicted formations

    Atlanta United host NYCFC at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Saturday, September 26 (7:30 PM ET / 6:30 PM CT / 4:30 PM PT).

    Atlanta United have no injury concerns of note heading into this one, meaning Aleksey Miranchuk should again pull the strings in the final third after a season in which the attacking midfielder has scored six goals and created 45 chances in 2055 minutes. Miguel Almirón offers a second outlet alongside him, having managed 53 shots and 20 shots on target of his own. NYCFC arrive with a clean bill of health too, and much of their threat will run through Nicolás Mercau, the attacking midfielder responsible for 15 goals, 35 shots on target and 50 chances created — comfortably the standout individual output in this fixture.

    Neither side has much rhythm to lean on. Atlanta United’s past five have brought one win, two draws and two losses. That form leaves them 14th in the East on 26 points, with a goal difference of -13 that points to a defense which has leaked far too often. NYCFC’s last five have produced one win, two draws and two losses too. That leaves them 10th in the East, still needing more from the group beyond Mercau’s individual production. With both teams short on scoring form and Atlanta especially fragile at the back, this has the makings of a low-event, cagey night at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

    US viewers can watch Atlanta United vs NYCFC on Apple TV’s MLS Season Pass.

    Squawka Signal
    Where are you?
    Match outcome · who wins
    Atlanta UnitedAtlanta United37%mkt 44%
    DrawDraw25%mkt 26%
    NYCFCNYCFC38%mkt 31%Our pick

    Atlanta United vs NYCFC: Best Bets & Predictions

    The market prices NYCFC at 31%. Signal says 38%.

    +7points of value · the result
    Trade NYCFC on Kalshi Back NYCFC with bet365

    New to Kalshi? Trade $25, get $25 · 18+ · use code SQUAWKA

    The tips · best bets
    MarketMkt %Signal %Read
    Correct ScoreAtlanta United 0-1 NYCFCA tight game fits both teams' recent patterns — Atlanta have won just once in their past five while NYCFC have managed the same — and Mercau's quality is enough to land the game's only goal.
    —
    9%
    Model read
    ›
    Both Teams to ScoreBoth teams: NoAtlanta's misfiring attack and NYCFC's reliance on one match-winner in Mercau point to a game where only one side finds the net.
    37%
    43%
    Value
    ›
    Over / Under 2.5Under 2.5Both sides have traded in low-scoring draws recently — NYCFC held to 0-0 by Nashville and 1-1 by Toronto — pointing to a game with fewer than 3 total goals.
    42%
    48%
    Value
    ›
    Anytime ScorerNicolás Mercau to score anytimeMercau leads this fixture in every attacking metric, with 15 goals, 35 shots on target and 50 chances created this season.
    —
    —
    Model read
    Signal edge callsRecord building · settles at full-time

    Compare all markets ›bet365 review ›

    Available to US traders in all 50 states · 18+Odds from bet365 · 18+ · begambleaware.org

    Season Form & Standings

    Atlanta United sit 14th in the East on 26 points from 26 games, with a goal difference of -13 leaving them well adrift of the playoff picture. NYCFC are in better shape at 10th in the East, still with work to do but closer to the postseason positions than their hosts.

    Eastern Conference

    TeamPosGPWDLGFGAGDPts
    Atlanta United142675143043-1326
    Shop the matchAtlanta United v New York City FCOfficial kits via Fanatics
    Squawka may earn a commission when you buy through these links, at no extra cost to you. Prices are set by the retailer and correct at time of publishing.
    Team News Predicted

    Atlanta United vs NYCFC Predicted Lineups

    Predicted XI — updated for the latest team news.

    Atlanta United

    4-2-3-1
    L. Hoyos
    E. Baez
    J. Alonso
    P. Diaz
    T. Jacob
    T. Muyumba
    M. Amaro
    M. Almiron
    G. Galoppo
    A. Miranchuk
    B. Embolo

    NYCFC

    4-2-3-1
    M. Freese
    N. Cavallo
    J. Sands
    Thiago Martins
    T. Gray
    A. Perea
    A. O'Neill
    H. Wolf
    N. Fernandez
    A. Ojeda
    Luighi Hanri
      Squawka · Team News

      Potential Match-Winners

      • Aleksey Miranchuk (Atlanta United): Atlanta’s most productive attacker this season, the attacking midfielder has scored 6 goals and created 45 chances across 2055 minutes.
      • Miguel Almirón (Atlanta United): The attacking midfielder has fired 53 shots and hit the target 20 times, adding 4 goals of his own this season.
      • Nicolás Mercau (NYCFC): Mercau’s 15 goals and 50 chances created make him the standout individual talent on either team sheet.

      Recent Form

      Atlanta United: L D L D W

      • 2026-09-20: Portland Timbers 0-1 Atlanta United (W, away)
      • 2026-09-13: DC United 0-0 Atlanta United (D, away)
      • 2026-09-10: Atlanta United 2-3 Orlando City (L, home)
      • 2026-09-06: Inter Miami 2-2 Atlanta United (D, away)
      • 2026-08-30: Atlanta United 0-2 Charlotte FC (L, home)

      Atlanta United’s past five have brought one win, two draws and two losses. Most recently that was a 1-0 win at Portland, but the home losses to Orlando City (2-3) and Charlotte (0-2) conceded 5 goals between them.

      NYCFC: D D L W L

      • 2026-09-19: NYCFC 0-1 New York Red Bulls (L, home)
      • 2026-09-13: Real Salt Lake 0-2 NYCFC (W, away)
      • 2026-09-10: NYCFC 1-2 New England Revolution (L, home)
      • 2026-09-05: NYCFC 0-0 Nashville SC (D, home)
      • 2026-08-30: Toronto FC 1-1 NYCFC (D, away)

      NYCFC’s last five have produced one win, two draws and two losses. The win came 2-0 away at Real Salt Lake, while the draws — 0-0 with Nashville and 1-1 at Toronto — kept them from slipping further down the East.

      Atlanta United vs NYCFC Prediction

      This looks set to be tight and light on quality chances. Atlanta United sit 14th in the East. They have leaked goals in their last two home matches, shipping five between the losses to Orlando City and Charlotte, which does not inspire confidence in a defense facing NYCFC’s sharpest attacking midfielder. NYCFC sit 10th in the East and don’t need to be at their fluent best to find a way through. Mercau alone has produced fifteen goals and fifty chances created this season, enough quality to swing a low-scoring game without the rest of the team clicking. Expect a scrappy, cagey affair decided by fine margins, with NYCFC winning 0-1 on the road.

      Squawka Signal

      Our model rates every MLS fixture — see the numbers behind Atlanta United v NYCFC.

      MLS AI PredictorEvery match this week rated by our modelAnytime Goalscorer predictionsThis week’s picks across the league